South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion ~ November 19th 2012>

[Jason T]

just a quick post re ukmo charts this morning

nothing wrong with that

Joe B Twitter quotes.....Very Niceeee.

â€@BigJoelaminate floori

Euro December to remember Newsmaking cold on way,.. shades of 2010. ECMWF 240 hr 500 mb off

â€@BigJoelaminate floori

Snowfall by opening of December pushes deep into Europe

@BigJoelaminate floori

Amazing how this looks like 2010 in Europe Nov got warm.. heavy rains smashed into UK, then whip came down in Dec!

• @BigJoelaminate floori
  Rain means something .. signs of change in pattern when excessive in winter. Here we go again! Heavy UK
  
• rains, then the iceman cometh
  
• 
  
• @BigJoelaminate floori
  Children in UK and NW Europe about to experience another round of not knowing what snow and cold is as it gets cold and snows.
  

Edited November 24, 2012 by Jason T

[gottolovethisweather]

Yes, the northern extent of the rain is slightly further north than 06z GFS predicts.

Heaviest rain looks like ending up across the southwestern England and Wales, where it really is least needed!

Thanks Nick. I was going to like your response but I only actually like part of the news you have given us. Do you have a forecast out?

Edited November 24, 2012 by gottolovethisweather

[gottolovethisweather]

I am getting a real sense of deja vu.....

As for the weather, well rain and more rain!

Will soon be snow and more snow.

[Keraunic]

They do make me laugh, they probably make up their so-called forecasters who are supposed to have quoted this I bet they don't even excist. I'd luv to investigate them over this and sue the laminate floors! What they write is just out of order in my opinion, they could be responcible for widespread hysteria.

LOL it just said laminate floors, I leave you guys to guess what I actually put!

Was it 'I have a problem'?

No, obviously something else!! I said the a**e word.

Rain a little heavier now but still quite calm in The Swich.

[Dexter29]

Will soon be snow and more snow.

This time next week we could be radar watching for Snow..... Very exciting :-)

[Canalboy]

Quite fun to compare the purported UKMO run from 30 November 2012 with the behemoth from New Year's Day 1963. That was some high over Greenland!

[Zenarcher]

I've made a post about tonight's wet and windy weather in detail here

[Canalboy]

Chilly.

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/archives/archives.php?day=1&month=1&year=1963&hour=0&map=0&mode=0

[tinybill]

pouring down

[If Wishes made Weather]

Pouring in Storford. Looking at the projected gusts map for between 3 and 6 am it could be the strongest gusts we have seen for a while in this part of the world.

[Kent Snow]

Steady rain for the past 6 hours. Awaiting the increasing wind speed later.

[Lauren]

Anyone else get the feeling this is going to end up as simply a slightly breezy damp squib?

[Dexter29]

Anyone else get the feeling this is going to end up as simply a slightly breezy damp squib?

Well the Beeb TV forecasts have downgraded the wind. But the rain is still forecast to be atrocious in SW England

Here in Essex I don't see higher gusts than 50mph tbh... Shame as was looking forward to some damaging winds.

[gottolovethisweather]

The GFS 12z is a stunner and it is sticking to the trend.

[VillagePlank]

12z GFS has windspeeds in Kent about 10mph higher than current MetO output,

And, notice, that the central pressure is lower - 979hPa by 6am, tomorrow.

Edited November 24, 2012 by Boar Wrinklestorm

[Mike Storm]

sure looks windy on that chart

[Eskimo]

Wind becoming more noticeable now, gusts of 20mph.

[JennyJane1]

Sorry to go slighty off topic peeps but can i ask and particularly to mrsf16

relatives over your way say the red cross is going door to door handing out emergency blankets for severe weather, have you seen this?

[Reefseeker]

Just got back from visiting and cuddling the dogs at Battersea Old Windsor. The roads in the area had very large and deep puddles which motorists were taking care to avoid. The Thames was very swollen and if the rain persists for many more hours, it is possible to imagine the banks coming under pressure; might be an interesting night for the Runnymede Spa! Very wet M25 and A3 driving home.

[Coast]

Raining all day in East Sussex and some flooding on minor roads already. Still looks like a wild night for us and plenty of wind to come, as I'm off for a curry with the lads shortly!

I'll leave you with this analysis to contemplate, which looks it will be with us by midnight latest:

[john pike]

hi all quick ukmo update from the 12z run

getting colder and colder

[Mark Neal.]

Had 12.6mm so far. Started raining at 11am. But just turned heavier in last hour. Wind picking up too; now gusts of 25mph. Temp at 9.1c.

[Keraunic]

Pouring with rain in Ipswich but less so now in Norwich. Boooooring!! Good journey though listening to the brilliant Stephen Fry's audio book.

[john pike]

http://www.xcweather.co.uk/GB/observations

to keep your eye on progress

[john pike]

updated fax chart for monday

more heavy rain