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Everything posted by gottolovethisweather
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Please remember I don't make the weather. When there is a glimmer of Spring warmth looking like returning, I'm sure you will get to hear about it. Mother Nature is being a bit of a bi - itch lately but then mankind doesn't exactly help matters I guess. We are in a typically transitional period now and I quite like the variety and wish for some proper warmth as much as I do, a bit of wintry action, perfect weather for me! Wrapped up and out of the wind, yes.
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Probably best that you don't grow a beard, he will be calling you Aunt Sally or Mrs Worzel Gummidge. The biting Easterly will be gone soon. Most probably being replaced by a less biting Northerly or Westerly as time goes on. If you can get out of the wind, I'm sure things won't feel as bad or soon won't be as they currently are.
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Ah I see, Thanks Chris. Like others, I am playing catch up with the models and am looking at a few different sources for my info. In spite of what the MetO might suggest longer-term, it wouldn't take much of a shift to bring more snowy episodes back to this neck of the wood either, short term and longer term. For those not so aware, when the MetO put together their longer term forecasts, they are of course attempting to forsee a scenario covering the whole of the UK and are simply not be able to pick out specific developments and second guess where and when they might occur. All very technical this forecasting game. To be expected I guess, as the clock is ticking. Whilst the snow lovers amongst us are still in with a shout for at least the next ten to fifteen days at this rate.
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And here is the MetO take on things from day 6 to day 15. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- UK Outlook for Sunday 17 Mar 2013 to Tuesday 26 Mar 2013: This weekend and next week conditions are set to remain unsettled and on the cold side for March. Many southern areas will be cloudy with rain and perhaps some hill snow. Other areas will see brighter weather with wintry showers, mainly in the north. Next week, often rather cloudy with further spells of rain or snow. Some heavy rain is likely at times, whilst northern, eastern and central parts have the greatest chance of any snow, leading to accumulations in places. Temperatures will remain below average; the nights frequently cold and frosty with icy patches, feeling cold by day, especially over northern Britain where it will often be windy. Looking beyond next week, conditions are expected to remain unsettled with below average temperatures
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Whilst things can change quite abruptly and I wouldn't mind betting, the final week in March does in fact go against what is currently being suggested. If you are looking for Spring like warmth, any average to above average Temperatures are pure fantasy right now. The following comes from Gibby's analysis of all the 12z output suites from yesterday. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- In Summary there is very little sign of Spring tonight unless you believe in the far reaches of the GFS operational run. There looks to be a lot of cold or rather cold conditions to come over the next few weeks with Low pressure close by making for some potent showers of rain with the risk of hail, thunder, sleet and snow all very possible in any one place over the coming period with some frost at night. There should not be a repeat of the current severity of cold though after tomorrow.
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From what I can gather, it is to be a week of well scattered showers and sunnier intervals with the winds eventually backing towards the North later today and for a couple of days thereafter. Most showers clinging to the immediate coastline. However, by the weekend, things are looking much wetter with heavy prolonged cold rain on Saturday, perhaps with a brief period of leading edge snowfall.
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My eyes are also on that stuff south of Salcombe over the sea, not so sure that it is coming inland though. One thing is for sure, the Air Temperatures are dropping liking a stone, in spite of the strong breeze to gale force winds in places. Currently sitting at -2.5c here in Newbury with a -8.3c wind-chill. I wouldn't want to be homeless or out on the streets in this weather. I fully expect Temperatures to drop further to -5c to -7c quite widely, more especially in places with snow cover. Of note, by morning, there will seemingly be no frost apparent on road surfaces, so expect plenty of black ice where there has been overnight precipitation which hasn't laid. The dry air and other causes will create no visible frosting of surfaces, but beware, it is there in reality. Take care. gottolovethisweather
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To be fair though Mapantz, there was always a risk of SNOW affecting the SE overnight into Tuesday. In fact, the powers that be have been talking about it for a couple of days now via the media forecasts. A real shame for Cornwall and Devon and parts of Dorset and their lack of SNOW but many of us at least got to see some snowflakes.
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Put some pictures up later Fitzwis if you get a chance please. Goes without saying. I think your island may well be making the headlines later on today. A proper snowfest for your shores. Yes, I would say we have an outside chance of a few more snowflakes to add to yesterdays snizzle. I don't expect anything other than that though, to be fair.
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Nothing Springlike for at least a week I'm afraid and maybe even further out than that. Hopefully get to see some more sun eventually which will please a lot of people who are downbeat about missing the snowy action. For this region, good places for some snowfall of any consequence today remain Southern Dorset, most of Hampshire and potentially into parts of East Wiltshire as the day wears on.