More evidence on the table now to suggest we are heading for quite a significant cold spell as we move towards the back end of winter. ECM still looks fantastic even with some slight inter-run differences but it maintains the theme of blocking to out NW and seriously deep cold air heading towards the UK from the North Pole, UKMO also starting to look interesting and some good agreement with the ECM by T144.
If we can establish the blocking in the right place then we may very well experience the coldest and snowiest weather of the whole winter, a big ask but confidence is steadily increasing for a notable wintry outbreak.