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Uk Convective General Discussion & Forecasts, 27th June 2012>

Jane Louise

By Jane Louise
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

Hot cupper, your back! Not seen you for a while on here, and now I see you've been reborn as hot cupper 2!

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

Yes I noticed that as well....a nice clump of Cb's in western Biscay.....This is interesting because the steering winds for this area of convection and indeed most of the weather to the south/SW of the UK seems to be broadly NEerly which is at odds with some of the forecasts I've seen tonight which are keen to progress elevated convection NWwards from France into the Irish sea....definitely worth keeping an eye on

Yes I noticed that as well....a nice clump of Cb's in western Biscay.....This is interesting because the steering winds for this area of convection and indeed most of the weather to the south/SW of the UK seems to be broadly NEerly which is at odds with some of the forecasts I've seen tonight which are keen to progress elevated convection NWwards from France into the Irish sea....definitely worth keeping an eye on

may be this is what has been hiding from us until now,the ppn is starting to get heavier by the latest runsit does look promising AJ

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Lauren Veteran

Lauren

Posted
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
  • Weather Preferences: Hot summers, snowy winters and thunderstorms!
  • Location: The North Kent countryside
Posted

I havent been able to log in for the last couple of days for some reason. Ive had a quick catch up but am a bit confused as there seems to be a bit of conflict. Are the storms most likely in central england or the whole of england? Also wuen is this supposed to be kicking off?

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

right i am off to bed got to get up at 5 in the morning but i finish at 2 so hopefully i will catch the storms in the afternoon,good luck everyonegood.gif

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Hodgheg Community Regular

Hodgheg

Posted
  • Location: Near Hull
  • Weather Preferences: Severe storms and heavy snow
  • Location: Near Hull
Posted

I havent been able to log in for the last couple of days for some reason. Ive had a quick catch up but am a bit confused as there seems to be a bit of conflict. Are the storms most likely in central england or the whole of england? Also wuen is this supposed to be kicking off?

Im pretty sure no one is that sure at the moment,

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted

Very heavy downpours over SW Scotland right now, any reports from that area guys? Apart from that there isn't much exciting kicking off just yet....

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

Aaarrrggghhhhh!!!!!! (sorry had to pop back on in shock!!!) Alex Deakin finally whips out the lightning globe and speaks of thunderstorms in the next 24 hours......not for the SE granted but most othe areas.

Schafernaker basically wipes out all hope for the SE too!!! Grrr :cray: will try again, night night

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Evening thunder Experienced

Evening thunder

Posted
  • Location: East Devon
  • Location: East Devon
Posted

Well the BBC local news forecast isn't really buying the Met Office's no storms for the SW overnight..

He said 'Angry showers' 'Risk of thunder and lightning' and 'so there's a chance we could be woken up early tomorrow.'

I thought their info came from the MetO too.. confused.com

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P-M Seasoned

P-M

Posted
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Thunderstorms, Heat (Summer) & Snow in Winter
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL
Posted

I am in Middledbrough working tomorrow and wont be driving back up the A19 until around 3pm which is when it could all be kicking off, not looking forward to that drive if it does like but hoping for a decent storm non the less.

Tony over on UKWW has a red box over much of southern and central NE ENgland and Yorkshire, and in his write up says that the conditions that are coming together could be compared to the Birmingham and London tornadoes so an interesting read!

Quote:

All in all it is rare to see the models combine such strong shear with such strong instability. Similar past conditions can be associated with the Birmingham and London tornadoes!

Full post here: http://www.ukweatherworld.co.uk/forum/index.php?/topic/91959-convective-outlook-thurs-28th-june-2012/page__pid__808512#entry808512

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AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted

Well the BBC local news forecast isn't really buying the Met Office's no storms for the SW overnight..

He said 'Angry showers' 'Risk of thunder and lightning' and 'so there's a chance we could be woken up early tomorrow.'

I thought their info came from the MetO too.. confused.com

That forecast would of probably been recorded before the latest UKMO model runs that Ian Fergusson was on about, came out.

Therefore the probably ain't got the latest data yet!

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Arnie Pie Accomplished

Arnie Pie

Posted
  • Location: Birmingham, Harborne 160 asl
  • Weather Preferences: Columus Bigus Convectivus
  • Location: Birmingham, Harborne 160 asl
Posted

El Brumo camo is back onio till further siestagood.gif

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Kain Contributor

Kain

Posted
  • Location: Highley, Shropshire, WV16
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Snow
  • Location: Highley, Shropshire, WV16
Posted

Sod it I'm going to have an all nighter to see what comes off. I aint given up yet!

So with midnight approaching its becomming the optimal time when things were planned to kick off. Just have to make sure Thor knows it!

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BornFromTheVoid Maestro

BornFromTheVoid

Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
Posted

Thunder and lightning now being reported in a few parts along the south coast of Ireland.

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Hodgheg Community Regular

Hodgheg

Posted
  • Location: Near Hull
  • Weather Preferences: Severe storms and heavy snow
  • Location: Near Hull
Posted

Estofex really taking their time tonight...

I have a feeling they wont release theres till morning now

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A.J Maestro

A.J

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
Posted

Sod it I'm going to have an all nighter to see what comes off. I aint given up yet!

So with midnight approaching its becomming the optimal time when things were planned to kick off. Just have to make sure Thor knows it!

I think you might be a tad early...optimal time IMO for any possible elevated storms for our neck of the woods is in the early hours towards breakfast time

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Eskimo Accomplished

Eskimo

Posted
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
Posted

I have a feeling they wont release theres till morning now

They only updated this afternoon, chances are they won't until the morning for sure!

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Dean E Community Regular

Dean E

Posted
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire
Posted

I have a feeling they wont release theres till morning now

Yeah, with severe events showing on the models, they really don't take these things lightly

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Kain Contributor

Kain

Posted
  • Location: Highley, Shropshire, WV16
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Snow
  • Location: Highley, Shropshire, WV16
Posted

I think you might be a tad early...optimal time IMO for any possible elevated storms for our neck of the woods is in the early hours towards breakfast time

Aye I know, but I was going to watch the radar to see whats comming towards our neck of the woods :)

One of the very few benefits of having insomnia, you never feel that tired after an all nighter :)

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A.J Maestro

A.J

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
Posted

Aye I know, but I was going to watch the radar to see whats comming towards our neck of the woods smile.png

One of the very few benefits of having insomnia, you never feel that tired after an all nighter smile.png

In that case, I'll join you for a bit...hang on, I'll just pull up a chair, and grab a beer ........drinks.gif

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Snowangel-MK Accomplished

Snowangel-MK

Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Weather Preferences: anything extreme or intense !
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
Posted

Well the BBC local news forecast isn't really buying the Met Office's no storms for the SW overnight..

He said 'Angry showers' 'Risk of thunder and lightning' and 'so there's a chance we could be woken up early tomorrow.'

is that a level 4.....

post-10773-0-74904500-1340836186_thumb.j

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