South Central England Regional Discussion Thread

[SunnySouthCoast]

It's 2C (36F) here currently, I'm hopeful that we will get our first frost at least tonight, as snow prospects not looking good.

Edited January 31, 2012 by SunnySouthCoast

[Dean E]

It's 2C (36F) here currently, I'm hopeful that we will get our first frost at least tonight, as snow prospects not looking good.

Wow, what a difference a few miles make! Its -1.2c here with a DP of -5.2c!

I'm keeping a close eye on that development in the SE...

SM

[SunnySouthCoast]

Wow, what a difference a few miles make! Its -1.2c here with a DP of -5.2c!

I'm keeping a close eye on that development in the SE...

SM

Yes it's always a good few degrees warmer here on Portsea Island, especially at the southern end where I am.

I'm hoping we may see at least a flurry tomorrow

[Polar Bear]

Morning all.

How did we all fair? I don't think we had any flurries last night and this morning have a decent frost. Haven't checked any radars charts yet but it seems some temps down to -5 nearish at middlewallop. BBC news suggesting "plenty of wintry showers for some". Best try and see what that is all about heh?

[divadee]

Very good frost in Christchurch. Got to -4.3 here last night. But no flurries of snow.

[flyer]

Frost in north hants. -5 last night . Presently -3. No flurries. Clear skies.

Looks like we might be in with a shout later.

Edit : Should add with more flurries not huge dumps. Don't want to raise expectations too much.

It is Hampshire after all.

Still, the meto are uncertain so still hope yet.

Edited January 31, 2012 by flyer

[Coast]

go on, you know you love it........... :winky:

[divadee]

go on, you know you love it........... :winky:

Think that just skirts us here in Bournemouth! Not fair!!! Lol. We always miss out here. I have been told numerous times that it's the purbecks fault as they shelter us. I just think its because I live here and have bad luck!

[Coast]

We always miss out here. I have been told numerous times that it's the purbecks fault as they shelter us. I just think its because I live here and have bad luck!

I blame Old Harry!!! :lol:

[Frank Trough]

i don't really fancy our chances that much in terms of snow showers in the next couple of days. However, the weekend is starting look quite interesting. Problem is we are likley to be picking up an onshore wind as the front pushes east so (as always) the coastal strip is in grave danger of just seeing rain - could be interesting inland though. Definitely something to watch over the next couple of days.

[*Stormforce~beka*]

go on, you know you love it........... :winky:

Rubbish - Binned it.

[Mark Neal.]

I wouldn't get too worked up on where that chart is showing snow or sleet. Still unsure wether we will see a battleground let alone what will fall. I personally think a battleground is one of the more likely solutions to this cold spell this weekend and could see some snowfall on its eastern edge. Possible reload a short while after? Ties in with both the Met Office long range and GP's thoughts..

Clear skies last night for a short while mean't we got down to -2.6c. But by midnight temperature back upto 0.2c with cloud being the main focus. We now have fog in Oxford, though signs of the sun starting to break through.

Enjoy the next few days as it's going to get colder and feel it! Also wouldn't rule out a slight covering in coming days as more showers will fous South Eastern parts, brushing our region?

Regards,Mark

Edited January 31, 2012 by Mark 'Ox' Neal

[Nick L]

I think a battleground situation is our best bet, but seeing as a proper battleground (ie. the cold wins) is incredibly rare it doesn't look too promising at the moment.

[Nick L]

Although, saying that, the NAE shows a wintry finger giving us a poke!

http://expert-images...020206_3106.gif

I finish uni at 1 today so I'll do a post saying what each model is showing for the coming days.

Edited January 31, 2012 by Nick L

[Polar Bear]

Well well well nick. That model could be onto something. Bright bright glorious sunshine when I left Newbury but as soon as i get to reading a different story. Sun is trying so hard to get through ,

[Wilks]

Looks like our chances have been scuppered! This week never looked like it would really get going snow wise so not a surprise there but disappointing to see the weekend chances gradually getting pushed away. Still a chance of something else towards the middle of next week although I think as this week progresses that chance will decrease as well. Not looking good, what a shame but with nearly every model now in agreement it's hard to ignore the facts. Only bit of strawclutching I can take is a hope that GP is seeing something the models aren't!

[SunnySouthCoast]

Still not low enough for a frost here ,minimum was 0.5C (33F) last night. Surely it has to go below 0C tonight

[Dean E]

Still not low enough for a frost here ,minimum was 0.5C (33F) last night. Surely it has to go below 0C tonight

Being close to the sea and the city really does make a difference doesn't it! I got a low of -4.2c this morning at 6.30am.

Currently 1.7c DP -5.5c was sunny but got some cloud now and a bit of mist.

[Trugoy]

Snowing here on the south coast! Dissapointing flecks that seemed to have stopped before i even finished typing!

[SunnySouthCoast]

Being close to the sea and the city really does make a difference doesn't it! I got a low of -4.2c this morning at 6.30am.

Currently 1.7c DP -5.5c was sunny but got some cloud now and a bit of mist.

Yes a double whammy of by the sea and the urban heat island effect <_<

[iowpompeylee]

reports of snow showers in wootton on the isle of wight...light icy rain in newport...very sleety.lets hope it can turn to snow soon.very very overcast atm.lets hope snow showers pep up all day at last a glimmer :/.......the worse thing is.it was the coldest night last night.i drove to work and it was -4 and we still cant get a decent flurry

Edited January 31, 2012 by iowpompeylee

[Mark Neal.]

