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Everything posted by Downpour
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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
Downpour replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
I’d expect that to be downgraded to yet more cold rain nearer the time. -
Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?
Downpour replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Will be another cold rain fest for the majority of the UK population as things stand. Not cold enough, again. 850s too warm, again. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
Downpour replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
They certainly over-ramp temperatures, and the language they use is highly irritating. ”Temperatures recovering”, “thankfully it will be milder” and “bad weather” (snow), are par for the course. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2020 onwards
Downpour replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Agreed on the concrete posts and boards! Bella was a bit of a nothing burger from my POV. Went to bed with the weather dry, it rained and blew all night when I was asleep, now it’s dry again! -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Downpour replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The Organisation’s 0400 update looks fine to me. Chilly, with snow showers mentioned. Would appear largely in line with the model output. -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Downpour replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is she a French model? -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2019 onwards
Downpour replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
It’s rather like Jean de Florette in the eponymous film. I’m with you. -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Downpour replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The stalemate this week has been pretty bloody good for the SE! I’ve been on an off road biking tour across Essex and Suffolk and have a good tan. Lots of sunshine around and some lovely warm days. -
Summer 2020 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Downpour replied to CheesepuffScott's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Glorious again down here. Decent outlook too. -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Downpour replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You are just reading the model wrongly. It’s the Contrary Forecasting System: look at its runs then forecast the exact opposite and you’ll be quids in. (P.S. ECM looks decent for the south/east quadrant) -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Downpour replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Indeed, but that’s enough down here to give us nice warm days. Realise it’s not sufficient up north hence why I say it would be good to see it take control. -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Downpour replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well it’s made it several times down here. Would be good to see it take control over the U.K. and give our northern friends something summery. -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Downpour replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We seem to have gone from a position where charts showing the AH nudging in at 6-day range were treated as cannon fodder to those showing mega-troughs at 9-day range are being treated as gospel! This is the WeatherPro app output for London in the coming days. Nothing noteworthy, but pretty decent! -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Downpour replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ha ha – call me a misery guts, but when has CFS ever been right?? Isn't it known as the Contrary Forecasting System? Still, one can but dream!! -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Downpour replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looking at those mean charts the 6z Op will be a massive cold outlier. They don't look half bad!