Cat 5 Hurricane Katrina

[rixxxgolf]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

WOW!!!! Look at the pure engineering of the eye!! it's almost PERFECT.

[Kain]

Good job it ain't got a nose, if that sneezes it would make a big sticky mess :lol:

Kain

[i luv snow]

in time to make last test match a draw perhaps? :lol: lol

[NJWx]

Hey,im new here but post around weather boards..anywho, Katrina really starting to look Catastrophic for the city of New Orleans

heres the latest recon:

678

URNT12 KNHC 281825

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE

A. 28/1755Z

B. 26 DEG 20 MIN N

88 DEG 39 MIN W

C. 700 MB 2242 M

D. N/A

E. N/A

F. 140 DEG 160 KT

G. 050 DEG 22 NM

H. 902 MB

I. 14 C/ 3050 M

J. 29 C/ 3064 M

K. 6 C/ NA

L. CLOSED WALL

M. C25

N. 1234/7

O. 1/1 NM

P. NOAA3 1812A KATRINA OB 05

MAX FL WIND 160 KTS NE QUAD 1743Z

EXCELLENT RADAR PRESENTATION

and here is the perfect eye of this amazing hurricane

[Ryan M]

Look at its pure size!!!!!

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Yes, the whole system is bigger than the State of Louisiana :lol: that is BIG

[NJWx]

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA

1011 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005

...DEVASTATING DAMAGE EXPECTED...

.HURRICANE KATRINA...A MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE WITH UNPRECEDENTED STRENGTH...RIVALING THE INTENSITY OF HURRICANE CAMILLE OF 1969.

MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS...PERHAPS LONGER. AT LEAST ONE HALF OF WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE ROOF AND WALL FAILURE. ALL GABLED ROOFS WILL FAIL...LEAVING THOSE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.

THE MAJORITY OF INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BECOME NON FUNCTIONAL. PARTIAL TO COMPLETE WALL AND ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED. ALL WOOD FRAMED LOW RISING APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED. CONCRETE BLOCK LOW RISE APARTMENTS WILL SUSTAIN MAJOR DAMAGE...INCLUDING SOME WALL AND ROOF FAILURE.

HIGH RISE OFFICE AND APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL SWAY DANGEROUSLY...A FEW TO THE POINT OF TOTAL COLLAPSE. ALL WINDOWS WILL BLOW OUT.

AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL BE WIDESPREAD...AND MAY INCLUDE HEAVY ITEMS SUCH AS HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES AND EVEN LIGHT VEHICLES. SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND LIGHT TRUCKS WILL BE MOVED. THE BLOWN DEBRIS WILL CREATE ADDITIONAL DESTRUCTION. PERSONS...PETS...AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH IF STRUCK.

POWER OUTAGES WILL LAST FOR WEEKS...AS MOST POWER POLES WILL BE DOWN AND TRANSFORMERS DESTROYED. WATER SHORTAGES WILL MAKE HUMAN SUFFERING INCREDIBLE BY MODERN STANDARDS.

THE VAST MAJORITY OF NATIVE TREES WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. ONLY THE HEARTIEST WILL REMAIN STANDING...BUT BE TOTALLY DEFOLIATED. FEW CROPS WILL REMAIN. LIVESTOCK LEFT EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL BE KILLED.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR HURRICANE FORCE...OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE...ARE CERTAIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

ONCE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ONSET...DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE!

[i luv snow]

my god! is tht warning for real :lol:

[Paranoid]

I'm going to have to try and stay awake to follow all this up on Fox news. Problem is that the storm will hit around 04:00am here. Those lucky Americans get it early in the evening.

Looks like it's time to break out the coffee and biscuits

[NJWx]

[Ryan M]

Welcome to N-W NJWx, I think that has been posted earlier on in this thread, the hurricane should exceed what the warning earlier today said :lol:

[NJWx]

just the size of this hurricane is unreal

[Mondy]

Stuff yer posted images, this loop is impressive, :lol: click

[Kain]

4am???

