Snow Watch: Ireland

[SNOWPLOUGH]

light snow grain shower here atm!

light snow grain shower here atm!

[mountain shadow]

Hi of it is possible could you tell me the ingredients for this to happen !!thanks

We have the ingredients now. The cold upper with a moisture laden front moving up tomorrow evening will engage the cold air and will fall as snow initially wherever you are.

The problem is there is slightly less cold air becoming involved and as things stand we can expect the snow to turn to sleet and then rain especially the closer you are to the east coast and sea level. Further west and a bit of height may benefit.

Again though it is a very marginal event and MAY stay as snow.

[BlackHoleSun]

Just had some very light grains of snow blowing in the wind here :lol:

[mountain shadow]

This free site is handy for checking for the snow showers coming in off the Irish Sea.

http://www.meteogroup.co.uk/uk/home/weathe...ed_kingdom.html

[Snowaddict]

With upper 850 Hpa temperatures of -10 now entering the east of the country, anything that falls simply has to be snow.

Once the flow becomes more unstable into the early hours, we should see some shower development.

Latest ECMWF Precip forecast looks very favourable for the east and southeast from 9.00am tomorrow, continuing all day tomorrow and through tomorrow night.

Let's hope we can get something decent.!

[mountain shadow]

With upper 850 Hpa temperatures of -10 now entering the east of the country, anything that falls simply has to be snow.

Once the flow becomes more unstable into the early hours, we should see some shower development.

Latest ECMWF Precip forecast looks very favourable for the east and southeast from 9.00am tomorrow, continuing all day tomorrow and through tomorrow night.

Let's hope we can get something decent.!

Do you have the link for that SnowAddict please?

[The Eagle]

It's on the Icelandic meteorological site - can't remember the link.

Temps falling away now. Snow reported at Dublin Airport....and I will gladly bet that it won't be just Heathrow and Gatwick with problems in the morning. The showers are going to get going in the early hours.

On orange warning in Leinster

http://www.meteoalarm.eu/area.asp?lang=EN&...3&areaname=

Edited February 1, 2009 by The Eagle

[mountain shadow]

Here's the 18z precip chart for 6am tomorrow. Frequent heavy snow showers into east coast!!

http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rtavn124.png

[sundog]

Well location its dry so far. The temp is starting to fall back a bit now current temp 2.4c.

An hour ago driving from Dublin to Ashbourne i came across a very heavy hail shower and the place was white,had to turn on the fog lights it was that heavy

[mountain shadow]

6pm tomorrow night even better!!

http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rtavn244.png

This is actually concerning me, as the UK met reckon we will get pretty much nothing in NI on monday. Can they be wrong two years in a row?

Now this it what's hard to predict.

Tuesday night shows the low pushing north.

http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rtavn361.png

The precipitation looks great for a whiteout.

http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rtavn364.png

However the upper air has some less cold air wrapped up in it as shown below.

http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rtavn362.png

This makes things much more marginal.

And by Tuesday 6pm we're back under the colder air again.

http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rtavn482.png

Higher ground will definetly get pasted.

[Baltic Regions]

Temp is currently 1.7 and the humidity is 34%.

That would figure for the grit just blowing about the roads.

So.... The DoE don't want to get caught out again. Wise move!

[Snowaddict]

Hey Mountain Shadow,

Here's the link, just ammend the timeframe in the URL bar accordingly:

http://en.vedur.is/photos/atlant_evr_urkom...201_0000_24.png

Regards, SA.

[johnny1972]

6pm tomorrow night even better!!

http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rtavn244.png

This is actually concerning me, as the UK met reckon we will get pretty much nothing in NI on monday. Can they be wrong two years in a row?

Now this it what's hard to predict.

Tuesday night shows the low pushing north.

http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rtavn361.png

The precipitation looks great for a whiteout.

http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rtavn364.png

However the upper air has some less cold air wrapped up in it as shown below.

http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rtavn362.png

This makes things much more marginal.

And by Tuesday 6pm we're back under the colder air again.

http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rtavn482.png

Higher ground will definetly get pasted.

Unfortunately M.S i dont think we'll get too much at all. The milder air mixes in quite quickly taking the 850's above -5C. I'd be surprised if we see much snow. Inland and high ground probably do slightly better but not muck use to us were we live.

[mountain shadow]

Agreed Johnny, but you never know. It will start as snow at least for maybe an hour or so.

Main event for Norn Iron later in the week anyway.

http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rtavn961.png

Hey Mountain Shadow,

Here's the link, just ammend the timeframe in the URL bar accordingly:

http://en.vedur.is/photos/atlant_evr_urkom...201_0000_24.png

Regards, SA.

Cheers SA. I'm even more convinced we'll see some decent snow showers here tomorrow afternoon, despite the Met saying no.

[Snowaddict]

Agreed Johnny, but you never know. It will start as snow at least for maybe an hour or so.

Main event for Norn Iron later in the week anyway.

http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rtavn961.png

Cheers SA. I'm even more convinced we'll see some decent snow showers here tomorrow afternoon, despite the Met saying no.

I think you will defaintely see some, activity really kicking up now on the Irish Sea.

SA.

[johnny1972]

I think you will defaintely see some, activity really kicking up now on the Irish Sea.

SA.

Theres no doubt the charts are throwing up some crackin synoptics recently and i hope they deliver. Later in the week and later in the month are showing very positive signs with the models possibly now coming to terms with the Stratospheric Warming. I wonder will the cooler SST's around our coasts have a negative bearing on convective shower activity.

[Snowaddict]

Theres no doubt the charts are throwing up some crackin synoptics recently and i hope they deliver. Later in the week and later in the month are showing very positive signs with the models possibly now coming to terms with the Stratospheric Warming. I wonder will the cooler SST's around our coasts have a negative bearing on convective shower activity.

Good point Johnny, I hope not.

Latest GFS run is stunning is all I can say for all of next week, absolutely stunning, and deep FI shows Armageddon cold.

Excellent weather and excellent trends.

SA.

[The Eagle]

We have REAL snow here right on the coast - I dont mean wet or sleety crap - REAL powder snow

Edited February 1, 2009 by The Eagle

[cold snap]

We have REAL snow here right on the coast - I dont mean wet or sleety crap - REAL power snow

Keep me updated mate

[The Eagle]

Really fine powder snow continues. Calm before the heavier stuff later.

[cold snap]

Really fine powder snow continues. Calm before the heavier stuff later.

Is it settling there

[johnny1972]

Good point Johnny, I hope not.

Latest GFS run is stunning is all I can say for all of next week, absolutely stunning, and deep FI shows Armageddon cold.

Excellent weather and excellent trends.

SA.

Yes stunning run indeed - i just hope those continue as the GFS has been suspect of late with the ECM an UKMO without doubt progging this spell the best. Just as i posted my last i looked at the radar and see a line of shower activity heading NW out of the Irish Sea towards county down and the Belfast Region. Maybe that answers my question re the cooler SST's ! :unsure:

[The Eagle]

Is it settling there

No too light. It's really fine and small.

[johnny1972]

Really fine powder snow continues. Calm before the heavier stuff later.

Eagle/CS

That would appear to be from the same line of shower activity heading in my direction towards County Down and Belfast Lough. Heres hoping. :unsure:

[The Eagle]

Eagle/CS

That would appear to be from the same line of shower activity heading in my direction towards County Down and Belfast Lough. Heres hoping. :unsure:

Yeah but it is light stuff. No hope of lying. The action begins after midnight.