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London & The South East Regional Discussion - Part 6

Paul Sherman

By Paul Sherman
in Spring Weather Discussion

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

Pull back the curtains tomorrow and how will you all be?

1309589567892288.gif

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matty1000kk Newbie

matty1000kk

Posted
  • Location: Clacton-on-Sea
  • Location: Clacton-on-Sea
Posted

Went bed early last night so i can have a radar, lamp post night tonight but after my excitement this morning I'm reading again- sleet next to the Sea and coasts lines

WHY ???

I know its harder to snow here but it doesnt mean it can't today does it :cray:

Netweather, Met office and BBC all say snow so i'm confused :search:

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

Someone reassure me plz !!!!

Please be reassured, temps will drop right back again at the end of the day, frankly looking at the weather station this morning I think the ground conditions, wind direction, temps, DP, humidity etc etc are spot on for this event!

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95 Degrees Enthusiast

95 Degrees

Posted
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: 22-38C in summer with storms, cold in winter with some snow/or 15-25C
  • Location: Valencia, Spain or Angmering, West Sussex
Posted

Well Snow or no Snow my cup I put in the garden overnight is frozen, theres water underneath but the top layer is completly solid!

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VillagePlank Seasoned

VillagePlank

Posted
  • Location: Rochester, Kent
  • Location: Rochester, Kent
Posted (edited)

There was me looking at 4degC and thinking it looked high!

Well, for a guaranteed 100% chance of snow, ideally you do want it to be 0degC. However, this is at approximately 1300m up (850hPa), and it's cold in them thar first 1300m from ground to 850hPa ...

Theta-e 850hPa of less than 14C tend to indicate a (much) higher chance of snow than rain, however,

post-5986-0-83752600-1328352648_thumb.gi

with the probability fading to 0% as we approach theta-e's of 26degC's

:)

Edited by Boar Wrinklestorm
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Nick F Maestro

Nick F

Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
Posted

Wind will be due south when the front arrives, so immediate southern coastal areas of the Channel and perhaps along Essex and Suffolk coasts may experience some marginality with the wind off the sea.

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Guest QuantumSnow

Guest QuantumSnow

Posted
Posted

Pull back the curtains tomorrow and how will you all be?

If I look like that tomorrow morning I think i'll go back to bed

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Damp and dreary Enthusiast

Damp and dreary

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex, it is a bit boring here.
  • Weather Preferences: rubbish boring weather
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex, it is a bit boring here.
Posted

I've got my itchy snow nose today, it only really starts like this when there are huge amounts due.......

Now not that models area lot of use now, but just having a look at this morning 06Z GFS, the sweet spot in terms of time is still between 00..00 tonight and 06.00 tomorrow morning (as it has been for 10 days!) and the line at that time-scale goes back and forward across Beachy Head!!!!

post-6667-0-82968000-1328349260_thumb.pn

post-6667-0-17692800-1328349262_thumb.pn

I'm sure people to the West of me will still end up with something very pleasing, but I may be unable to get out of the house and unfortunately, be off work for days....

:clapping:

Morning Coasty, im hoping the same too, want the snow but it has to be enough to stop me working out in it on Monday, all bendy thingys crossed eh!

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essex coast matt Apprentice

essex coast matt

Posted
  • Location: Clacton-On-Sea,Essex...18m asl
  • Location: Clacton-On-Sea,Essex...18m asl
Posted

Interesting here at the mo, temp is falling as the wind has turned south east pulling in the cold air from france,-0.7here in clacton, but i see manston airport in kent is -4c with dew point of -6 .

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Buzzit Contributor

Buzzit

Posted
  • Location: Savoy Circus W10 / W3
  • Location: Savoy Circus W10 / W3
Posted

Pull back the curtains tomorrow and how will you all be?

Some real facial elasticity there... don't do it while staring into the wind though...

