gottolovethisweather

Just a thought, but are any bird ringers looking into ringing the birds, that are succesfully cleaned up and ready for re-release. Now, wouldn't that be a good of piece of conservation effort after such a tragic episode. Personally I wouldn't know who to contact myself, but I'm sure the British Trust for Ornithology could help.

Yes, I'm afraid so but at least you had a few snowflakes at sleepy o'clock. I have my eye on the NMM chart which showed some patchy SNOW potential trundling down from the North around 8 to 10am tomorrow morning. It was backed up by the Fax Charts too so I guess there is a chance, more especially towards Central and Southern/South Eastern parts of the region.

Believe me, the GFS has been toying with the idea of pushing the colder air Westwards for a few runs now. Things may well come in our favour, perhaps for part of the region more especially, in the end. The GFS has always defaulted to the Atlantic flow ahead of other options throughout its history, so I would not read too much into its weekend evolution right now.

Damn you Dew points and WB Temps, please drop. That incoming precipitation may have even changed to SNOW, had it not been for you. Nevertheless, I will be watching my lamp-posts over the coming hours, as you never know.

Mulls, did I imagine this post from earlier on. A flake is a flake, is a flake. http://forum.netweat...20#entry2586100 I will make things clear from my patch, I have not seen a snowflake since 26th January. However, there will be more for me before Spring, I am convinced.

Currently 4.9c in Newbury, -1.1c DP, 1.1c windchill, 17mph NW wind and a rapidly falling Barometer reading of 998.5mb. Not a lot of Spring like weather back home then PB. At least to my eyes. A band of wintry precipitation is slowly progressing Southwards but I think we will barely be on the edge of it. Rather surprised it would turn to rain though, given the DPs right now.

That's what you call hard evidence that it can and does SNOW in Dorset on occasion.

Nice one AWD, I haven't read it yet but that is now eight consecutive days with the word SNOW being mentioned in their analysis. I think we can safely say we are in for quite a cold February and hopefully more SNOW on the way, at least for some.

You did witness some very early morning flakes though Mull.

That's a good set up you have there. It is nice seeing these things posted up graphically.

Yes Coast but you do really need to go back through the posts in here from overnight. A few folk have seen Lightning, Hail, Gusty winds and Rain, Sleet and some temporary Snow. Hell, even North Cornwall had one or two flakes in the Sleet. I call that a reasonable night's entertainment but maybe even I overdid the Snow potential but at least some folk got some. EDIT: make that Snow this morning at the Lizard in Cornwall.

Paul really needs to strike up a deal with you on this via the MetO, so such information can shared. Most probably only cost a few million, what's that these days.

Must be something to do with the Uppers, I guess they won't have had much time to become modified from the Westerly airflow of the previous day, i.e. tomorrow. Other than that, I ain't too sure but sounds plausible to me.

Never knew that, so it doesn't represent the actual precipitation falling then. I must say, it isn't often that far out, judging by the number of times its corrolated to what was falling over my patch at the time. You live and learn. Good job its doesn't rely on GFS low-res timeframes.

Temps and Dewpoints? Indeed, just check out the current radar, it looks like a day of explosive convection in the early part of a Summer's day.

Speaking of Bristol Channel streamers, not that I know of their specifics, I will add that as per my radar grab from earlier, the current activity is indeed barreling through directly from West to East.

Have a look at the streak of developing cloud out West of Ireland as that will be getting caught up in the flow over the coming hours and should affect parts of our region overnight. I'm guessing this may be something to do with the relative upgrade from fergieweather previously. A long way to go yet but my current readings are as follows. AT 6.2c, DP 3.5c, 13mph 10min avg Westerly, 1008.9mb falling rapidly Barometer in Newbury, Berkshire. The first of the showery outbreaks are now making landfall and will aid in bringing down the Temperatures.

Two quick radar grabs hinting at the latest potential. Bear in mind, it is very much early days and we need to watch for developments over the coming hours in the area highlighted in blue, largely South of Ireland. The first radar grab illustrates the flow of the very unstable airstream quite well. As and when these showers pass overhead, you will become aware of them as they are beefy and will be accompanied with decent Temperature falls at the time of passage. The second radar grab, some five minutes later shows the precipitation type.

The expectations from the MetO for the upcoming 6 to 15 day forecasting period continue to mention the word SNOW. Something like seven consecutive days they have made use of the word in their briefings, so I suggest that only once they stop using it, can we presume our chnaces are gone. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- UK Outlook for Saturday 9 Feb 2013 to Monday 18 Feb 2013: Most areas remaining on the cold side this weekend. Some bright spells for many areas, but also some wintry showers in some North Sea coastal areas. Meanwhile parts of western and southwestern UK are likely to be cloudier with some rain, sleet and hill snow, especially later this weekend. Then, next week western parts of the UK are likely to continue to see spells of cloudier weather with rain, hill snow and, perhaps, some snow temporarily to lower levels. Elsewhere conditions will tend to be colder and brighter, though some parts may catch a few wintry showers. Looking ahead to the weekend after next and the start of the following week, conditions most likely to be a little colder than average, with northwestern parts most at risk of unsettled weather. Updated: 1157 on Mon 4 Feb 2013 http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

Yes, granted for my patch and indeed yours, I think will both probably have snow chance of much snow, if we get any at all, during the reliable timeframe. But where there's hope there's always a chance of ladyluck smiling on us. I am still confident that a vast part of this region will have a short-term surprises in this coming week and hopefully into the weekend and beyond.

Come on Coast, what's with this negativity, did you wake up the wrong side of the bed this morning or is it the Monday blues. My DP has been tasty all day considering the ATs. Currently sitting at 3.3c DP so not too far to drop once the big ones come along after dark.

Darn Costa del Dorset and its' microclimate. AT 8.8c here now so Temps seemingly on the drop.

Some mahoosive cells showing up on the radar right now, sadly all up North at this stage. Majority of showers are SNOW over Scotland, some turning to sleet/wet snow in Northern England. Watch that little lot come Southwards as the day progresses and in term the ATs and associated DPs will drop quite dramatically. The longer we can delay the action the better. Currently in Newbury, it's 8.9c AT, 3.9c DP, 12mph 5 min avg Westerly, 1014.7mb rising slowly Barometer.

Currently the snow line is South of Edinburgh and there is sleetiness showing up in the showers in the North of England. As I stated before, we don't particularly want these disturbances in the flow turning up too early, so the proper radar watching needs to take place well after dark. Everyone's Temperatures however will start nosediving from Mid Afternoon onwards if not before. Currently 8.4c AT, 4.4c DP, 5 min avg windspeed of 5mph NNW, 1014.1mb rapidly rising Barometer, in Newbury, Berkshire.

EDIT: By the way, I am confident that next weekend will throw some sort of event at us as well, so all in all, everything but the kitchen sink is likely.