London & The South East Regional Discussion - Part 11

[john mac]

Anyone would think that this event will be our last chance. Come on people its only 8th feb.

[john pike]

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=nae&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prty&HH=30&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

this will be a radar watch tomorrow night

at least it shows we still have a chance of some

snow

[Lampostwatcher]

NW London could see 2cm

Imo

[Jo S]

Im confused can some one plz tell me if im going to get a little bit of snow plz as im north of London

[rmc1987]

Forget this now it's clearly going to be West so I shall now start to wait for the first glimpses of warmth lol

Edited February 8, 2012 by rmc1987

[Southender]

Im confused can some one plz tell me if im going to get a little bit of snow plz as im north of London

Maybe 1-2cm if your lucky Jo.

[Jo S]

Maybe 1-2cm if your lucky Jo.

Yay thank you,lol im happy with that woop woop

[bobbydog]

Im confused can some one plz tell me if im going to get a little bit of snow plz as im north of London

to be fair, no-one really knows. snowfall is very hard to predict even 12 hours before. best thing to do is keep watching local forecasts, satellite and radar pics. if after that you think you might get some, its down to watching the lamp-post....

[DAVID SNOW]

Im confused can some one plz tell me if im going to get a little bit of snow plz as im north of London

At the mo, a little bit, it may change but probably unlikely at this close range.

[crazysnowcatz4]

Sadly the 18z and Meto output show the sweet spot of the snow further west, although also slightly further south. This wouldn't be good in this corner, still 24hrs to go .. watching the radar tomorrow will show us the truth.

[Lampostwatcher]

Looking at the latest net radar the precipitation looks like its further east

[Rinse The Raindrops]

Just to add what others have said, there have been plenty of times when surprises have happened this time last week it was all about how far east it would come stalling over us etc and bbc london forecast just 20% chance hitting London and look what happened in 2010 when the central belt of england had all that snow it pivoted up over kent and into essex towards the end that was never forecast and only Monday bbc were forecasting a cold DRY week so where did Thurs suddenly come from? think of all the mind boring winters we've had to endure through the 1990s and early 2000s in this part of the country we've had 3 or 4 regular snows now in a row it could be so much worse with weather expect the unexpected!

[Jason T]

It could all be different tomorrow, See where we are in the afternoon.Plenty of time yet.

[Jo S]

Ok thank you for answering my question,so its basically fingers crossed and pray and blow it our way.

[Lampostwatcher]

I can see on the radar that the rain ATM is a good deal further east over Scotland that what the NBC forecast this afternoon :-)

[john mac]

It could all be different tomorrow, See where we are in the afternoon.Plenty of time yet.

very sensible post mate. will be interesting to see what the fax charts come up with in a minute

[steveinsussex]

Looking at the latest net radar the precipitation looks like its further east

but thats not precip that will affect the country tomorrow afaik

[Met4Cast]

[Southender]

At least the 18z GFS is decent. With a NNE and plenty of snow, all the way from the North Pole by Valentines day!

[crazysnowcatz4]

Anyway even if we do miss out now, we could be on for a St Vals snow fest....hehe great minds think alike Shrimper

Edited February 8, 2012 by crazysnowcatz4

[Weathizard]

[john pike]

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=nae&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prty&HH=30&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

remember the last snow we had went further east

than the models predicted

reckon this will look different tomorrow

will certainly be a radar night and lamp post watch

[crazysnowcatz4]

I do agree that the radar does show the ppt further east than predicted . I suppose using ready reckoning and allowing for the pivoting of the front , you would want the sweet spot over dare I say Carlisle tomorrow at around 3.00PM , then we might get more than expected in our corner.

[Ice Day]

I see the pub run is up to its normal tricks, teasing us with a tasty looking NE'sterly!? If it were to verify, not sure how much snow it would deliver though.

[john mac]

Guys, TEITS has just posted on the model thread that the NAE is wrong at 3hrs can you believe that, he says check the NAE at 3hrs over scotland then check the radar. AMAZING it can be so wrong at that range!!!!!