when will the rain stop?

[The PIT]

Just been looking at our figures and it's our wettest summer just passing 1956 total of 361.1mm. So far we've got 364.2mm. So passing 400mm is a certainty I think unless August does an April. The driest August was 8.4mm in 1976. The wettest is 2004 with 195.9mm. Our Average for the year is 825.4mm. Shows what a crazy year it is.

[snowmadchrisuk]

28th July.

Heatwave conditions start to spread from the south west to all areas of the country.

Great news for anyone who's booked up a holiday in Cornwall at that time.

Coincidentally...... :lol:

quite funny actually cause it is the 28th of july today and there is no majour heatwave in the south west infact The oppersite as heavy rain is spreading to the south west as we speak.

Lrf's are not worth the paper there written on imo . Good for a laugh though. But i bet nobody predicted this souterly tracking jet in a lrf made during winter.

[Weather-history]

Wettest May-June-July periods for England and Wales

2007 399.2

1789 349.1

1879 342.1

1828 329.5

1782 329.4

Wettest June-July periods for England and Wales

2007 278.6

1768 270.6

1839 267.8

1879 260.7

Wettest May to August periods.....and this is before August has even started

1879: 490.6

1912: 466.3

1860: 463.8

1817: 447.1

1797: 438.6

1828: 428.3

1830: 421.2

1829: 412.9

1931: 411.9

1768: 408.3

1924: 406.5

1792: 401.5

1852: 399.2

2007: 399.2

Wettest Julys

1828 182.6

1834 164.2

1775 158.4

1880 157.5

1888 156.6

1787 155.0

1839 152.9

1816 152.0

1798 149.5

1779 149.3

1767 148.0

1822 145.2

1829 143.7

1875 142.7

1988 139.0

1936 138.0

1796 135.2

1920 132.4

1782 131.7

1855 129.8

1778 129.4

1789 128.0

2007 126.9

[kold weather]

Some really impressive figures there Mr.Data, i take it those figures were upto midnight last night and if so then we should break the 400MM mark for May-June-July, tohugh we probably already have offically as you say.

[SteveB]

Just a thought, but looking at the wettest July's,the last time we had a wetter July than this one was back in 1988. To me that year really signalled the end of cold winters. Maybe This wet July may signal the BEGINNING of cold winters again.

Hey as straw clutching goes this is a major one but you never know.

Edited July 29, 2007 by SteveB

[Stu_London]

Just a thought, but looking at the wettest July's,the last time we had a wetter July than this one was back in 1988. To me that year really signalled the end of cold winters. Maybe This wet July may signal the BEGINNING of cold winters again.

Hey as straw clutching goes this is a major one but you never know.

A dreadfull zonal month if I recall where the temp rarely topped 21C - set the tone for a dreadful zonal winter.

[The PIT]

Amazingly it's managed to rain again and shower clouds are now bubbling up so we may have some more. Quite cool now at 13.4C. Will Tomorrow be a dry day????

[Weather-history]

Wettest May-June-July periods for England and Wales

2007 404.9

1789 349.1

1879 342.1

1828 329.5

1782 329.4

Wettest June-July periods for England and Wales

2007 284.3

1768 270.6

1839 267.8

1879 260.7

Wettest May to August periods.....and this is before August has even started

1879: 490.6

1912: 466.3

1860: 463.8

1817: 447.1

1797: 438.6

1828: 428.3

1830: 421.2

1829: 412.9

1931: 411.9

1768: 408.3

1924: 406.5

2007 404.9

Wettest Julys

1828 182.6

1834 164.2

1775 158.4

1880 157.5

1888 156.6

1787 155.0

1839 152.9

1816 152.0

1798 149.5

1779 149.3

1767 148.0

1822 145.2

1829 143.7

1875 142.7

1988 139.0

1936 138.0

1796 135.2

2007 132.6

[SteveB]

Well it sounds like we maybe creeping up the list with some impressive rain fall totals to the May-August record

[tinybill]

well it looks lie it could get very wet in places if this come off on Aug 7 i hope it don't could be huge problems again

http://www.meteociel.com/modeles/gfs/precipitations/138h.htm

[I remember Atlantic 252]

hate this chart www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1441.html i really think we could be back to exceedingly wet next week, after all it is summer 07 i didnt even expect 3-4 settled days, i still think aug 07 will be low pressure dominated and a cool summer month

[noggin]

Well, it's absolutely chucking it down here.

