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Downpour

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Everything posted by Downpour

  1. Downpour
    Yes, it’s probably unlikely to transpire like that, and is in FI anyway. A generally improving picture after today I would say. Better, as is usually the case, in the South East.
  2. Downpour
    I’ll be banking both the ECM and the GEM landlord, put them behind the bar, I’ll take them home with me.
  3. Downpour
    Yes GFS 06z is a lovely run for points south – generally high pressure dominated after the next ropey couple of days then a rather pronounced NW/SE split in FI at the end of its run.
  4. Downpour
    NW/SE split incoming.
  5. Downpour
    Buy shares in Hawaiian Tropic. The CFS must be the most unreliable model out there.
  6. Downpour
    ECM gives a decent weekend down here then heads pear-shaped in FI. I’d take a warmish weekend to usher in the pubs opening. As you say earlier, my best guess is that the Azores High punches harder as we approach high summer.
  7. Downpour
    A NW/SE split seems to be the form horse. Fairly typical British summer set up really!
  8. Downpour
    Core of the low in Biarritz on the Franco-Spanish border by Friday
  9. Downpour
    It remains possible that the bulk of the rain ends up falling in the Celtic Sea
  10. Downpour
    By boring, do you mean, warm(ish), sunny and dry under high pressure? Because that's what that chart shows. What is boring is the endless rains. A welcome break from the current pattern is the opposite of dull.
  11. Downpour
    In what respect? Utterly wet and miserable from November to March? Some gift.
  12. Downpour
    Yes, surprised how heavy the snow is here in Chingford Dan. But, as you say, nothing settling!
  13. Downpour
    Trends Steve, trends.
  14. Downpour
    Best I can find Blast is 10/1 sub 60% with Laddies. Suspect those odds have shortened given recent model runs.
  15. Downpour
    True summer - astronomical summer - going out with a bang potentially? Warm if not very warm this weekend with the chance of storms to usher in the equinox.
  16. Downpour
    Warm if not very warm for the foreseeable on the models. A truly memorable bank holiday weekend in prospect, which will be welcomed by many. It’s been a up and down sort of summer. But if you take summer as 21 June to 21 Sep (as I do), it could be a ‘good’ summer overall.
  17. Downpour
    It's been way off at a similar range several times this summer. It's becoming a cannon fodder model, at least where UK forecasting is concerned.
  18. Downpour
    GFS has been a shockingly poor performer of late, no doubt about it.
  19. Downpour
    Fabulous output in the quintessential summer month.
  20. Downpour
    Output getting better and better for the bank holiday weekend. ECM has trailed this well. Kudos if it got it right from maximum range.
  21. Downpour
    Yes good shout on this earlier. It didn’t look plausible and you nailed it. Bank hol weekend looking pretty decent with the Saturday probably the best day of the three.
  22. Downpour
    Really? Do you have evidence that they have that tendency? Not that it’s in any way relevant anyway. You might as well consult tea leaves.
  23. Downpour
    Bank holiday weekend looking warm if not very warm for the SE quadrant. Interesting. And well trailed by the models, if it comes off.
  24. Downpour
    25c and sunny skies now a real prospect in the SE quadrant over the bank holiday weekend. That will be welcomed by many. Fantastic charts, classic English summer conditions, not too hot but warm and lovely.
  25. Downpour
    Models shaping up here. BH weekend looking promising indeed.
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