May CET

[VillagePlank]

I was going on the May averages (not the CET series) so the MA only apply over the years to May's CET. Here's the values (in ascending order) to May 2006:

12.1

10.6

11.7

10

11.2

11.2

11.6

10.3

9.9

10.9

11.1

10.1

11.9

13

12.6

10.8

13.6

11.4

10.7

11.6

9.1

11.5

13.1

12.9

12.1

12.6

11.8

12.1

12.1

11.4

12.3

Which gives me a value of 12.505 (I originally, although I did not intend, to, omitted last years figure) so there was an error in my calculations.

[Weather-history]

I was going on the May averages (not the CET series) so the MA only apply over the years to May's CET. Here's the values (in ascending order) to May 2006:

You've lost me. What are those May averages?

EDIT: Its actually academic because Richard made a CET prediction and you can see from those rolling CET averages, I can't see how you can call 12.7 cool, even by today's standards.

[VillagePlank]

They're the Hadley CET.

I'm reworking it, and yes, it does appear that I've made a boo-boo out of this. Report back later.

[Thundery wintry showers]

Still too early to decide. The way recent months have gone, it feels like we'll have a May CET of 44.2C, but as yet that is an unlikely figure.

[Wynn D Woo]

Put me down for a 12.3C, the base line does seem to have moved up a notch.

[Gavin P]

14.7. Exceptionally warm and sunny again, increasing risk of thunderstorms later in the month, when temps may reach 90f.

[Paul]

Based on the experimental CFS CET precictor we ran in December following on from its success in April, I'm going for an extremely warm 15.50c!

[Nick H]

Wow, that would be very good for June, let alone May.

[Paul]

Yep I'm going blindly with the computer prediction from 5 months previous there, which could be foolish I think!

[Paul Sherman]

Going to get mine in before I depart accross the pond, will plump for 13.3c

Paul S

[acbrixton]

Based on the experimental CFS CET precictor we ran in December following on from its success in April, I'm going for an extremely warm 15.50c!

Splutter splutter [Mr Data chokes on his coffee]. 4.2c above normal? Have we ever had a month in the CET history that has been so anomolously warm? Btw what did the CFS predict please for April?

Regards

ACB

[Nick H]

Splutter splutter [Mr Data chokes on his coffee]. 4.2c above normal? Have we ever had a month in the CET history that has been so anomolously warm? Btw what did the CFS predict please for April?

Regards

ACB

I think I recall Paul saying that CFS had forecast a Craig Evans-like figure for this month....so in actual fact it wasn't too far out! What was it again, Paul, about 13C?

[Paul]

The CFS system we ran in december predicted 11.76 for this april.

[acbrixton]

The CFS system we ran in december predicted 11.76 for this april.

Rather impressive as it will be within 0.5 of the likely outcome!

regards

ACB

[summer blizzard]

Yep I'm going blindly with the computer prediction from 5 months previous there, which could be foolish I think!

Should you not use the estimate for May from January?

[snowfluff]

12.9 .... thanks

[DAVID SNOW]

ill try 13.2 . ty.

[Anti-Mild]

I'm going to go for a more 'normal' CET for May of 11.9c, although I reserve the right to amend before Tuesday!

[Mark Bayley]

All the entries so far

Summer Blizzard 10.8c

Snowray 11c

Blast from the past 11.3c

Eddie 11.5c

Benq 11.8c

Anti-Mild 11.9c

Stu London 11.9c

Fish dude 12c

Kold weather 12.1c

James m 12.3c

Windswept 12.3c

Mr data 12.5c

Somerset squall 12.5c

Optimus prime 12.6c

West is best 12.7c

Sundog 12.7c

Steve B 12.8c

Magpie 12.8c

Snowfluff 12.9c

Snowyoul9 12.9c

The Pit 13.0c

Mark Bayley 13.0c

Snowmaiden 13.1c

Stargazer 13.1c

Johnholmes 13.1c

DAVID SNOW 13.2c

PersianPaladin 13.2c

Village plank 13.3c

Paul Sherman 13.3c

Suffolkboy 13.3c

Shuggee 13.3c

Parmenides3 13.7c

Don 13.7c

Stephen prudence 13.9c

Tamara G 13.9c

High pressure 14.0c

Grey Wolf 14.0c

Cymru 14.0c

Vince 14.5c

Rollo 14.6c

Gavin p 14.7c

Skifreak 15.0c

Jimmyay 15.5c

Paul 15.5c

Craig Evans 15.5c

The lowest entry is from SB at 10.8c

The highest entries are from Jimmyay, Paul and craig Evans at 15.5c

B)

[Snowly does it]

Mine apears to be missing from the chart

13.1 was what I said (although I am now thinking more 12.1, but lets stick with what we said!)

13.1 please

[Mark Bayley]

Mine apears to be missing from the chart

13.1 was what I said (although I am now thinking more 12.1, but lets stick with what we said!)

13.1 please

Sorry B) Put it in now

[Snowly does it]

Sorry B) Put it in now

thank you

[Polar Continental]

I haven't got a clue really, but what with this crazy spring we are having, i will go for a crazy high of 14.8c.

Paul

[SNOW-MAN2006]

Well i havent posted for a while, my may forecast is on general spring chat and the CET prediction is a warm 13.9 for me

SM06

[Great Plum]

Right, I'll go for 13.6 please...