It has certainly been the old "two hot days and a thunderstorm" thing, albeit minus the thunder!

[Weather-history]

Well, it's absolutely chucking it down here.

It has certainly been the old "two hot days and a thunderstorm" thing, albeit minus the thunder!

You got to hand it to GFS with this. They were going for this from a while back. Met Office weren't until very recently.

[kold weather]

If the northern blocking forms like expected then we are certainly likely to see another wet month, these slack shallow lows can give huge amounts of rain in a fairly short space of time, though the first 5-7 days don't look too wet,there is some rain about today but it shouldn't rise the rainfall total too much.

IF the idea of a slack low on Monday-tuesday does come off then we could see a very large boost in the rainfall totals and with northern blocking we'd be well on our for one of the wettest May-August periods ever.

By the way, have we beaten the Jan-July rainfall record, must be fairly close if we haven't surely?

Edited August 2, 2007 by kold weather

[Weather-history]

.

By the way, have we beaten the Jan-July rainfall record, must be fairly close if we haven't surely?

By the looks of it, we have by about 10mm

1782: 675.9mm

2007: ~686mm

It looks as though the Hadley July rainfall figures are going to be similiar to Philip's at the moment. Can't explain the discrepancy between the Met Office figures they gave on the 23rd and Philip's value at the same time.

Edited August 2, 2007 by Mr_Data

[Bobby]

By the looks of it, we have by about 10mm

1782: 675.9mm

2007: ~686mm

It looks as though the Hadley July rainfall figures are going to be similiar to Philip's at the moment. Can't explain the discrepancy between the Met Office figures they gave on the 23rd and Philip's value at the same time.

That's amazing considering there was virtually no rain in April.

[kold weather]

That is indeed amazing considering April was so very dry, mind you as dry as April was, June was pretty much as wet!

Really only April was much below average and nearly every other month has had above average/average rainfall it seems.

By the way Mr.Data would it be possible start a June-July-August tracker given we probably have a okay chance of ranking quite highly in that as well?

[Weather-history]

Wettest summer on record (June-August)

409.7 1912

409.2 1879

396.3 1829

370.8 1860

362.2 1768

355.9 1828

351.2 1839

347.3 1775

345.7 1817

344.3 1848

337.8 1782

337.0 1852

336.8 1927

331.1 1956

329.1 1797

324.1 1799

321.1 1830

318.4 1931

316.8 1888

316.2 1834

314.8 1792

311.6 1816

309.5 1958

309.5 1903

306.7 1954

303.7 1872

303.0 1875

302.9 1917

302.8 1882

297.7 1946

295.6 1789

293.9 1776

293.5 1784

293.0 1985

290.9 1877

290.7 1777

290.4 2004

289.3 1853

288.0 1980

287.9 1881

287.8 1891

284.6 1997

284.3 2007

That's amazing considering there was virtually no rain in April.

Believe it or not

22nd March-5th May: 16.1mm

[SteveB]

I can understand why Some older people are saying this summer is like summers when they were younger, when you have 3 wetter summers in that list in the 1950's

[Optimus Prime]

Any chance of it being the wettest year on record? I know 2000 was the previous wettest, althoguh it didn't seem quite so wet as this one so far!

[Weather-history]

Any chance of it being the wettest year on record? I know 2000 was the previous wettest, althoguh it didn't seem quite so wet as this one so far!

A good chance although 1872 was the wettest with 1284.9mm, 2000 had 1232.4mm.

Incidentally, 2002 was 10th wettest so we had two top 10 wettest years on record within a space of 3 years.

[kold weather]

Still going to need to be a fairly wet August then to break the record however there is a shot and I'd have thought a top 10 finish is quite possible even if this August isn't really that wet compared to the last few months.

As for the yearly rainfall, still too early to call that as we are stil lgoing to need a very wet Autumn to make sure but its looking quite possible at the moment, I'm still amazed that we've had more rainfall then some years have and we are only 7 months in!!!

[johnholmes]

just issued

Flash for heavy rain and flooding

see Front Page

John Holmes

Senior forecaster with Net Weather

[tinybill]

john could this be a carbon copy of the last great flood!!!!!!

[johnholmes]

ifs and maybes, nothing more than that at the moment.

Be assured its being watched.