November CET Value

[summer blizzard]

One of the days had a mean of -4.0C

I meant for the period before the 24th as we are quite similar to that in synoptic and cold pooling.

[March Blizzard]

My 5.6C looks miles off, unless we get November 2010 part 2.

[DR Hosking]

7.2C to 20th

[Stu_London]

7.2C to 20th

Overnight min was 7.3C so a rise to 7.3C is pretty much guaranteed tomorrow, even though it wasn't particularly mild today especially in the afternoon.

Bit of a plunge to come next week, model upgrades of the cold suggest we might fall to quite close to 6C, although the main brunt of the cold is reserved for early December.

Interesting that the Maunder period had some cold November's, especially at the beginning of the period.

[Roger J Smith]

Here's the daily means for all of 2010, you can get this at Hadcet (google it).

I have it on an excel file so that's how I was able to post the trend.

2010 1 -5 19 38 45 111 118 183 161 132 130 102 -20

2010 2 3 39 35 59 76 140 187 160 147 117 110 -14

2010 3 -6 25 31 69 67 147 170 154 148 128 128 -26

2010 4 -34 39 34 65 66 164 158 151 145 126 136 -15

2010 5 -27 67 22 75 94 176 160 147 155 139 136 4

2010 6 -5 34 35 107 104 160 151 147 161 139 82 -38

2010 7 -46 26 0 84 91 144 176 172 155 119 52 -35

2010 8 -37 16 7 81 84 143 179 169 148 155 45 -27

2010 9 -21 25 39 96 83 147 191 158 153 145 59 4

2010 10 -12 16 46 108 68 142 199 152 165 154 55 38

2010 11 7 4 27 95 62 135 182 147 177 124 67 60

2010 12 7 20 44 87 56 135 164 155 143 101 99 8

2010 13 2 23 46 78 63 143 149 143 134 87 75 14

2010 14 10 22 67 89 83 137 171 151 162 80 49 18

2010 15 32 22 67 70 101 115 166 171 121 102 30 33

2010 16 46 30 65 79 94 133 157 162 134 92 35 42

2010 17 54 12 86 78 103 146 151 169 106 68 31 -21

2010 18 54 7 113 81 105 139 155 144 107 85 71 -30

2010 19 55 18 94 88 130 112 197 153 131 90 61 -68

2010 20 32 13 99 70 161 125 193 183 157 49 52 -70

2010 21 42 17 73 53 172 160 177 189 149 65 48 -59

2010 22 44 11 85 62 172 170 160 175 156 88 54 -21

2010 23 40 22 60 83 181 167 158 155 159 89 51 -23

2010 24 28 44 97 111 171 173 156 137 112 55 16 -28

2010 25 27 62 112 133 135 166 187 130 81 45 3 -59

2010 26 21 53 90 124 109 196 183 143 91 74 -5 -36

2010 27 31 49 89 114 97 187 186 135 117 114 -16 -17

2010 28 40 42 80 140 107 182 159 137 137 119 -40 31

2010 29 40 ----- 83 121 107 185 155 141 143 126 -25 42

2010 30 5 ---- 96 98 132 182 157 119 113 103 -10 51

2010 31 3 ---- 41 ---- 118 ---- 177 122 ---- 97 ---- 47

[summer blizzard]

I've no idea how to read that.

[The PIT]

Bloody hell a 183C thats hot.

Nope the excel copy and paste doesn't make sense I'm afraid. Try this one and click on the Nov tag. http://www.sheffieldweather.co.uk/Stevenson-2010.htm

[summer blizzard]

Ahh, that makes sense.

[DR Hosking]

7.4c to 22nd

[damianslaw]

Mmm the month is turning out to be a bit milder than I expected.. however, we should see the CET fall slightly in the coming days with a finishing value somewhere around the 6.8 degree mark a strong possibility - so a little above average but not expectionally so.

The lack of cold minima has been the main reason for the slightly milder than normal conditions, maxima have often been near average after the cold first 7 days..

Looking forward to some proper frosty nights as enter December..

[summer blizzard]

7.4C to the 22nd.

[Optimus Prime]

The lack of cold minima has been the main reason for the slightly milder than normal conditions, maxima have often been near average after the cold first 7 days..

Surprisingly maxima is what's keeping this month rather mild;

Mean Maxima 10.5c (+0.7c)

Mean Minima 4.2c (+0.3c)

[The watcher]

6.7 - 6.9c a reasonable area to have your guess at the minute.

[BornFromTheVoid]

7.3C to the 23rd

http://www.metoffice..._info_mean.html

Yesterday was 6.7C. Today's minimum is 0.2C, while maxima will be around 8C, so a drop tomorrow to 7.2C is likely.

After that, the 12z GFS has the CET at

7.2C to the 25th (6.6)

7.1C to the 26th (6.2)

7.1C to the 27th (6.5)

7.0C to the 28th (5.0)

6.9C to the 29th (3.1)

6.8C to the 30th (3.1)

I'd say 6.5-6.8C after corrections

[Milhouse]

Mmm the month is turning out to be a bit milder than I expected.. however, we should see the CET fall slightly in the coming days with a finishing value somewhere around the 6.8 degree mark a strong possibility - so a little above average but not expectionally so.

The lack of cold minima has been the main reason for the slightly milder than normal conditions, maxima have often been near average after the cold first 7 days..

Looking forward to some proper frosty nights as enter December..

A finish of 6.8c would be slightly below the 71-00 (6.9c) and 81-10 (7.1c) averages.

[Fozfoster]

6.6c and its BINGO and a top 3 finish ;-) maybe!

[Mark Bayley]

7.2c to the 24th

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Should just about achieve another below average month!

[Relativistic]

I've gone for 6.3C. Perhaps just a tad too low...?

Edited November 25, 2012 by 22nov10blast

[Mark Bayley]

I've gone for 6.3C. Perhaps just a tad too low...?

I think so, what BFTV suggests seams reasonable at just below the 1961-1990 average with the usual corrections downwards

[DR Hosking]

7.2c to the 25th

[SnOwFeSt]

It looks like things may be quite a bit colder than the projected temps of a few days ago. A maximum of just 6 degrees and a frost tonight, and 4 degrees and another frost tomorrow should result in a daily average much lower than those the 12z was predicting a few days ago.

I would guess the daily average would be likely to be nearer 3 or 4 degrees today and 1 or 2 degrees tomorrow, so perhaps a lower finishing point? Should certainly see another below average month!

[TonyH]

I am going to be close this month (6.7c) after a poor run lately.

Edited November 28, 2012 by TonyH

[BornFromTheVoid]

7.1C to the 27th

http://www.metoffice..._info_mean.html

Yesterday was 6.7C. Today's min is 4.4C while maxima were in the 6s, so remaining at 7.1C, with a small chance of dropping to 7.0C tomorrow.

After that, the 12z GFS has the CET at

6.9C to the 29th (2.4)

6.7C to the 30th (2.3)

6.4-6.7C after corrections? 6.6C would be my best guess anyway.

[The PIT]

Sunny old Sheffield stuck at 6.5C. Any drop in the day time temp has been countered by milder nights. Although tonight will put a stop to that.

[Don]

7.1C to the 27th

http://www.metoffice..._info_mean.html

Yesterday was 6.7C. Today's min is 4.4C while maxima were in the 6s, so remaining at 7.1C, with a small chance of dropping to 7.0C tomorrow.

After that, the 12z GFS has the CET at

6.9C to the 29th (2.4)

6.7C to the 30th (2.3)

6.4-6.7C after corrections? 6.6C would be my best guess anyway.

I'm certainly in with a shot this month. Been a while since I've even been close!