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London & The South East Regional Discussion - Part 11

kold weather

By kold weather
in Regional

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danm Maestro

danm

Posted
  • Location: Home: Chingford, London (NE). Work: London (C)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: cold and snowy. Summer: hot and sunny
  • Location: Home: Chingford, London (NE). Work: London (C)
Posted

post-7073-0-70436300-1328713070_thumb.pn

Based on latest model output. Subject to change.

I would shrink the 5-10cm area down to Birmingham and areas to the south and east up to Oxford and Peterborough. NW of Birmingham looks distinctly marginal.

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ILikeItCool Newbie

ILikeItCool

Posted
  • Location: Whitchurch, Bristol
  • Location: Whitchurch, Bristol
Posted

We are supposed to be driving from Bristol - Crawley on friday leaving at 12 noon. Attempting to convince my hubby we should go tomorrow instead, but wouldn't be able to leave until 2pm ish. Is the snow likely to be down to the M4/M25 on thursday afternoon? Seems like it would be foolish to attempt the friday drive...

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Sno' problem Aficionado

Sno' problem

Posted
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms!! (With the odd gale thrown in)
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
Posted

post-7073-0-70436300-1328713070_thumb.pn

Based on latest model output. Subject to change.

I wouldn't disagree with that... Let's hope that scoots slightly further SE

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tinybill Seasoned

tinybill

Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
Posted

I think you will need to watch that old radar to pin down anything as specific as that. Not sure that the forecasts are going to be able to take into account topography and subtle nuances in the atmosphere etc. Remember this last weekend was odd as East of the South Downs (me) got a good covering and West got none in places.

Time to grab one of these again:

1260156585hlwaNci.jpg

it will coast i just washed me car and waxed it lol

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

it will coast i just washed me car and waxed it lol

:doh: Mine's filthy at the moment after only a few days since I last did it. (I hate having a dirty car!) But I need to get the power wash on it after the cold and any snow has gone to get rid of the salt in all those nooks and crannies.

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snow freak Aficionado

snow freak

Posted
  • Location: Swansea
  • Weather Preferences: snow, snow and more snow
  • Location: Swansea
Posted

post-7073-0-70436300-1328713070_thumb.pn

Based on latest model output. Subject to change.

Well I'm slap bang in the middle of the orange bit, so here's to another snowfest on Friday. What was seeming to be a dismal boring winter is suddenly turning into one of the best for a good few years here in northampton.

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Met4Cast Maestro

Met4Cast

Posted
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Gillingham, Kent
Posted

Daniel, I broadly agree though I'd only give a dusting to the placdes east and SE of London unless there is a sizeable shift in the set-up. You should post that chart here by the way!

http://forum.netweat...40#entry2260157

Agreed - Although it is only a rough guide to give general estimates, there's still a lot of uncertainty so small shifts are possible, I'll do a more detailed, accurate map tomorrow evening

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danm Maestro

danm

Posted
  • Location: Home: Chingford, London (NE). Work: London (C)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: cold and snowy. Summer: hot and sunny
  • Location: Home: Chingford, London (NE). Work: London (C)
Posted (edited)

NAE 12z at 30hrs:

12020918_0812.gif

Compare to the 6z at the same time:

12020918_0806.gif

Edited by danm
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JamesC Rookie

JamesC

Posted
  • Location: Guildford, Surrey
  • Location: Guildford, Surrey
Posted

We all need to move to Chicago. Absolutely nuts.

'It's snowing at over 4' an hour and we already have 13' on the ground!!! Not to mention the thunder snow.'

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danm Maestro

danm

Posted
  • Location: Home: Chingford, London (NE). Work: London (C)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: cold and snowy. Summer: hot and sunny
  • Location: Home: Chingford, London (NE). Work: London (C)
Posted

NAE 12z at 36 hrs:

12021000_0812.gif

Compare with the 6z at the same time:

12021000_0806.gif

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kold weather Maestro

kold weather

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
  • Author
Posted

Looks like some snow for the western region on the 12z NAE, nothing too deep but probably 2-3cms on this run. Eastern areas may just about get a covering as well if this run was correct.

Probably would require the warning to be introduced for at least areas NW/W of London IMO...not sure why they didn't issue warnings for those areas in the first place to be honest...

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Sno' problem Aficionado

Sno' problem

Posted
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms!! (With the odd gale thrown in)
  • Location: West/Central London (W11) 27m (88ft) ASL
Posted

It does seem odd the way the Met Office delay their warnings so often. The cold is well established, so any form of ppn is likely to cause problems and it seems fairly obvious that virtually everywhere in the region will get some ppn... even the slightest amount will readily turn to ice in more marginal areas.

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Marie Aficionado

Marie

Posted
  • Location: Brighton
  • Weather Preferences: snow cold,storms and heat
  • Location: Brighton
Posted (edited)

Coldr air undercuts more here, very good for our region prectypeuktopo.png

Beaten to it!

Oh i really hope this comes off but im telling myself it wont happen,after Saturdays dissapointment down here i couldnt bare the dissapointment on the kids faces again and mine lol Edited by Marie
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kold weather Maestro

kold weather

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
  • Author
Posted

I wouldn't be expecting that much snow though to be honest unless there is a bigger shift eastwards. The models generally seem to be suggesting a small fall for eastern parts of this area, perhaps an inch or so is possible for areas W/NW of London.

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Floatylight Aficionado

Floatylight

Posted
  • Location: colchester,essex,40m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Very Hot,Very cold.scared of thunder and lightning.
  • Location: colchester,essex,40m asl.
Posted

post-7073-0-70436300-1328713070_thumb.pn

Based on latest model output. Subject to change.

If this were to come off i would be pleased,the way some are talking, me in far east will not see a flake.

Also if this chart is correct why has the met o taken my snow away on friday altogether,it had it on this morning then took it off?

All it shows now is a black cloud.

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

after Saturdays dissapointment down here i couldnt bare

"Myself in public"? :rofl:

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sniffermark Newbie

sniffermark

Posted
  • Location: East Farleigh, nr Maidstone, Kent. 17m asl.
  • Location: East Farleigh, nr Maidstone, Kent. 17m asl.
Posted

Met Office for London & South East England

Thursday:

Mostly cloudy, but generally dry at first. Some occasional light snow is then expected to develop in places during the late afternoon or evening. Maximum temperature 2 °C.

Updated: 1546 on Wed 8 Feb 2012

Outlook for Friday to Sunday:

Overnight snow is expected to clear away to allow bright or sunny spells to develop on Friday. Mostly dry on Saturday and Sunday, too, but often cloudy, and continuing cold.

Updated: 1546 on Wed 8 Feb 2012

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bobbydog Maestro

bobbydog

Posted
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
Posted

just a thought- saturday's front didn't stall as soon as predicted. not saying it will happen again but if it did, we would be in the firing line for the heavier stuff.... here's hoping....

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