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-uksnow-

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Everything posted by -uksnow-

  1. -uksnow-
    Drove through a light snow shower in horndean just now!
  2. -uksnow-
    I never said it was going to happen but there so far has been a trend away from blasting the low through and sending more energy under on the 12z's http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?ech=96&code=0&mode=0&carte=0 check out the GEFS, even at t96 there is huge variability on the synoptics, make of it what you will.
  3. -uksnow-
    Sorry, might stop what exactly?
  4. -uksnow-
    We don't, its just well know GFS often overdoes low pressures so im obliged to side with the UKMO that has verified alot better than the GFS the whole winter.
  5. -uksnow-
    0.5res has another band coming up friday, not making much inroads though
  6. -uksnow-
    Have to see if ECM supports this, but with further adjustment south, could be another snow event? GFS has none of it (when does it ever?) and goes full steam ahead with SW'erlys
  7. -uksnow-
    Big difference between UKMO and GFS at t96. UKMO has almost got an undercut, I think the GFS has over deepened the low again with a 15mb difference between them GFS: UKMO: Icelandic wedge sending it south
  8. -uksnow-
    Is the area of developing PPN associated with the lower thickness/trough swinging up?
  9. -uksnow-
    Are you talking out door work i.e. Building a house for a living or outdoor work for gardening? As anyone complaining about gardening, its really not that bad, i spent most the day out there last weekend and alot of the easter weekend, just gotta get moving and its fine, man up everyone
  10. -uksnow-
    Doesn't start till 7pm, were in BST now.
  11. -uksnow-
    UKMO has little bit of snow for SE and South on Thursday - finally.
  12. -uksnow-
    UKMO has little bit of snow for SE and South on Thursday - finally.
  13. -uksnow-
    I must sound like a broken record i know, but several days ago the mean first rose above -5 at the 5th of April, then the 7th of April, now its gone the 9th! Remarkable eh, but upwards trend yes, looks nice.
  14. -uksnow-
    anyone looking for snow, the 06z pummels us this thursday http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/index.php
  15. -uksnow-
    Whole of Ireland, Western Scotland and Midlands southwards of England have -4 uppers, N + E Scotland and N England have -2
  16. -uksnow-
    More impressive, look at those dew points! http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=current;type=mind
  17. -uksnow-
    Yes there is, ECM, GFS and UKMO all hinting it, wont be able to pinpoint locations yet as they all have different North-South boundaries but there is a genuine chance yes.
  18. -uksnow-
    Could being the operative word, as what would seem more likely is lower pressure dropping down from the NE, bringing lower thickeness and perhaps more ppn.
  19. -uksnow-
    Snowing!
  20. -uksnow-
    Yep ECM brings this up (ref to what SK is talking about)
  21. -uksnow-
    Both Op and Control are in agreement about the potential for something from the NE at 192hrs, FI i know, but they are both singing from the same sheet. Op Control Looking through the rest of the ptbs there is general support for this with some v.cold runs and very few mild runs at this timeframe. It's not over yet! Oh and i found a beauty for Purga:
  22. -uksnow-
    Netweather Extra has it all as rain for channel islands.
  23. -uksnow-
    And the mean stays at or extremely close to -5 up until gone the 8th now, its rapidly being extended! ECM at 144 has dropped its idea of such low thickness moving up from france however there are still differences with the UKMO at same time period More energy being flung up from the low on the ECM.
  24. -uksnow-
    I really do want it to warm up for you just so you dont have to chase mild FI charts every run, as thats the only time they are ever appearing at the moment! However, given the GFS's performance this winter and the fact the meto think its tosh post 144 (and even before?) i'm far from convinced by it yet. Look at the difference between GFS and UKMO @ only 96hrs GFS: UKMO: Given that the patterns dont match at even that timescale, and the UKMO is alot higher in the verifcation stats than GFS at the moment, i fail to see a way out of this easterly phase yet. The chaos theory would cause the pattern post this timeframe to be largely wrong, it may be similar but i cant see it being right in HI RES, meaning that when it drops to low res, what hope to we have! Keep up the mild hunting
  25. -uksnow-
    Just a little update with the Chicks - 10 hatched out of 18 eggs, not a bad turn out, one batch of eggs was infertile but I guess that's a risk you take getting them off ebay with transport etc! Ed
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