-uksnow-
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Everything posted by -uksnow-
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Model Output Discussion - Heading Away From Easter
-uksnow- replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM mean @240 is one for the archives surely, whole country apart from the far south western tip of the UK in -5 uppers as the mean Incredible -
Has it further east than that!
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South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 24th March 2013 22:00hrs>
-uksnow- replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
'Hi perfect' sounds like a cheesy chat up line, something your not telling us John ? -
Model Output Discussion - Heading Away From Easter
-uksnow- replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
However Gavin, a couple of days ago i noted that the mean didn't reach -5 until the 5th of April, and now it doesnt rise above it until the 7th of April, arguably even the 8th. There's no doubt in my mind that the cold is being extended day by day, the only reason the mean really does rise is the scatter caused by FI as were never going to get strong agreement post 168 hrs imo. I just wonder how long it can really go on for...! -
South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 24th March 2013 22:00hrs>
-uksnow- replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Check out this little fella, hatched about 3 minutes ago! We have another 7, with another two eggs 'pipped' (started hatching) so I'll upload a nicer one later on today when they're all dried out -
Spring Model Discussion 25th March 2013 012z onwards
-uksnow- replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Updated 120hr fax How much further can it get in.. -
South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 24th March 2013 22:00hrs>
-uksnow- replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Steve, Would this produce a thames streamer of sort? -
Spring Model Discussion 25th March 2013 012z onwards
-uksnow- replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Under she goes... Amazing. -
Spring Model Discussion 25th March 2013 012z onwards
-uksnow- replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Is this condusive of a Thames Streamer? -
Not sure if already posted but.. Updated 72hr fax Compared to this mornings 84hr (for same time period) Ditched the idea of the triple point and instead have two seperate fronts, hard to tell whether these may swing enough for a dusting, have to wait and see, but interesting none the less. Also the trough Ian commented on yesterday about not having much support is back, and is flirting with the far SE Thursday lunchtime
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Spring Model Discussion 25th March 2013 012z onwards
-uksnow- replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Not sure if already posted but.. Updated 72hr fax Compared to this mornings 84hr (for same time period) Ditched the idea of the triple point and instead have two seperate fronts, hard to tell whether these may swing enough for a dusting, have to wait and see, but interesting none the less. Also the trough Ian commented on yesterday about not having much support is back, and is flirting with the far SE Thursday lunchtime -
Spring Model Discussion 25th March 2013 012z onwards
-uksnow- replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Bitter cold on its last legs?! http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gens/graphe_ens3.php?x=250&ext=1&y=40&run=6&runpara=0 Ens say differently, mean doesnt get above -5 850hpa until the 5th of April! -
well that didnt last!
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South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 24th March 2013 22:00hrs>
-uksnow- replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Evening John, Yep, preferebly would like to see it 50 miles further north and 50 miles further west as it'll be being dragged E away into the continient with the departing LP, will it not? God im picky Ah blast, John, fergie just replied to my post in the mod thread which was the same as my one in here saying -
Spring Model Discussion 25th March 2013 012z onwards
-uksnow- replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
ECM showing perhaps something for Cornwall, and a dusting over the south coast -
South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 24th March 2013 22:00hrs>
-uksnow- replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Trough in the flow on 72hrs fax chart threat of snow for home counties, SE and EA? -
Spring Model Discussion 25th March 2013 012z onwards
-uksnow- replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Lets just see where it sits in the ens - i suspect the mean wont show a similar output. Anyhoo, looking a bit closer ahead in the time frame, anyone spot the trough on the 72hr fax? Perhaps bringing the threat of snow to the home counties, the SE and EA One to watch -
Spring Model Discussion 25th March 2013 012z onwards
-uksnow- replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Please someone correct me if im wrong, but doesnt the 12z ECM introduce the ppn quite far in Taking its view at 96hrs the position of the low and comparing it too the March 11th snow event that put 5-10cm across parts of the south (6cm IMBY) I appreciate that low was 6mb deeper, but the one projected for later this week is slightly further north? -
I've had that yesterday and today, so light the radar wouldnt have picked it up, perhaps an explanation is that snowflakes can travel around 25 miles from where they left the cloud before reaching the ground, and takes them up to one hour!
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Absolutely baking bloody freezing here today!
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1.3 Degrees -2.5 windchill Apparant temp: -3.3 DP: -3.8