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95 Degrees Enthusiast

95 Degrees

Posted
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: 22-38C in summer with storms, cold in winter with some snow/or 15-25C
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
Posted

well on the radar you can see the showers moving towards the sw uk and central....looks like se will miss out again... :(

Be patient, theres still later tonight for some thundery rain, looks more like it could be a clipper tomorrow morning so may only give heavy showers, hopefully some thunder in the showers

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Lauren Veteran

Lauren

Posted
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, snowy winters and thunderstorms!
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
Posted

could those strikes in germany drift towards the uk?

Nah. Like I said, I will eat my hat if we get a storm this weekend.

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Jane Louise Aficionado

Jane Louise

Posted
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms :D
  • Location: Cheltenham,Glos
Posted

Give it a chance eh! Sometimes people are to quick to write it off.:rolleyes:

Have fun whoever gets one. :)

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

Storm risk? Zilch I would say.

Possibly low, but I might be up on Beachy Head tomorrow afternoon to watch the neighbours having fun!

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VillagePlank Seasoned

VillagePlank

Posted
  • Location: Rochester, Kent
  • Location: Rochester, Kent
Posted (edited)

Nah. Like I said, I will eat my hat if we get a storm this weekend.

SE quadrant chances increase from 6am tomorrow morning according to estofex.

Not a great chance, but, hopefully, some much needed rain even if we don't get the firework show. Doesn't look very likely, as you say, but the outside chance is there. Not likely to be caused by the normal parameters - such as CAPE, or LI, either, but much more likely to be caused by a weak front interacting with upper winds in a very moist atmosphere. Storms will need to be home grown, too: virtually zero chance of French imports.

Edited by Sparticle
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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted

A couple of showers have formed just north of Salisbury. A shame the thundery risk is rather low tonight.

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Mesoscale Rising Star

Mesoscale

Posted
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Humid Continental Climate (Dfa / Dfb)
  • Location: Watford, Hertfordshire, 68.7m ASL
Posted

heating up in northern france crazy line of storms!

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Andy Pepler Enthusiast

Andy Pepler

Posted
  • Location: Westbury wiltshire
  • Location: Westbury wiltshire
Posted

just got back in from the garden..

its gone very still and humid down here..

i see a few cells on radar but i dont think it will spark off.

but if it does im ready :)

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paul m Aficionado

paul m

Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
Posted (edited)

There is a severe storm alert for Morley Leeds.... My daughter has left her Psp games console on the bus and i am fuming so please cover your ears if you are in the area.......

Edited by paul m
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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted (edited)

It really feels like weve been cheated to see torrential cells/showers fire up in the South with no thundery element and the same for the rest of the UK tonight. Not ruled out completely but only a low risk tonight.

Edited by Blizzards
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slb97 Explorer

slb97

Posted
  • Location: Horndean, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms followed by snow (preferably on the same day!)
  • Location: Horndean, Hampshire
Posted

It really feels like weve been cheated to see torrential cells/showers fire up in the South with no thundery element and the same for the rest of the UK tonight. Not ruled out completely but very only a low risk tonight.

I know what you mean, it reached nearly 28 degrees today and it's so hot with all the windows open even now. Seems a shame that we'll get cooler rainy weather tomorrow but with only a very low risk of any accompanying thunder for the 'breakdown'.

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paul m Aficionado

paul m

Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
Posted

Looks like the south east is getting some strikes

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SimonP Newbie

SimonP

Posted
  • Location: Leighton Buzzard
  • Weather Preferences: T-storms
  • Location: Leighton Buzzard
Posted

Is certainly very active over the near continent... The MetO (and BBC forecasts) have been plugging thunderstorms for the south all day, wondering if it'll happen. If so, I wonder what the forcing mechanism will be? Perhaps someone could shed some light as I'm certainly no expert - I note there's a shortwave trough of the SE of Kent on the MetO fax charts for 00Z Sunday...

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Phil UK Apprentice

Phil UK

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, West Midlands. UK
  • Location: Solihull, West Midlands. UK
Posted

Looking promising for a Kent clipper in the next 2 hours or so, but that said, I wouldn't hold my breath. Maybe look over the Channel for some night-time sferics.

Good luck.

Phil.

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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted (edited)

Bloody Bob Crow at it again.

Ha Ha :yahoo: and the french instead of blockading the ports are stealing our Thunder. :whistling:

The radar looks good but the precipitation of particular interest (the french stuff) is moving from west to east and not yet making inroads northwards.:wallbash:

post-7183-0-52780100-1307223885_thumb.gi

Here's hoping something peps up overnight and into tomorrow which would fall in line with what the MetOffice were expecting as I hinted at earlier today on this thread.

Stormy Regards

gotolovethisweather

Edited by gottolovethisweather
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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted

thunder and lightning devizes wiltshire wooop

Now this has surprised me! :D

Shame its not coming this way!

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Phil UK Apprentice

Phil UK

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, West Midlands. UK
  • Location: Solihull, West Midlands. UK
Posted

Satellite looks inocuous over your way, David but radar suggests otherwise. I may be wrong in my thinking that the METO have misjudged this forecast for the south and east of England tonight.

I was looking at cloud structure right above me earlier on today and it was pretty much stationary but had the foretelling of a HP boundary/LP cloud, Altocumulus Castellanus. Perfect recipe for a thundery breakdown.

Phil.

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