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Lauren Veteran

Lauren

Posted
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, snowy winters and thunderstorms!
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
Posted

Had the tiniest of sprinkles last night that is now melting off the tops of the walls. Met and BBC say heavy snow for us tonight.

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chionomaniac Maestro

chionomaniac

Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
Posted

:o :o Sorry, but that is insane! I would not want that IMBY

Yes I agree, - always better to park at the front of your house.

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kold weather Maestro

kold weather

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
Posted

Wind will be due south when the front arrives, so immediate southern coastal areas of the Channel and perhaps along Essex and Suffolk coasts may experience some marginality with the wind off the sea.

Agreed but typically in these set-ups it does tend to settle at night, during daytime hours it tends to take it to the wrong of marginal for settling snow. So personally here I'm expecting settling snow. May not be quite as high as those a little further inland but I'm still fairly comfortable at the moment with the evolution.

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Jimmey Newbie

Jimmey

Posted
  • Location: North Kent Downs, Nr Chatham 393ft asl
  • Location: North Kent Downs, Nr Chatham 393ft asl
Posted

That will be down to what happens in the latter part of the next 24 hours. Keep any eye on this forum, the radar and the local news as transport may be affected to a greater or lesser degree and its a call you may want to make with more information to hand.

Thanks coast. Will be on here watching closely

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Lt. Dan Enthusiast

Lt. Dan

Posted
  • Location: Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Storms.
  • Location: Essex
Posted

Well, for a guaranteed 100% chance of snow, ideally you do want it to be 0degC. However, this is at approximately 1300m up (850hPa), and it's cold in them thar first 1300m from ground to 850hPa ...

Theta-e 850hPa of less than 14C tend to indicate a (much) higher chance of snow than rain, however,

post-5986-0-83752600-1328352648_thumb.gi

with the probability fading to 0% as we approach theta-e's of 26degC's

:)

Got it, I think :-) thanks.

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wchris_uk Rookie

wchris_uk

Posted
  • Location: Deal Kent ASL 7.701 m / 25.267 feet
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Tornadoes, Snow, and lovely summer Sun
  • Location: Deal Kent ASL 7.701 m / 25.267 feet
Posted

hi can anyone help me out please, im looking for the post that had all the web cams over uk and france, thanks in advance

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Damp and dreary Enthusiast

Damp and dreary

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex, it is a bit boring here.
  • Weather Preferences: rubbish boring weather
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex, it is a bit boring here.
Posted

Temp check in guys

-1c here -5c DP- thats a guess BTW

high layer of cloud still keeping that sun away-

S

Hi Steve, im guessing that all the time the cloud stays around it will help keep the temps low? Also with the precip due late evening for us lot it also helps with the temps being lower?

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cloudsabove Enthusiast

cloudsabove

Posted
  • Location: Suffolk (just west of Ipswich)
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, clouds, aurora
  • Location: Suffolk (just west of Ipswich)
Posted

hi can anyone help me out please, im looking for the post that had all the web cams over uk and france, thanks in advance

http://www.webcamgalore.com/EN/

This one? (sorry can't remember who posted this originally)

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Steve C Accomplished

Steve C

Posted
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: As long as it's not North Sea muck, I'll cope.
  • Location: Alresford, Near Colchester, Essex
Posted

Out now for the rest of the day.

Whatever will be, will be.

Thanks to all the dedicated posters here; Coast, Kold Weather, Paul, Steve and others. It's definitely interesting reading your thoughts and your analysis of model updates etc.

I suspect my area will be in for a few cms overnight, possibly even more. I also suspect that tomorrow might be a grotty, slow thaw type of day, but hearing Phil Garner on BBC Essex this morning and also reading your views here, makes me think that the cold easterly weather might re-establish quickly, so even if tomorrow is like that, then the cold spell isn't done.

Next time I log on, I hope everyone has got what they want ( obviously lots of snow if you're here! ) :clapping::drunk:

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