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Downpour

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Everything posted by Downpour

  1. Downpour
    Back to the models, wet at times tomorrow, nice Thursday, wet at times Friday and Saturday then improving. BH looks warm in the SE - but a long way to go!
  2. Downpour
    Looks wet at times but relatively modest in the SE quadrant where lots of members live. Sunday looking brighter then better next week.
  3. Downpour
    Interesting outlook for the long BH weekend. That is what most people will be focusing on. Warm and dry, sunny, on current charts. But still relatively far away in forecasting terms.
  4. Downpour
    Yes, this weekend is interesting. Looks pretty good west of the meridian and south of the Trent. Next week, fine weather to be had in the east. A developing picture on the models, hence lack of commitment on TV forecasts I would venture.
  5. Downpour
    Interesting. Largely dry west of the meridian in the south.
  6. Downpour
    Interesting. There’s actually rather a lack of stations in that part of the world.
  7. Downpour
    Indeed. I think the nearest station is RAF Wittering? All eyes on that?
  8. Downpour
    Will be an interesting ECM this evening. Eyes down. Look in.
  9. Downpour
    That’s so far away in forecasting terms it’s hardly worth commenting on. ECM gives a breakdown of sorts on Friday but would still be a warm weekend for points SE (but 26c rather than 36c!)
  10. Downpour
    That would be my reading too. The Azores High very quick noses in from the SW once the dome from the S departs. So next weekend looking warm, better the further S and E you go.
  11. Downpour
    Yes, next weekend could be nice - not raging heat but very warm.
  12. Downpour
    The 12z is still a very good run. And it clears out the funk Thursday/Friday to give a good weekend in the SE quadrant next weekend.
  13. Downpour
    It's gone mad. It has 30c in London midnight Friday 26 July into Saturday 27 July.
  14. Downpour
    GFS 6z is awful – if you dislike hot weather. Pushes the trough back into Biscay late next week and pumps up insane levels of heat. Hot outlier, barely plausible.
  15. Downpour
    Good post on the closed thread about the quick recovery after Thursday(isn) breakdown. Next weekend 26-28 July looking pleasant in the SE quadrant?
  16. Downpour
    Indeed, and then the trough to the west fills out. Leaving it dry and settled, but not hot, in the SE by next weekend...
  17. Downpour
    Sure, but month’s end is an eternity away in forecasting terms. What’s the outlook until 29 July?
  18. Downpour
    Several members disregard the 18z as the pub run. But I dare say many will be interested tonight. If the ECM has support, we could be looking at a prolonged heatwave.
  19. Downpour
    I’m assuming this insane run will be a hot outlier. It’s been kicking out some crap recently. This morning’s effort was the exact opposite.
  20. Downpour
    ECM toying with a serious heatwave. Where is that low going? Eyes down, look in.
  21. Downpour
    Will be interesting to see how this rolls out. @CreweCold fair play to you.
  22. Downpour
    That’s interesting coming from one of the most rational and talented members on this forum (and one who is NOT a heat fan?). I’ll take a look. Eyes down, look in, for the ECM.
  23. Downpour
    Nope. The 6z wants to keep the SE dry next weekend, following a midweek dousing. Nothing like "days of torrential storms", it shows no such thing. Now, it might not verify, but the model shows it to be largely dry.
  24. Downpour
    Trending well. Pushing the trough out to the west, which will be very welcome if it verifies.
  25. Downpour
    I sometimes think people post what they want to happen on this forum, rather than what the models show. The GFS 6z suggests no such thing, in fact it keeps the SE warm and dry beyond next weekend. A NW/SE split on the cards perhaps?
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