South East England & East Anglia Regional Discussion - June 28th 2012>

[john pike]

that would be interesting

long way out though

[Snowangel-MK]

At home you can whoop and squeeeeee at every flash and wallop and no one to think your bonkers.

I don't care where I am I'd still whoop..... everyone thinks I'm bonkers anyway

Lovely evening here, still a bit too breezy for the garden but the conservatory awaits me as is a nice chilled bottle of Pino with my name on it Cheers, hope you all have a lovely weekend !

[snow raven]

I don't care where I am I'd still whoop..... everyone thinks I'm bonkers anyway

Lovely evening here, still a bit too breezy for the garden but the conservatory awaits me as is a nice chilled bottle of Pino with my name on it Cheers, hope you all have a lovely weekend !

Yes, it really is quite a nice evening - bit breezy, but its dry and not boiling like it was yesterday!

Have a lovely weekend too MK, and all the other posters here

[john pike]

[john pike]

maybe better for the south for storms if the high cape stays over in france

[Keraunic]

Have a fab weekend everyone here. Phew, it's been a heck of an exciting day or two.

[snow raven]

maybe better for the south for storms if the high cape stays over in france

Hi John,

If you get the chance, could you explain what these charts mean for the up comming SE weather?

[john pike]

hi snowraven

been a bit busy today

do a bigger post later on tonight

or tomorrow morning

that was based on the 12z and has now changed

[snow raven]

hi snowraven

been a bit busy today

do a bigger post later on tonight

or tomorrow morning

that was based on the 12z and has now changed

Thanks John, when you are ready and able, update us lot in EA&SE - no pressure!

[john pike]

fax charts

sunday looks dry

makes a change

monday looks wet (heavy showers and breezy)

tuesday more heavy showers coming in on a stiff south westerly wind

low pressure to our west causing this

wednesday again low pressure gets closer but still to our west

more heavy showers

how gfs sees next week

wednesday12z high enough cape to set off some storms

wednesday 18z i find interesting

the high cape keeps over the water in france

maybe keeping the cape away from us might generate some stronger storms

for the south east using the channel to make the air more unstable

thursday

warmer wrapped around low pressure again bringing heavy rain

note the two diffrent air temperatures over the south east

possible rumble or two in the heavier bursts

friday

low pressure still close to our south west

heavy rain and slightly higher cape means again

possible rumbles in the heavier

no point in going further

although saturday could be lively

if these are right flooding is going to start to be a real problem again

gfs ensembles are wet from the 3rd

and below average temperatures

this was all based on the 18z and will look different tomorrow

[Steve C]

Thanks John.

I personally really appreciate the effort you put in to preparing these charts.

[ZONE 51]

Great stuff JP, thanks, So potential thunder on the horizon then.

Just a thought with some heavy showers/rain around into the morning today any chance of a rumble of thunder? not checked must take alook!

Edited June 30, 2012 by ElectricSnowStorm

[john pike]

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

sure looks messy tomorrow

today now

certianly a chance there of the odd rumble

thanks electric and the fohns

[ZONE 51]

Just looked through the charts, Lifted index is yellow across a large area this morning,

The CAPE,(above)

Looking at other data, maybe some thundery stuff, EA top spot maybe? thats just a quick look.

Edited June 30, 2012 by ElectricSnowStorm

[Steve C]

Morning all.

Not too sure what the weather is like, as I need to open the curtains, but can hear there's a breeze and suspect it's cloudy (my curtains aren't so thick that I can't tell whether or not it's sunny but detecting mere 'brightness' is difficult)

[Guest archiesmummy]

Morning all.

Not too sure what the weather is like, as I need to open the curtains, but can hear there's a breeze and suspect it's cloudy (my curtains aren't so thick that I can't tell whether or not it's sunny but detecting mere 'brightness' is difficult)

Well its raining here!

[Steve C]

Well its raining here!

Blast! You're probably upwind of me.

[Snowangel-MK]

Morning, after a very disturbed night (don't ask! ) I gave up on sleep and decided to get an early walk in before I go out and leave the dogs for the day, just got back and the heaven's opened so maybe there is a God !

It's stopped again now and there are some patches of blue appearing in the overcast sky, it's not unpleasant at 16 degrees this early in the day so I'm hopeful it will improve as I'm off to meet some of my family in Marlow for lunch by the Thames.

[Steve C]

Morning, after a very disturbed night (don't ask! ) I gave up on sleep and decided to get an early walk in before I go out and leave the dogs for the day, just got back and the heaven's opened so maybe there is a God !

It's stopped again now and there are some patches of blue appearing in the overcast sky, it's not unpleasant at 16 degrees this early in the day so I'm hopeful it will improve as I'm off to meet some of my family in Marlow for lunch by the Thames.

Sounds nice.

I've got a day that could descend into a beer session lined up. Going for a lunchtime drink, then off to Great Bentley carnival and fair - I might even go on the dodgems for the first time in quite a few years (definitely head on collisions called for, even if I'm then banned) and then meeting a Welsh couple I know, from a previous holiday, in Colchester later.

[Guest archiesmummy]

Blast! You're probably upwind of me.

It's coming your way! Stay in bed!

[Snowangel-MK]

It's coming your way! Stay in bed!

lol - I've just consulted Derek the Weathersheep and he reckons it should dry up and I'm okay to peg out my smalls on the washing line

[Steve C]

Apparently a brief, heavy shower went through Colchester an hour or so ago, but it now looks set fair for a while. It's actually very pleasant here at the moment.

[Summer of 76]

lol - I've just consulted Derek the Weathersheep and he reckons it should dry up and I'm okay to peg out my smalls on the washing line

Last time I did that, people phoned the police asking if there was an eclipse of the sun taking place

[Keraunic]

Lovely day in Ipswich. Cloudy but bright with warm sun. Slight breeze. Seems there are some thundery showers prowling around further north. Hope they move down here.

[Kent Snow]

A pleasant day with mostly well broken cloud and sunny spells. Maximum 20C.