2nd Aug 2011 - Storm/convective Forecast Discusion And Reports

[Neilsouth]

Going darker to my south east

[Joneseye]

The radar for folk around my neck of the woods is livening up alright, but will it go boom?

Thundery Cheers

gottolovethisweather

Edit: Look out SouthWest of Oxford & another cell NorthEast of Reading.

I think we are breeding ground rather than the benefactor today, really need something to explode in the New Forest, Salisbury Plain area.

[anvilhead]

seems to be cells kicking off now in the south - presumably due to the increase in cape and misture pooiling where the winds are converging - the WRF NMM was predicting something like 700kj cape in a narrow region stretching NE up the country for 16:00 onwards -

Sam

[NO LONGER POSTING]

hehe!

Edited August 2, 2011 by Surrey

[todd1970]

I haven't actually seen the paper myself but is it true the Sun newspaper forecasted 'vicious' thunderstorms for the UK today/tomorrow/thursday?

:S

http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/3727248/UK-warmer-than-Turkey-for-now.html

[gottolovethisweather]

I think we are breeding ground rather than the benefactor today, really need something to explode in the New Forest, Salisbury Plain area.

I expect you are spot on but isn't it good to even see some potential.

Cheers

gottolovethisweather

[VillagePlank]

Gravesend obs are for 27C, and DP's are likely to be above the 13C required to initiate! Here's hoping ....

I expect you are spot on but isn't it good to even see some potential.

Farnborough obs 26C/16C giving a Theta-W of ~23C which means moist air convection has started so LI comes into play and maybe tap into some of that CAPE. Good luck!

Edited August 2, 2011 by Sparticle

[Paul]

Current temperatures (+radar):

Current dewpoints (+ radar)

[Coast]

Nothing on the detectors or radar just yet :unsure:

LOL, a lot of posts so far for a non-thunderstorm!!!! :lol:

[VillagePlank]

Thanks, Paul - better than xcweather

Rochester: 26T/12D = 21W. Not enough

Salsbury: 24T/14D = 21W. Not enough

Still time, still time - as long as the moistness comes along.

Edited August 2, 2011 by Sparticle

[anvilhead]

Coast what radar are you using ?

[Bluebreezer54]

The skies are taking on a stormy look in this area. Temp 27.8c, DP 17.8c, making it very uncomfortable to say the least

( Northwood- NW London )

Edited August 2, 2011 by Bluebreezer54

[Raidan]

Eldingar if accurate picking up sferics on south coast.

Also meteox showing them.

[VillagePlank]

The skies are taking on a stormy look in this area. Temp 27.8c, DP 17.8c, making it very uncomfortable to say the least

( Northwood- NW London )

Should be pushing up a sizeable number of columns?

[maxemoo]

I haven't actually seen the paper myself but is it true the Sun newspaper forecasted 'vicious' thunderstorms for the UK today/tomorrow/thursday?

:S

http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/3727248/UK-warmer-than-Turkey-for-now.html

[Bluebreezer54]

Should be pushing up a sizeable number of columns?

Difficult to tell mate., its all a bit messy out there at the moment cloudwise. Decidedly uncomfortable though with those temps and DP's

[gpspete]

Bicester Oxfordshire certainly some convective clouds had a drive to look south see some quite heavy rain shafts from some clouds nothing showing on my lightning detector, seen or heard lightning/storm wise yet

[UKVoodoo]

Found this while bored and storm starved, I know it doesnt belong in here but didnt seem worth making a new thread for it seen as though we're all storm starved

http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=595_1311460876

[WillinGlossop]

darkening to south and east of here, thought i heard a distant rumble...... looking at radar some rain may be on way.....just watered pots n veg..... high of 29c, dropped back to 26.5c but humid....

[lewisosd]

It's all cloudy Big clumps in France look juicy!

Fingers x'd for everyone today.

[Chloe]

Something moving in from South/ West direction and North not sure if this will produce anything as cloud seems to breaking up extermely humid and still feels sufficating but enjoying it!

[Harry]

Something towering ESE of London, which I've just seen from Westminster Bridge in a cab. This appears to be the pokey little cell on radar.

Further to earlier posts, I am indeed in a suit and tie and conditions are to say the least, less than fresh!! Lol

[Lauren]

Found this while bored and storm starved, I know it doesnt belong in here but didnt seem worth making a new thread for it seen as though we're all storm starved

http://www.liveleak....=595_1311460876

I'd say the strike I filmed from El Gordo was at least that close.

[loopydreamer]

Sorry that you might be getting a bit annoyed but if you read my post again you will note that my query was more about why the "North East" in particular has seen so much in the way of activity this year. I don't recall saying anything along the lines of the South East getting everything which is what I have occasionally seen posted in these forums now and again.

yea i read your post again! I apologise :wacko: :ph34r:

[Harry]

Surprised not more is being said about the rash of convection kicking off ATM!!

Currently 29.5C in the shade with convection building - how far it will go will be seen