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March CET


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Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)

If we see cloudy nights then sunny spells the cet will rocket this week.

Chance of 7c depending on how much it cools this weekend.

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

CET is at 5.4C to the 20th with a large rise likely over the next four days.

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Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

Going by the 12z GFS it looks like we'll be at

5.6C to the 21st

6.0C to the 23rd

6.2C to the 25th

6.1C to the 27th

6.1C to the 28th.

Landing zone between 5.9C and 6.4C before corrections I'd say, so for the 4th month in a row, I'm gonna be over 1C off :lol:

Only chance for those guessing around 7C is, as Tonyh said, for the nights end up cloudier than expected and holding up the minima.

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Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

5.7C to the 21st

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

The 06z looking very mild, and would have us at 6.9C to the 29th were it to verify, with some days averaging over 11C.

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Posted
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire

Hadley is on 5.9C to the 22nd, yesterday was the warmest day since February 7th at 10.2C.

Its hard not to see an above average finish now, how high depends on the night temperatures and how cool it gets at the weekend.

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Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

Believe we will end up slightly above average CET wise but nothing exceptional - upper benchmark probably about 6.8 at the highest, but more realistically I foresee something between the 6.2 - 6.6 degree mark. Some quite cold nights are on the way from Friday onwards and maxima over the weekend and into next week unlikely to be much more than 11 degrees at best.

Guesses -

by

24th- 6.1

25th - 6.3

26th - 6.4

27th - 6.2

28th - 6.1

29th - 6.2

30th - 6.4

31st - 6.6

with downward adjustment - finishing mark 6.4.

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Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

6.1C to the 23rd

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Yesterday was 10.4C. Minimum for today is 4.1C and maxima look like being just over 16C so should be at 6.2C by tomorrows update.

After that, going by the 06z GFS, we should be at

6.3C to the 25th (8.8

6.4C to the 26th (8.7)

6.5C to the 27th (8.3)

6.5C to the 28th (7.5)

6.6C to the 29th (9.3)

6.7C to the 30th (10.4)

6.9C to the 31st (11.5)

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Very mild ensembles from the GFS6z, not really showing us dropping below average at all.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png

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Posted
  • Location: Keyingham, East Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish plumes, hot and sunny with thunderstorms
  • Location: Keyingham, East Yorkshire

6.1C to the 23rd

http://www.metoffice..._info_mean.html

Yesterday was 10.4C. Minimum for today is 4.1C and maxima look like being just over 16C so should be at 6.2C by tomorrows update.

After that, going by the 06z GFS, we should be at

6.3C to the 25th (8.8

6.4C to the 26th (8.7)

6.5C to the 27th (8.3)

6.5C to the 28th (7.5)

6.6C to the 29th (9.3)

6.7C to the 30th (10.4)

6.9C to the 31st (11.5)

And a downward adjustment to 6.7c and i will be spot on with my guess :clap:

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Posted
  • Location: Shrewsbury
  • Location: Shrewsbury

Despite this week's T-shirt weather, which has brought many of us the warmest March days we can remember, March could still end up colder than February. Amazing what a few cold nights can do to a CET, and just shows what a lousy month Feb was.

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

We are at 6.2C to the 24th, so there is no chance of being below February's value and no chance of a below average month.

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Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

6.4C to the 26th

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Yesterday was 7.3C. Minimum for today is 4.9C and maxima look like being around 12C, so 6.4C or 6.5C by tomorrows update.

After that the GFS 06z would have the CET at

6.5C to the 28th (7.3)

6.6C to the 29th (9.1)

6.7C to the 30th (9.1)

6.8C to the 31st (11.7)

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Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)

The very mild finish could see it scrape 7.0c.

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Looking at the data from Phillip Eden and assuming it is near the mark, then we already have 120% of sunshine and are looking good not only to record the driest month since April 2007, but the driest March since 1990 (21 years).

www.climate-uk.com

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Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

Looking at the data from Phillip Eden and assuming it is near the mark, then we already have 120% of sunshine and are looking good not only to record the driest month since April 2007, but the driest March since 1990 (21 years).

www.climate-uk.com

Not surprised about the sunshine stats, but am surprised about the dryness stats. It has been dry here in the Lake District but nothing exceptional, I guess it proves how wet relative to average most months have been since April 2007. Indeed our driest months on average since then have come in Sept and not summer. I very much expect the next few days to raise rainfall totals so we may not quite manage our driest month since Apr 2007, Wednesday looks a potentially very wet day in southern parts with possible falls of an inch.

Scotland has been much wetter than england and wales this month, it has been a very NW/SE split month.

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Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire

After a string of fairly poor monthly guesses, my 6.9C isn't looking too shabby this time.

Edited by Don
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Posted
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire

Hadley is on 6.4C to the 27th. Yesterday came in at 8.1C.

We'll see a rise tomorrow to 6.5C as today's value is 6.45C rounded down. However the minima is down as 1.2C, so it'll come in close to average.

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Posted
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire

Hadley is 6.5C to the 28th. So just 0.1C avove February.

Mean temps have been a touch lower than expected due to cooler nights and even today's min is down as 3.7C. Its looking like a very average month after adjustments.

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Posted
  • Location: Teston, Kent (3mls SW of Maidstone)
  • Location: Teston, Kent (3mls SW of Maidstone)

Hadley is on 6.7C today (Mar 1 - 30).

Manley meanwhile is running a fraction higher and its stats are

CET: (Mar 1-30): 6.8°C (+0.4 degC)

E&W Rain: (Mar 1-30): 20.3mm ( 29 per cent)

E&W Sun: (Mar 1-30): 147.7hr (136 per cent)

© Philip Eden

Given those figures it could be we won't see much, if any, downward adjustment at month-end.

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