I thought it was going to be about 1pm tomorrow our time?

Kain

[i luv snow]

is fox news channel on ntl digital?? or just sky? or where can i get it?lol

[SnowBear]

4pm Advisory

TCPAT2

BULLETIN

HURRICANE KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 24

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

4 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005

...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE KATRINA HEADED FOR THE

NORTHERN GULF COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST

FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA

BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED THIS

EVENING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM

EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND FROM

WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN FLORIDA

EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...AND FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY

LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 89.0 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES

SOUTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...AND A GRADUAL

TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS

TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF

COAST EARLY MONDAY. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY BEGINNING TO

DETERIORATE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN GULF

COAST...AND WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN THROUGH THE NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 165 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

KATRINA IS A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON

THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY

UNTIL LANDFALL. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AT CATEGORY

FOUR OR FIVE INTENSITY. WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF

HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR

GROUND LEVEL.

KATRINA IS A LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD

UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE

WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST. SOUTHWEST

PASS...NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...RECENTLY REPORTED

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 48 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 53 MPH.

A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF

902 MB...26.64 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 18 TO 22 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE

LEVELS...LOCALLY AS HIGH AS 28 FEET...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS

BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE

CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. SOME LEVEES IN THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA

COULD BE OVERTOPPED. SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL OCCUR

ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF

15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF KATRINA ACROSS THE GULF

COAST AND THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES

ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES

REGION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING THIS EVENING OVER

SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...AND ALABAMA...AND

OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...26.9 N... 89.0 W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 902 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE

CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM

CDT.

FORECASTER PASCH

[NJWx]

5PM UPDATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HURRICANE KATRINA

158

WTNT32 KNHC 282041

TCPAT2

BULLETIN

HURRICANE KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 24

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

4 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005

...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE KATRINA HEADED FOR THE

NORTHERN GULF COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST

FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA

BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED THIS

EVENING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM

EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND FROM

WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN FLORIDA

EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...AND FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY

LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 89.0 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES

SOUTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...AND A GRADUAL

TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS

TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF

COAST EARLY MONDAY. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY BEGINNING TO

DETERIORATE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN GULF

COAST...AND WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN THROUGH THE NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 165 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

KATRINA IS A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON

THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY

UNTIL LANDFALL. KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AT CATEGORY

FOUR OR FIVE INTENSITY. WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF

HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR

GROUND LEVEL.

KATRINA IS A LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD

UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE

WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST. SOUTHWEST

PASS...NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...RECENTLY REPORTED

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 48 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 53 MPH.

A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF

902 MB...26.64 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 18 TO 22 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE

LEVELS...LOCALLY AS HIGH AS 28 FEET...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS

BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE

CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. SOME LEVEES IN THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA

COULD BE OVERTOPPED. SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL OCCUR

ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF

15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF KATRINA ACROSS THE GULF

COAST AND THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES

ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES

REGION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING THIS EVENING OVER

SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...AND ALABAMA...AND

OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...26.9 N... 89.0 W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 902 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE

CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM

CDT.

FORECASTER PASCH

[Guest Nelbertine]

Mayor of New Orleans has instituted a 6pm Curfew across the New Orleans Counties.

[Ryan M]

I'm going to have to try and stay awake to follow all this up on Fox news. Problem is that the storm will hit around 04:00am here. Those lucky Americans get it early in the evening

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

I wish I could stay up until 4 am but school in the morning so.... :lol:

[rixxxgolf]

I'm going to have to try and stay awake to follow all this up on Fox news. Problem is that the storm will hit around 04:00am here. Those lucky Americans get it early in the evening.

Looks like it's time to break out the coffee and biscuits

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

No no boss, 7am THERE time - Midday here tomorrow.

