danm

Well, well, well ladies & gentlemen. Looks like we may have a serious snow event on our hands! I know a lot of us got a good dumping in Feb, so excluding that event, I can safely say that i think we all deserve it. Its been too long. I just hope there are no last minute downgrades. Keep your praying hat on, and hope it all goes to plan.

Have u guys seen the countryfile forecast? It was absolutely brilliant for our area. Potentially a LOT of snow. http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b00pr2lt Go to 46mins 12secs

Just saw BBC weather, Phil Avery showing a band of snow moving south on tuesday, looks like it could affect our region. Not sure how much ppn will be left on the front by then, might be relatively light, but will have to wait and see nearer the time. EDIT: Also doesnt look like the really cold air will dig in until monday here. Temps still showed 4c tomorrow for the SE and 1c on monday.

Surely marginality wont be a factor by tuesday? i would of thought that by then any precipitation would only be snow.

and that was followed by this...

And theyre basically saying the snow on tues/weds wont affect London and the far SE? I would have thought we'd be affected.

It does seem to have gotten a bit too mild this afternoon for my liking.

Its currently 5c at Heathrow! It cant see how this is going to be anything more than marginal.

Mate, there are obviously more people on this board from the SE than the north, hence why there are 21 threads for the East Anglia & SE discussion and only 6 for the NE. There are posts from people giving information about prospects up north, but if you find people talking more about the south then that is because of a combination of this being a fairly rare event for the south, plus there being more ppl on the board from the south (It is the most populous area of the country after all. More people live in London than the whole of Scotland). A the end of the day, many people from the north have made this complaint on this and the TWO board. All i would say is that if 70% of people (or any other significant %) on this board were from the north, then i doubt they'd all be sacrificing making IMBY posts and making lots of posts about the south rather than the north. If you are finding that you are not getting the information you require about your own area, then simply participate in the discussion and ask questions about prospects up north. I am sure you will get dedicated and well informed replies from the more senior members on the board about snow prospects for where you live.

Just looked out the window to see a light dusting! I missed the snow actually falling, so it cant have snowed for long. Pavements, edge of the road, cars, grass and roofs all covered with a sugary dusting.

On your own mate!

Some ppl in the north east discussion thread are saying the ppn currently over the NE is marginal, with some slightly milder uppers.

Good or bad in your opinion?

To be honest, very few ppl were talking about a "deluge" of snow for the midlands, wales, nw england from that low. There wasnt a significant pool of cold air over us at that point, upper temps were generally too high for pure snow and therefore it always looked marginal. And it was. Some higher parts of Wales got a lot of snow, and some low-lying parts of the Midlands did get quite a bit of falling snow, although not much settled. Now all the models are showing a very cold weather pattern over the next week, and the POTENTIAL for heavy snow. We dont just have one model showing this, but all are showing a somewhat similar pattern that hasnt been seen before in the internet era. I think everyone is fully aware that we should only really get excited when the charts appear within 48 hours, but the fact that a significant trend is being picked up by all models should make all of us sit up and take notice. These charts havent materialised to this extent before since we have had access to them in this way.

Agreed. Some of you have to realise that although the fine details of amounts of snow and where it will fall etc are yet to be decided, there is now broad model agreement for a very cold spell of weather. Whether that will bring heavy snow, we will have to wait and see, but this isnt just one model that is showing the potential for blizzards in FI, most models are showing the same trend. And i know we have to wait until these charts appear within 48 hours to get truly excited, we cannot discount the possibility that this could turn out to be an exceptionally cold and snowy period. Its rare for southern Britain to get this kind of weather, but it has happened several times before. And we are long overdue this kind of weather. AFter nearly 2 decades of waiting, the clock has been ticking for another severe spell to happen again. This might just be the time. Always have a sceptical eye, but dont become so sceptical as to ignore a significant trend the models seem to picking up on.

Welcome!

Latest faxes look good for our area tomorrow night and sunday.

Looks good! Surely that trough moving down from the north will give most of us some snow. Hopefully it wont fizzle out as it pushes south. There also looks like a small trough pushing in from the NE to SE areas after the main trough pushes through.

Seriously ignore the BBC forecasts beyond 2 days. All the models are pointing to freezing cold weather, with the potential for snow come monday and tuesday.

Seriously mate, youre always banging on about how theres going to be heavy snow and heavy showers, streamers etc. Are you just trying to wind people up?

The warnings are out for Essex, Kent & E Sussex, yet a large circle appears in the middle without a warning, i.e London, as if the snow will just magically take a detour around the capital and meander into East Sussex. Surely some parts of east London have a chance of being affected?

Why is London and the far SE being left out of the widespread snow warning from the Met Office for Friday? Surely the cold air will have reached everywhere by then.

Anyone want to discuss the latest faxes and the "barbed" lines it is showing over the SE for friday? Ppl are saying possibly streamers?

Looks like this could be an epic cold spell. I hope the charts beyond saturday verify. Looking at the model agreement that is shaping up, it looks increasingly likely that they will verify to something at least near to what is being shown.

100% agree. I said this yesterday, that for our region don't expect anything but rain. It was always marginal even for those in the midlands and Wales, let alone for us. Our best bet looks to be thursday night to saturday, and then POSSIBLY on monday if that projected low from the SW takes a favourable path. The next 3 days were always going to be a write-off