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Downpour

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Everything posted by Downpour

  1. Downpour
    Really? Can you post a chart that implies flooding issues?
  2. Downpour
    The GFS noon run is a seriously good one if you are chasing heat. It marks an almost full-scale backtrack to the other two big models, and brings in a warm spell lasting at least a week or so starting Monday. There are tiny variations between the big three but a warming picture, the hotter the further south and east one is. London and the Home Counties looking at several days of values above 80f next week.
  3. Downpour
    Indeed all eyes on that. It might backtrack given the lack of support for the op in its own ensembles.
  4. Downpour
    Was this morning's GFS a cold outlier? I'm rushing through but can't see much support for the trough crashing through from its own ensembles.
  5. Downpour
    At work so short of time, did this morning's GFS op go with the ECM (I assume so by the posts above)?
  6. Downpour
    Yes, it is rather odd behaviour from the ECM op run, sending out consecutive hot outliers. But, as you imply, the trend might well be the friend of those hunting for heat.
  7. Downpour
    If members could talk only about certainties, it would rather defeat the object of this forum. I think speculation about the veracity of ECM’s Day 9 heatwave is valid. It’s been showing on the last two runs now.
  8. Downpour
    Raging heat, humidity and instability not my cup of tea although accept other members relish it. My interpretation of the models is that France will go into the cooker again but S/E borrowing the heat, with several warm days possible. Think a full blown heatwave is odds against, but in the mix certainly.
  9. Downpour
    Some fabulous charts starting to come through for the final week of July. Interesting to see how these develop.
  10. Downpour
    A write off? Really? Implied totals look fairly modest to me, to be honest. I could use more rain for my parched garden.
  11. Downpour
    It seems to be bang average summer conditions to me. Dry and warm in the south this weekend. Some much needed rainfall midweek, a slow improvement through next weekend. That’s very typical for England, if you want wall to wall heat and drought, this is not the country for you. There has been almost no measurable rain here for a fortnight. It is welcome!
  12. Downpour
    That's a fair roundup. It's often said that you can predict the nature of a post by the name of the poster. Some very useable weather, better in the south.
  13. Downpour
    A very fine, benign and pleasant summer outlook on the models. You just can’t been the English summer in early July when the Azores high is ridging in. No oppressive raging heat, just long bright warm days. Long may it continue.
  14. Downpour
    Generally speaking northern blocking is not the be all and end all in summer, particularly down here in the SE. Plenty of very pleasant days ahead.
  15. Downpour
    32c possible, even likely, in London on Saturday. Then day after day of 24c plus for the foreseeable., according to the models. Quite a remarkable turnaround from the cool conditions of early June. Those who relish severe heat should get on the train to Avignon, where it will be 40c+ within 48 hours. Not my cup of tea, but whatever floats your boat.
  16. Downpour
    32.2c Heathrow, Friday 28 June.
  17. Downpour
    Extraordinary runs coming forward in the last 24 hours.
  18. Downpour
    By far the best weather app out there – actually blends all the models and it infinitely superior to BBC/Apple Weather or any such guff
  19. Downpour
    41c in London would be disgusting. Believe me, you don't want to experience 100F down here!!
  20. Downpour
    Indeed the model out for as early as this weekend shows a classic NW/SE split developing – fairly bog standard summer fare really, but average conditions are pleasant in the SE.
  21. Downpour
    Spot on – a very astute post. It's useful to bank some rainfall in June, to top up the water table.
  22. Downpour
    A very fair and balanced summary.
  23. Downpour
    NW/SE split. Classic summer fare really – nothing out of the ordinary.
  24. Downpour
    Quite a misleading post, I'd venture. Next week is looking pretty good down here. If several days of temps 23c+ aren't "remotely like summer" then I don't know what is, to be perfectly honest.
  25. Downpour
    Looks like a classic NW/SE split to me in the short-medium term. Much improved temperatures in the SE next week, with 25c possible in London. All in all fairly standard summer fare at the ground at least down here (which is very pleasant). Longer term we want to hope ECM is right about collapsing the high over Greenland as we enter the astronomical summer.
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