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Downpour

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Everything posted by Downpour

  1. Downpour
    Yes the GFS 6z is absolutely dire. That one genuinely deserves the billing.
  2. Downpour
    That picture tells a thousand words. No wonder this place is a SE vs the rest battleground 90% of the time.
  3. Downpour
    Not sure about that! Many Netweather members call “dire and unsettled” whenever it’s anything but a massive UK high. Take today for example, actually a warm and decent day down here. Not clear blue skies, but perfectly useable weather.
  4. Downpour
    Again, it’s location based. It’s fine if unremarkable down here - decentish summer weather. In the NW, it’s crappy. UKM looks better outside the far NW.
  5. Downpour
    Surprised how warm it is here. Just been out to the postbox expecting a chill but it's rather warm. Sun now popping in and out. Pleasant.
  6. Downpour
    Very different climate to London certainly – not the Arctic Circle but not far off!!
  7. Downpour
    Yes, that's my reading too, mb. I have just checked the raw data from GFS for the week ahead too – and that looks pretty darned decent away from the NW. Sometimes this forum can appear misleading but I think much of it is that members read the models (quite understandably) with their location in mind. The NW/SE split is a common animal but can cause much consternation and confusion!
  8. Downpour
    Yes and still lots of summer to go! Not sure why we seem to be taking an underwhelming Day 7 ECM as gospel yet poo-pooing a nice Day 8 and Day 9 chart. Sooner or later the Azores High will take control.
  9. Downpour
    Please carry on as you are. I enjoy your posts and most of the hyperbole and hysteria on here is born of the simple fact that much of the weather in an average summer is a NW/SE split.
  10. Downpour
    Again, it looks a benign and generally pleasant outlook for the SE beyond two ropey midweek days tomorrow and Wednesday. Not a raging heatwave but many of us don’t want that - I absolutely hate hot nights.
  11. Downpour
    LOL. Forecasting precipitation from GFS in the far reaches of FI! I dare say that says it all – a much more summery picture ahead in the south for the foreseeable.
  12. Downpour
    The Azores High now a clear form horse as we approach the weekend. No extreme heat nor oppressive nights, just lovely weather for the south as the children break up for the school holidays.
  13. Downpour
    Deterministic run I think i.e. the op run
  14. Downpour
    Depends where you are though. All models look decent in the SE. Usual NW/SE disclaimer applies.
  15. Downpour
    GFS sees a noreasterly regression of the fabled Greeny/Icy low and allows the AH to take charge from next weekend. A summery outlook! Massive kudos to Exeter LRF if they had this nailed a week ago.
  16. Downpour
    Yes, something of a SE/NW split in there (runs for cover)
  17. Downpour
    Bring it on. No point wasting summer weather when the kids are at school. Here’s to a proper summer!
  18. Downpour
    Yup it’s a warm outlier but at least commands some support from the general trend of its ensembles. Onwards and upwards!
  19. Downpour
    ECM and GFS have moved towards UKMO and GEM rather than vice versa. Who knew?
  20. Downpour
    Fair play to you for sticking your neck out. We shall see!
  21. Downpour
    Yes, it gets there - eventually!
  22. Downpour
    It would certainly save billions of public money! I know this is controversial but I prefer the ECM. At least it deals with the low midweek and allows the AH to ridge in for next weekend (start of the school holidays). I’d definitely prefer that solution to having the low blob around the place causing endless misery a la GFS! Call it short(er) term pain for long(er) term gain. Overall, of course, UKM and GEM are preferred.
  23. Downpour
    That's a peach, and again really shunts the Icelandic Demon out of the way. GFS, by contrast, has it bouncing around the northern UK for the duration, causing chaos and misery to all it touches.
  24. Downpour
    Looks like a cannon fodder run but we shall see.
  25. Downpour
    Yes, excellent output from the Office. Hints of the Azores High finally getting the upper hand over that blasted Icelandic low. As you say, ideally it will take charge and allow northerners some decent weather instead of the dreaded NW/SE split.
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