South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion ~ November 24th 2012>

[Coast]

Rain has stopped but no sunshine here.

Just a quick overview of the next few days coming up and the cold sets in around the 2nd, but it's going back up again after that it seems?

[Keraunic]

It seems to be drying up here. The heaviest rain I saw this morning was when walking through my work car park.

I've just had to fill in the accident book, as some bloke has scalded himself with steam from the new kettle here - he's worried he might get a blister on the side of his thumb. Unbelievable! What a wuss! Me and the lady who works with me just looked at each other.

Aww! Diddums! Wuss indeed. Tell him to grow some..............

[Coast]

2M temps are of course low, but I'm not sure that's all of the many ingredients we need to give us the Holy Grail:

Seams to remain very cold down that central spine of the UK all day:

But Monday morning it looks to be back to normal according to this GFS interpretation:

[Coast]

Edit: I was being daft when I said the rain had stopped, of course I didn't wait for 5 minutes for it just to resume again

[Steve C]

Aww! Diddums! Wuss indeed. Tell him to grow some..............

Exactly what my female colleague suggested too - when he'd left the office.

Thanks for posting that analysis Coast too. Uncertainty rules it seems.

[Coast]

Thanks for posting that analysis Coast too. Uncertainty rules it seems.

I think so Steve, you need to be in the model thread for more detailed analysis, but I'll give my simplistic approach as a general overview for what it's worth (not a lot!!! :lol:)

[Bluebreezer54]

I think I need my eyes testing. I glanced at Ali's message above and saw the last bit as Dog in a Double Sauce!

Maybe thats the meal you ordered for the December 8th meet up Steve !!

[gottolovethisweather]

Before anyone panics over the GFS 6z and the other overnight runs, it would be very wise to heed Chinio's post below.

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/75083-model-output-discussion-18z-25th-nov-onward/page__st__420#entry2416714

His thoughts tally very well with mine and considering he's got far more knowledge and understanding of climate dynamics than I could ever have, I see it as good thing, indeed.

[Snowangel-MK]

Edit: I was being daft when I said the rain had stopped, of course I didn't wait for 5 minutes for it just to resume again

There is a little patch of blue sky appeared here....... but I'm not saying anything or I might jinx that too

Exactly what my female colleague suggested too - when he'd left the office.

Perhaps she should have said it while he was still in there

[gottolovethisweather]

And another very level headed view of how things should develop as we go through the week ahead.

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/75083-model-output-discussion-18z-25th-nov-onward/page__st__440#entry2416744

[Steve C]

Perhaps she should have said it while he was still in there

Maybe, but I had an altercation with the chap a couple of weeks ago, about something else, so that would have undoubtedly kicked off again.

[Snowangel-MK]

Maybe, but I had an altercation with the chap a couple of weeks ago, about something else, so that would have undoubtedly kicked off again.

Oh dear

You know that little bit of blue sky I mentioned ...... well it's gone now

[Steve C]

I've just gone into the model thread on recommendations. There are some great posters there amongst the carnage for all users - Gibby, Fergie, TWS to name a few. Also good posters for more advanced users too - Chiono, GP etc.

But I can't stay there too long. It makes my head spin at the moment.

[Snowangel-MK]

This video shows the rainfall from midnight Saturday 24th November to the 6.00 am this morning using satellite and rainfall radar imagery.

The top ten rainfall totals recorded during this time were:

Plymouth, Mountbatten 72 mm

Scilly: St Marys Airport 66.6 mm

Cardinham, Bodmin 66.2 mm

Dunkeswell Aerodrome 60.8 mm

Camborne 59.6 mm

Exeter Airport 55.6 mm

Fylingdales 51.8 mm

Culdrose 49 mm

Capel Curig 49 mm

North Wyke 48.2 mm

This is on top of the rainfall from last week, for last week's totals see

http://metofficenews...-totals-update/

[Coast]

But I can't stay there too long. It makes my head spin at the moment.

Here's as far as I'm prepared to look ahead and in my own, simplistic way:

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=snow;sess=

I think that's as good as it gets at this point, looking ahead no further than the weekend.

[afcone]

you need to be in the model thread for more detailed analysis, but I'll give my simplistic approach as a general overview for what it's worth (not a lot!!! )

Model summaries are very appreciated here... once the MOD gets up to twenty pages per day each winter I can't keep up!

[Kent Snow]

Pouring rain for the past hour. Very grim out there. Temperature 8C.

[Steve C]

Pouring rain for the past hour. Very grim out there. Temperature 8C.

Happy birthday by the way!

[gottolovethisweather]

Model summaries are very appreciated here... once the MOD gets up to twenty pages per day each winter I can't keep up!

Hi afcone.

Not that I'm a so called expert, I can lead you to my post from yesterday, as far as I am aware, nothing has changed as to the general trend.

http://forum.netweat...20#entry2415887

Another guy worth listening to, when posting in here is Ben Cambs.

Edited November 26, 2012 by gottolovethisweather

[Snowangel-MK]

Happy birthday by the way!

Yes, well spotted Steve.....Happy Birthday Kent Snow, hope you have a great day despite the rain

[Coast]

Very grim out there.

Well have a drink on us for your Birthday then!!!

Time to get the Winter warm clothes out this weekend?

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=ukw;sess=

[Kent Snow]

Cheers!

[john pike]

Substantial and intense rain coming into work and it was double speed wipers all the way in. Some minor flooding to the sides of the roads around Lewes and the rain looks set to continue for a while yet looking at the radar. I'm thinking of becoming a fish..........

beat you too it coast

i did change my avatar but as i dont have a picture i got the closest i could

not sure if anyone has posted this but this is ukmo chart for saturday

do not see a backdown here

the saga goes on

have a good one kent

[Coast]

do not see a backdown here the saga goes on have a good one kent

It does look cold for the weekend, but I just can't see where any other of the important ingredients will come from to make it worthwhile

Here's the best I can do:

http://www.snow-fore...maps/dynamic/uk

Edited November 26, 2012 by Coast

[john pike]

It does look cold for the weekend, but I just can't see where any other of the important ingredients will come from to make it worthwhile

hi coast

that is a small low right on the tip of yarmouth

anyway firming up the details as we get closer