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London & The South East Regional Discussion - Part 11

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Southender Seasoned

Southender

Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
Posted

NAE on the roll. Very important run this with regards to tomorrow nights chances. Eyes down, fingers crossed...

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abruzzi spur Experienced

abruzzi spur

Posted
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 105 m (top floor 120m)
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 105 m (top floor 120m)
Posted

Doesn't feel like a proper snow event unless we get a streamer! - Thames for the Essex/N.Kent/ London crew and Kent streamer for us South coast lot, Clipper for the Hythe to Folkestone crew. Shouldn't grumble as we had great snow last weekend - still a good few inches lying as it's barely got above freezing all week. Yet watching the convection off the North Sea and coming in a line straight towards your house is truly exciting, and we haven't had that (yet).

Just shows what a sad git I've become, I fear.

For me a party popper is normally acceptable - it somehow legitimises the whole snow thing. If I have to I will take one of those small hooters you blow where the air filled paper then uncurls and shoots out to accommpany the horn noise. Mind you, I've never tried a penny whistle or kazoo - any members out there with experience?

Ta

(And you thought you were a sad git!)

AS

abruzzi spur Experienced

abruzzi spur

Posted
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 105 m (top floor 120m)
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 105 m (top floor 120m)
Posted

my point exactly john. by tomorrow, the MetO could have us under a yellow snow warning-

yellow-snow.jpg

You have either a massive bladder or a large supply of saffron. Either way, I'm probably quite impressed.

john mac Aficionado

john mac

Posted
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
  • Weather Preferences: snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
Posted

Looks a touch further east on that run. just another 50miles and game on theres nothing in it. very close to another dumping for most of us.

bobbydog Maestro

bobbydog

Posted
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
Posted

You have either a massive bladder or a large supply of saffron. Either way, I'm probably quite impressed.

no, just a large supply of carlsberg...

Southender Seasoned

Southender

Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
Posted

Looks a touch further east on that run. just another 50miles and game on theres nothing in it. very close to another dumping for most of us.

John that's the 12z run mate. 18z rolling out now to +12...

abruzzi spur Experienced

abruzzi spur

Posted
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 105 m (top floor 120m)
  • Location: Reigate, Surrey 105 m (top floor 120m)
Posted

Mr Yamkin, I see you are lurking. Has Croydon been moved 100 miles west to bring it into the snow zone, or does the hot off the presses MO update put you in the firing line even if the Borough stays where it is?

steveinsussex Seasoned

steveinsussex

Posted
  • Location: West/East/Sussex Surrey border
  • Location: West/East/Sussex Surrey border
Posted

Looks a touch further east on that run. just another 50miles and game on theres nothing in it. very close to another dumping for most of us.

er its shifted west!

Jason M Experienced

Jason M

Posted
  • Location: South Essex
  • Location: South Essex
Posted (edited)

GFS 18Z out to 30 hours and snow risk has already moved west by a good 50 - 100 miles from 12 Z run.

Looks like were sitting this one out guys (at least London Eastwards)

Jason

Edited by Jason M
john mac Aficionado

john mac

Posted
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
  • Weather Preferences: snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
Posted

John that's the 12z run mate. 18z rolling out now to +12...

er its shifted west!

sorry fellas wrong chart!!!

Tim Bland Maestro

Tim Bland

Posted
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
Posted

Just received this Tweet from Ian - not looking good I'm afraid

@timbland36 Herts and SE up to 1cm max

Hammer Aficionado

Hammer

Posted
  • Location: Sawbridgeworth, Hertfordshire
  • Location: Sawbridgeworth, Hertfordshire
Posted

Short term loss, is for a longer term gain. The fact this is much further west is a promising sign.

john pike Maestro

john pike

Posted
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
  • Location: west croydon (near lombard)
Posted

John that's the 12z run mate. 18z rolling out now to +12...

i know

thought it would be interesting seeing the 18z come out :)

bobbydog Maestro

bobbydog

Posted
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
Posted

GFS 18Z out to 30 hours and snow risk has already moved west by a good 50 - 100 miles from 12 Z run.

Looks like were sitting this one out guys (at least London Eastwards)

Jason

the GFS also predicted moderate snow for us all day today. don't forget, the models try to predict the weather, they don't control it...

john mac Aficionado

john mac

Posted
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
  • Weather Preferences: snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: Waltham Abbey, West Essex 144ft a.s.l.
Posted (edited)

may still shift a bit further east tomorrow morning giving us a bit more. we'll see.

By the way best to stick with the NAE & NNM at this close timeframe.

Does anyone know when the NNM comes out next?

Edited by john mac
Jason M Experienced

Jason M

Posted
  • Location: South Essex
  • Location: South Essex
Posted

Short term loss, is for a longer term gain. The fact this is much further west is a promising sign.

I agree, as trends go its not neccersarily bad over the medium term.....

steveinsussex Seasoned

steveinsussex

Posted
  • Location: West/East/Sussex Surrey border
  • Location: West/East/Sussex Surrey border
Posted

I think another point to make is where that front is going to pivot and turn back on it's self...

over wales

Cirrusly Snowy Accomplished

Cirrusly Snowy

Posted
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands (170m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands (170m asl)
Posted

Short term loss, is for a longer term gain. The fact this is much further west is a promising sign.

What longer tern gain? More cold like we have now with a lack of precipitation?

Southender Seasoned

Southender

Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea, South East Essex.
Posted

NAE also goes for about 1cm across our region tomorrow night at best. Never mind, so we look to the next chance...

Mids look well set for 10cm or so. Good luck to 'em.

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