gottolovethisweather

Whilst there's a risk it's likely. Had there not been a risk, it would be unlikely in my opinion.

Google anaprop for an appropriate description. False radar echoes.

Here's an intriguing little statistic. Amazingly, last night was my warmest night of the year with a minimum of 10.2c. Only one day had previously seen Temperatures above 10c for a 24 hour period, that being the 25th April. No small wonder, our ecosystem is seemingly in tatters and the crops are struggling to grow. Climate madness.

Achieved 23.8c in Costa del Newbury todays so was well impressed. Not so impressive is the outlook for the coming 7 to 10 days. Having said that, if you like convection interspersed with bands of heavy rain, the South looks like the place to be. There will inevitably be drier spells too but a heatwave is a big longshot until mid to late May at least, it seems.

Sunshine all the way here AWD, what are you talking about. 8.3c and rising, touch wood I may hit high fifties or even low sixties at this rate, off for some reading in the garden. EDIT: Before AWD says I told you so, looks yukky out West, so sorry for you guys.

Rocketing up here after a minimum of just 0.8c, its 14.9c, so a much warmer day than I imagined.

That is amazing, 16c at Solent MRSC was the highest officially recorded by weatheronline and 15c followed that, courtesy of Bournemouth and Exeter. The South Coast was the place to be. Currently 0.9c as I type this, although nice and sunny here in Newbury.

BOOM! Third Thunder day of the year, complete with 30mph plus gusts of wind and torrential rain. Maybe AWD didn't think there was much chance but some folk did and well done to them, you're not often wrong AWD. What this also proves is just how difficult it is to forecast Thunderstorms and the like. All I'm hoping now is that it brightens up later today and I'll venture outside into the garden again. Is tomorrow still looking reasonable? EDIT: another clap just then I believe.

He means cache I imagine. This is the place where the temporary files and cookies are stored. You may have to email Paul but I think a hard F5 usually does it and then, perhaps log off and log back in.

16c here now, Scorchio.

Yes, its called "Wareham Wearout", I understand it to be a kind of local anaprop. This "Wareham Wearout" is a rare phenomenom considering the extreme amounts of rainfall often witnessed in wet Wareham.

Testing. Earth calling noggin, Earth calling noggin.

Surprised to see the Temperatures reach the dizzy (near average) heights of 15.9c today. Many a Swallow brought ahead of the weather system to our South on my trip around the local downs and villages.

I'll take the warm days over cool then but having said that, the cooler flows are probably better for storms. Whatever happens, we cannot change it anyhow. Thanks for your updates, keep them coming as I can't add so much input on here as I'd like to.

Yes, when you put it that way, there is a fair bit of consistency there and even I am going against the overnight GFS runs for now, too, hence my interest in the 12zs. Intriguingly though, even though the MetO incorporate ECM data, they appear to be largely ignoring it. By the way, the Temperatures to which I refer are those from their latest 6-15 dayer, which meant a slight warmth bias towards the S and SE. We shall see how things pan out. 17.1c now, almost scorchio compared to what we have endured of late.

Well it's definitely up in the air, as to where things go. Of course, even now we need to get through this week's shenanigans before thinking of how the rest of April develops. As I'm currently residing at 3.6c below the long-term mean, I would like to continue the warm-up. Below, are the latest thoughts from the Met Office. http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/64157-meto-uk-further-outlook/?p=2681011 Seemingly, near average or above is that, which is suggested currently. That'll do nicely from a personal point of view. As for precipitation, pretty standard April fare, whilst I still expect some freak downpours on occasion, as is the way with our climate these days.

Where are these derived from? I have heard of this colder talk and of a trough smack bang over us by next weekend but I'm not entirely convinced. I'd personally like something more settled for a while but equally I don't mind having a few storms thrown in either. As long as Temps don't get below average again and we see the last of the frosts, I'll be happy. Our farmers and the wildlife need a break from all that.

If the 12z runs state the same, I might believe them but for now, I'm going with the warmer outlook. My gosh, I'm at 16c now, sunny skies too.

Can you read noonoo's mind or are you "in the know". The original post did confuse me somewhat too, but I didn't think of replying. Sounds plausible now, that he was talking of the London Marathon when you re-read it. On the broader topic of the forecast, if Gibby is correct in his analysis of the 12z suites from yesterday, which I personally read much more into that any other suite of model runs, the latter part of next week looks warm or even briefly hot with potential for storms, prior to the main event (London Marathon). Nevertheless, we are talking about deep Fi here so a large pinch of salt is needed. Looking good for a warm-up and a drier spell come midweek though, is how we can view things at this stage with a fair bit of confidence, I'd say.

Looks good on the radar. Let's hope that is the first signs of the winds backing round to the SW. Still got the Easterly flow here but I understand it should change later into the afternoon.

5.6c here to greet dawn and although cloudy, it has a somewhat different feel to things. The issue I have, is that I'm still under a windflow from a NE quadrant, when is that ever going to change? If Gibby's analysis of the 12z outputs is spot on, I would gladly take it with open arms. The main thing being, that the Jet Stream is finally on the move Northwards from its holiday in North Africa.

Indeed it does, good job someone is following the outputs closely. Anyway the MetO are way off and the GFS has it nailed, you know. Scorchio come the weekend or not, trust me, we'll be basking in it some day soon.

Now 17c, so I might get there in the end. Whatever, looking better on Sunday in particular and into next week too.

Well according to the netweather forecast, you should see around 18c, based on Farrington Gurnney, which is seemingly just a few miles to your North. It could all change though but that will feel distinictly tropical, should it develop that way.

Looking ahead, although a generalisation, from Friday onwards it seems quite likely that we will be entering the realms of low to high teens Celsius Maximums. The warmest day of which looks like being this Sunday. We should largely say goodbye to the frosts in time, too. The downside to the milder weather, being that there will be further rain about at times, although it will hopefully come about from convective showers.