Hi, I thought this might interest you, been a delay in the met office outlook for beyond Sunday....

UK Outlook for Sunday 5 Feb 2012 to Tuesday 14 Feb 2012:

Sunday is likely to be unsettled and mostly cloudy with a band of rain and snow lying north to south across the country. Although there remains considerable uncertainty regarding exactly where this band will lie central and eastern parts are most likely to see snow and/or ice, with perhaps some significant falls of snow in places. Less cold in the north and west, but remaining cold elsewhere. Into next week, eastern, central and southern areas are likely to become more settled with a good deal of dry weather. Temperatures here are likely to stay cold, perhaps even very cold for some. Northern and northwestern areas then remaining unsettled with rain and strong winds at times but less cold. The cold theme looks likely to continue into the following week .

Updated: 1239 on Tue 31 Jan 2012

They seem to think that it will remain cold ifnot very cold in south and east for most of the week and contiuning into the following week, good sign?!

• Ian Fergusson(Bbc Forecaster for West Country) saying on twitter a short-time ago, the met model update showed snowy breakdown for South Central/South Eastern Areas.
  

Regards,Mark.

Edited January 31, 2012 by Mark 'Ox' Neal

[gottolovethisweather]

Well I would say this latest longer-term update from the MetO is very positive indeed for our region.

Ok, it will once again change tomorrow and the day after etc. but that is the nature of our climate.

UK Outlook for Sunday 5 Feb 2012 to Tuesday 14 Feb 2012:

Sunday is likely to be unsettled and mostly cloudy with a band of rain and snow lying north to south across the country. Although there remains considerable uncertainty regarding exactly where this band will lie central and eastern parts are most likely to see snow and/or ice, with perhaps some significant falls of snow in places. Less cold in the north and west, but remaining cold elsewhere. Into next week, eastern, central and southern areas are likely to become more settled with a good deal of dry weather. Temperatures here are likely to stay cold, perhaps even very cold for some. Northern and northwestern areas then remaining unsettled with rain and strong winds at times but less cold. The cold theme looks likely to continue into the following week.

Updated: 1239 on Tue 31 Jan 2012

And then further on.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 15 Feb 2012 to Wednesday 29 Feb 2012:

Cold weather looks likely during this period with both daytime maximum and night-time minimum temperatures likely to be below or well below average much of the time. This would also suggest rainfall amounts being largely near or below average in many areas but, possibly, above average over southern Britain. Given below average temperatures are expected, some snow is also likely at times.

Updated: 1239 on Tue 31 Jan 2012

Ok, so they are really playing with their cards close to their chests but with their extra guidance, this does NOT scream MILD BREAKDOWN to me. It does in fact, scream the opposite for the whole of February, lots of POTENTIAL as hinted at by the Stratopsheric guys within netweather.

Let's hop something snowy turns up in the nearer term, given that it is going to perishingly cold, even in costa del Southsea and other desperately unlucky places.

Be lucky

gottolovethisweather

[gottolovethisweather]

Hi, I thought this might interest you, been a delay in the met office outlook for beyond Sunday....

UK Outlook for Sunday 5 Feb 2012 to Tuesday 14 Feb 2012:

Sunday is likely to be unsettled and mostly cloudy with a band of rain and snow lying north to south across the country. Although there remains considerable uncertainty regarding exactly where this band will lie central and eastern parts are most likely to see snow and/or ice, with perhaps some significant falls of snow in places. Less cold in the north and west, but remaining cold elsewhere. Into next week, eastern, central and southern areas are likely to become more settled with a good deal of dry weather. Temperatures here are likely to stay cold, perhaps even very cold for some. Northern and northwestern areas then remaining unsettled with rain and strong winds at times but less cold. The cold theme looks likely to continue into the following week .

Updated: 1239 on Tue 31 Jan 2012

They seem to think that it will remain cold ifnot very cold in south and east for most of the week and contiuning into the following week, good sign?!

• Ian Fergusson(Bbc Forecaster for West Country) saying on twitter a short-time ago, the met model update showed snowy breakdown for South Central/South Eastern Areas.
  

Regards,Mark.

You beat me to it, but I must say I LIKE IT.

IT SCREAMS POTENTIAL and whilst there is POTENTIAL, there is HOPE.

And to add further to your last part as highlighted, this is the CRUCIAL part, if it were to stall over your region (whoevers?) this could produce snowfall of epic proportions, say upwards of a foot or more over high ground, who knows at this stage. I am highlighting this part in particular because the MetO are clearly looking at it as well. Februarys from years gone by, have produced these battleground events on numerous occasions from very similar synoptics to which we are currently enduring. My guess and it is purely a guess would be to favour the Southwest of our region with the usual caveats of elevation and places away from the coast being best favoured.

Amazing times ahead.

Cheers

gottolovethisweather

Cheers

gottolovethisweather

Edited January 31, 2012 by gottolovethisweather

[Adamjas]

Had a couple of minutes of light snow just now - all stopped now but was still good to see. The brightness of the morning has been replaced by a very cold looking grey sky - wonder if there will be more to come?