[NJWx]

Winds have gone down to 165 but i think thats because its undergoing an eyewall replacement cycle. Should strengthen again by tonight. Pressure down too 902.

For those who dont know, the lowest american hurricane recorded pressure was somewhere around 885 with Hurricane Gilbert.

[kaz]

winds haved roped 165 according to fox news still cat 5

[NJWx]

Hurricane Katrina Discussion Number 24

Statement as of 5:00 PM EDT on August 28, 2005

Katrina is maintaining a classic presentation on satellite

images...and category 5 intensity. The central pressure measured

by a NOAA hurricane hunter plane at 1755z and 1923z was 902

mb...which is the fourth lowest on record in the Atlantic Basin

behind hurricane Gilbert of 1988...the Labor Day hurricane of

1935...and hurricane Allen of 1980. Having said that...data from

the stepped-frequency microwave radiometer instrument on board the

aircraft suggest that the surface to 700 mb flight level wind ratio

is not quite as large as we typically use...and the initial

intensity is adjusted slightly to 145 kt. Hurricanes do not

maintain such great intensity for very long. However there are no

obvious large-scale mechanisms...such as increased vertical

shear...to weaken Katrina. The hurricane is likely to make

landfall with category 4 or 5 intensity.

There is not much change to the track forecast philosophy. Initial

motion is about 315/11. Katrina is expected to gradually turn

northward into a break in the subtropical ridge associated with a

large mid-latitude cyclone near the Great Lakes. The 12z GFDL

hurricane model's track has shifted a little westward...as has the

latest NOGAPS run. The official forecast is slightly to the west

and slightly faster than the previous NHC track. This is very

close to both the dynamical model consensus... and to the latest

FSU superensemble track. Among our most reliable models...only the

U.K. Met. Office is significantly to the east of the official

forecast track. It should be noted that the small change in the

official forecast track is essentially at the noise level. One

should not focus on the exact track...particularly in the case of a

hurricane as large as this one. Destructive effects will likely be

felt well away from the center and it is not possible to specify

which counties or parishes will experience the worst conditions.

On the basis of aircraft flight level and SFMR surface wind

data...the wind radii have been expanded even more over the

northern semicircle. Hurricane force winds are forecast to spread

at least 150 N mi inland along the path of Katrina. Consult inland

hurricane and tropical storm warnings issued by National Weather

Service forecast offices.

Forecaster Pasch

forecast positions and Max winds

initial 28/2100z 26.9n 89.0w 145 kt

12hr VT 29/0600z 28.3n 89.8w 145 kt

24hr VT 29/1800z 30.6n 89.9w 130 kt...inland

36hr VT 30/0600z 33.4n 89.2w 60 kt...inland

48hr VT 30/1800z 36.0n 87.5w 35 kt...inland

72hr VT 31/1800z 41.0n 81.5w 30 kt...inland

96hr VT 01/1800z 48.0n 72.5w 25 kt...extratropical

120hr VT 02/1800z...absorbed

$$

[Ryan M]

No no boss, 7am THERE time - Midday here tomorrow.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Thats when the eye will pass, the actual 'cane will start to pass around 4 am

[Snow Queen one]

I'm going to have to try and stay awake to follow all this up on Fox news. Problem is that the storm will hit around 04:00am here. Those lucky Americans get it early in the evening

Are you for real paranoid. Do you realy think they are lucky? You must be mad My freids got blasted in Miami when Katrina hit at Cat 1 and they were battered good and proper. I would not feel very lucky if this was heading to me. How old are you? Maybe you should rephrase your statement.

[Paranoid]

We got fox news on Sky, channel 531. I think 4am is the time the tropical storm winds hit NO. Anyway, this looks to be a very interesting storm. That seems a little cruel, thinking of all the people who are going to have to try and make it through this.

EDIT: sorry, no offense meant. What i meant was the the Americans will be able to see the events on tv at a time when most of them will be awake. I hope as much as anyone else no-one will be injured or killed, but the chances of that are incredibly minute.