3rd/4th November 2011 - Storm/convective Forecast Discussion And Reports

[Andy Bown]

Don't think so, showers are fading quickly as they move further in land by the look of things.

But Steve if you check the radar from the morning (say start at 07.00) the Northern extent of the downpours has gradually spread N/NE, which is why

a dry morning here - while having a great sky full of CBs, anvils and TCu to admire as they inched closer - came to an abrupt end with a downpour in

the last half an hour.

I'm guessing this N/NE movement is as a trough slowly extends in that direction, but regardless there are certainly plenty of very heavy showers and

downpours around over S.Somerset/Dorset/Wiltshire/Hampshire.

In the last 26 hours it hasn't ever rained for very long but here there were torrential downpours at 11.30, 16.30 and 21.30 yesterday then at 00.30 and

12.30 today.

The one just after midnight woke us both up and, more amazingly, we could hear it pouring down somewhere nearby once it had stopped overhead!

[matt_in_dudley]

Nothing of interest here last night according to people around, i conked out pretty much straight away so i wouldn't know! Sun has been breaking through the cloud consistently for the last couple of hours! Extremely mild again!

[Coast]

I'm guessing this N/NE movement is as a trough slowly extends in that direction

[Purplepixii]

Man I kept seeing the Lightning from the storms you guys had but was so distant, they only missed me by a fraction hopefully today will produce lots of showers developing in the channel to my south moving my way so my fingers are crossed

Ditto mate, all I had was heavy rain as far as I know so if you do get any can you send them over to me please

[Raidan]

Rain more moderate in nature now but still a dull overcast day with nothing of any interest going on,I think yesterday and lastnight had more potential for some action than today but still early days for maybe something to happen but im going to stick with it most likely wont,Good luck all and if you get something give it a nudge this way

[MP-R]

Don't think it's going to happen today. Not much around these parts other than moderate showers. A few more moderate showers to the southwest. We need that SE flow that we had yesterday.

[Coast]

Don't think it's going to happen today.

Nope, some of us have been spoilt in the last 24 hours, others may get a turn again soon:

Lets see what a weeks time brings, looks like it is going to be quiet until at least then

[Raidan]

Apart from NW having a 51% risk for here i cant find anything that indicates there could be anything thundery here so for today i give up.

[Chris K]

Mother Nature has well and truly spat in our faces today. Literally. Disappointed but expected and still some hefty pulses of rain about. Hoping for a decent 2012 storm 'season' now I think....

HOWEVER...some of the rain seems to be intensifying slightly, but after its gone past, typical!!!!

Edited November 4, 2011 by Bugganuts

[Cheshire Freeze]

NAE advertising a period of really quite heavy rain through the west midlands, Welsh borders, into northern England this evening- don't know if it's going to be convective in nature though.

[Andy Bown]

Lets see what a weeks time brings, looks like it is going to be quiet until at least then

That's what I am beginning to think about too, seem to recall posting last week looking ahead to this week having thundery potential and it has come off and now

there looks to be another shot at an unstable flow from the South next week!

I don't usually like posts referring to 'what if it was summer!?' but can't help but think if this period of conditions had happened between late April - late September

how hot and widespread thundery it would have been!

[A.J]

NAE advertising a period of really quite heavy rain through the west midlands, Welsh borders, into northern England this evening- don't know if it's going to be convective in nature though.

It's definitely going to be convective IMO, a big swathe of heavy/torrential rain on the radar to my south, and looking up to the skies, a large clump of towering anvils encroaching from the south, the sky looks very dark, angry & turbulent

[Aaron]

Hoping that big chunk of heavy rain reaches here. Unusually it appears to be gaining intensity over land.

[Staffordshire]

What a sexy radar output!

[Cheshire Freeze]

It's definitely going to be convective IMO, a big swathe of heavy/torrential rain on the radar to my south, and looking up to the skies, a large clump of towering anvils encroaching from the south, the sky looks very dark, angry & turbulent

Sounds promising AJ.....the NAE is certainly a fan of it developing and pushing north but who knows.

[Aaron]

Any residents of Birmingham here? A big red beast is knocking on your door.!

[Staffordshire]

Any residents of Birmingham here? A big red beast is knocking on your door.!

Im about 20 miles north

[Mapantz]

I've missed everything today, extremely unlucky.

Edited November 4, 2011 by Mapantz

[Coast]

Any residents of Birmingham here? A big red beast is knocking on your door.!

Tell him he's early!

[Polar Bear]

On A34 back to newbury and near stockbridge. North east and west looks like a bubbling couldron to me. There must be plenty

[cyclonic happiness]

We have just had a torrntial shower here, no sferics as yet, more to come though, looking at the radar om nom nom!

[Mapantz]

Interestingly, there's not been any electrical activity since the early hours of this morning.

Edited November 4, 2011 by Mapantz

[matt_in_dudley]

Gone very dark here, has began to rain, odd cloud colouring, different bits of grey!

[Polar Bear]

Just pulled over on a34 north of winchester as when I looked in mirror there is a beast of something behind me bubbling up. There has to be some activity well n trully soon? No?

[Midlands Ice Age]

Midlands Ice Age (from Solihull, Bham)

Went suddenly as black as night here and has been raining very heavily for 25minutes

However no lightening (yet)

Midlands Ice Age