London And The South East Regional Discussion Thread

[Gowon]

Shall keep an eye on its development and track over the next few hours. Fingers crossed.

You never know, stranger things have happened.

[final dest]

You never know, stranger things have happened.

Indeed.

However I have been following it and since 9:30 and its northern edge has gained strength.

Edited December 16, 2011 by final dest

[yamkin]

The precipitation radar is showing an organised band of showers from the Cheshire Gap heading in our direction. If this precipitation carries on it's current course, the ETA is 2-3 hours time. Not only would there be snow, the temps will start to drop by 3pm, so it will be very icy out there.

Edited December 16, 2011 by yamkin

[Coast]

Lovely day out there now, a little cold but plenty of sunshine.

[Discombobulation Man]

The precipitation radar is showing an organised band of showers from the Cheshire Gap heading in our direction. If this precipitation carries on it's current course, the ETA is 2-3 hours time. Not only would there be snow, the temps will start to drop by 3pm, so it will be very icy out there.

No chance, best hope now is that the precip band hugging NE/E coastal areas swings back down and swipes us with a finger of something Wintry, probably not til after dark though, upper temps I would of thought should be ok but most models are showing this as a decaying 'finger' of drizzle - we can hope!

Edited December 16, 2011 by Discombobulation Man

[username]

suns out in surbiton...

[Upgrade]

another non event

[Met4Cast]

another non event

It was never supposed to be a big event.

[snowbob]

I think it panned out pretty much how it was forecast yesterday. It did in my location anyway.

[danm]

Yep, this turned out just as forecast for the south east. Rain overnight, with a wintry mix in the morning.

That band of showers over NW England & N Wales seems to be decaying somewhat as it moves towards the Midlands. Looks very unlikely we'll get anything from that.

[yamkin]

It was never supposed to be a big event.

I over ramped Back to reality. Got a few hours wet snow in the Croydon area. The Cheshire Gap ppn is something to watch.

[Optimus Prime]

Had some falling snow early on. Nothing worth more than a passing glance at. No wind that so many people were ramping up a few days ago.

Quite cold though. The most exciting aspect of the last 12 hours.

[chionomaniac]

Really heavy here now and stuck well over the last hour.

I forgot to say - this photo was from Yamkins house!!!!

[Optimus Prime]

The Cheshire Cat is something to watch.

That's better.

[Coast]

I over ramped

:o Nooooo, not you!

[WhiteFox]

Yep, this turned out just as forecast for the south east. Rain overnight, with a wintry mix in the morning.

That band of showers over NW England & N Wales seems to be decaying somewhat as it moves towards the Midlands. Looks very unlikely we'll get anything from that.

Yes. It's an Irish Sea streamer, or maybe even a trough. However, these features usually don't get much further south than Birmingham, dying out quite quickly as they head inland.

Pretty classic NW airflow shower pattern setting in behind the departing system. Showers on West facing coasts and through the Cheshire gap. Doesn't usually bring anything in the way of showers to the South East unless the low pressure stalls over the near continent long enough for instability to feed further troughs; unlikely I'm afraid!

[snowbob]

What are the chances of getting any showers this evening are they pretty slim?

[Seasonal Trim]

Oh the joys of living in the south east. How long must we wait for some decent snow????

[Methuselah]

I over ramped Back to reality. Got a few hours wet snow in the Croydon area. The Cheshire Gap ppn is something to watch.

Well admitted, mate! Pretty much the same here.

[WhiteFox]

What are the chances of getting any showers this evening are they pretty slim?

In a North West airflow, the further South and East you are, the less likely. So, pretty slim!

[danm]

Oh the joys of living in the south east. How long must we wait for some decent snow????

We did pretty well last December.

The problem with channel lows that approach from the south west and collide with cold air over the UK, is that we are usually on the wrong side of the low pressure, the eastern side, and the warm sector usually gives us rain whilst giving snow to those in the Midlands, Wales and sometimes the South West. It's always best to be on the north western edge of the low pressure system in these situations.

[yamkin]

I forgot to say - this photo was from Yamkins house!!!!

The secret is out

[Don]

Was sleeting when I left home for work at 7.45, then rain on the way, then back to sleet and snow again but nothing settled and it was all over by 10. So all in all pretty unexciting. Here's to something better later in the Winter!

Edited December 16, 2011 by Don

[yamkin]

The Cheshire Gap ppn seems to be getting more organised and strengthening. I've seen this type of scenario before where the ppn looked like petering out only to gain momentum and produce several cm's of snow in the SE. Let's see how this one develops.

[snow raven]

Now that the excitement of this morning has quietend down, I'll be locking this thread shortly, and starting part 2...

Although judging by the posts from the clever people who can read the colourful charts in the Model discussion area, it looks like for us in the South East at least, no more snow is forecast between now and New Year

Part 2 can be found here: http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/71955-london-and-the-south-east-regional-discussion-thread-part-2/