South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion ~ November 24th 2012>

[abruzzi spur]

I believe I can give my forecast a confidence level of approximately 60 to 70%, due to a pretty clear-cut trend as head towards the beginning of meteorological winter. In my view, FI (fantasy island) is currently sitting somewhere between the dates of 2^nd December and 3^rd December, which can only be a good thing.[/size

Great stuff GTLTW, I'm just going to go all professional and legal and say that you can't sue GTLTW or the site if you aren't snowed in next weekend!

End of submissions m'lud

AS

[Ben_Cambs]

The trend for the coming week is that it will turn increasingly colder and drier as the week progresses, after a wet start to the week. Going to be a seasonal start to meterological winter, I personally look forward to it!

Really nice post GTLTW!

[abruzzi spur]

It's blooming dark here in Reigate but will probably get light again tomorrow, roughly around or just before sunrise..

I am now the winner of the 'most pathetic submission to get to 500 posts' award 2012. I'd like to thank some people for their help in getting me to this place, including my analyst, but I value my membership too highly!

An increasingly interesting week coming up I think. Hope we can all find something we enjoy.

AS

[Great Plum]

It's dark in south Reigate too... May not get light here though if the youngest keeps getting up!

[Eskimo]

The 18z is trickling out, lets hope its a corker!

[abruzzi spur]

It's dark in south Reigate too... May not get light here though if the youngest keeps getting up!

And you being closer to the equator as well!

Make the most of them being young GP, my eldest is nearly 16 and only comes down to watch I'm a celebrity.....

AS

[gottolovethisweather]

It's blooming dark here in Reigate but will probably get light again tomorrow, roughly around or just before sunrise..

I am now the winner of the 'most pathetic submission to get to 500 posts' award 2012. I'd like to thank some people for their help in getting me to this place, including my analyst, but I value my membership too highly!

An increasingly interesting week coming up I think. Hope we can all find something we enjoy.

AS

Don't worry AS, JP will be along with his RAMP charts shortly. Let's hope they are this side of FI.

[gottolovethisweather]

The GFS 18z (PUB RUN) is very similar to the GFS 12z at t+66 with the colder T850s trundling south slowly.

*This isn't my thing usually, trying to find a trend from the one run but heck, I like what I see, so far.

Edited November 25, 2012 by gottolovethisweather

[john pike]

Don't worry AS, JP will be along with his RAMP charts shortly. Let's hope they are this side of FI.

[abruzzi spur]

Don't worry AS, JP will be along with his RAMP charts shortly. Let's hope they are this side of FI.

John is the Netweather equivalent of the £20 you find down the back of the sofa when you thought you were skint, the world is aIright again, I love his posts!

Anyway, surely it's Yamkin time?

[West Sussex Kate]

C'mon cold weather! We're ready!

:-)

[Ben_Cambs]

GFS 18z appears to be going down a very similar route to the 12z.

[Ice Day]

hi ice they normally come out 10.30-11 the dates that we need

i will have a gamble of ecm being wrong

also i just read the posts on the model thread

wheres the nearest tower block

hi abruzzi

i gather you just read that thread as well

Thanks John, not long to wait then! Fingers crossed, but it looks like the pub run is looking more hopeful than the earlier ECM and doubt is being thrown onto the ECM's output anyway. Perhaps the tower block can wait for another day?

[gottolovethisweather]

Up to t+153 (very early hours of the 2nd December) the GFS left trouser legHEADS RUN is still broadly similar to the general trend shown by the GFS in recent days.

It might be a bit of a crawl getting there for some, but I am a patient being.

Edited November 25, 2012 by gottolovethisweather

[Ben_Cambs]

Just for fun, GFS 18z has widespread snowfall from a trough next Sunday.

[gottolovethisweather]

Just for fun, GFS 18z has widespread snowfall from a trough next Sunday.

That is the point at which the models are struggling, I would say.

Night all, I'm knackered.

[Great Plum]

And you being closer to the equator as well!

Make the most of them being young GP, my eldest is nearly 16 and only comes down to watch I'm a celebrity.....

AS

This is what will happen with my younger one when he is 16...

At 7pm, I will turn the lights out in his room and play lullabies, sing songs and pat him on the back...

At 8pm I will nick his food and turn his television off repeatedly...

9.30pm - fall asleep on him in such a way that it's impossible to move.

Set loud and vicious alarms at 11.03, 1.47, 1.49, 1.51, 3.17 and then play loud music at 5am in his ear...

Revenge is best served cold...

[john pike]

updated fax charts in

update in 5 mins

[abruzzi spur]

This is what will happen with my younger one when he is 16...

At 7pm, I will turn the lights out in his room and play lullabies, sing songs and pat him on the back...

At 8pm I will nick his food and turn his television off repeatedly...

9.30pm - fall asleep on him in such a way that it's impossible to move.

Set loud and vicious alarms at 11.03, 1.47, 1.49, 1.51, 3.17 and then play loud music at 5am in his ear...

Revenge is best served cold...

Great stuff GP, wish I had thought of even some of that!

[ZONE 51]

(charts are GFS 18z-latest update-show possible snow Sunday 2nd Dec or next wkend)

Edited November 25, 2012 by ElectricSnowStorm

[john pike]

monday very wet and may get quite windy in the afternoon

low lying areas in the south could see flooding from this

monday night still heavy rain

flooding issues are possible here at present

feeling chillier

tuesday

showers around some heavy

chilly north easterly flow

single digit temps

tuesday night looks dry with a cold north east wind

temperatures on the slide

ground frost possible

wednesday

colder north east wind

mainly dry but could see the odd wintry shower on the brisk wind

feeling cold

thursday

block holding in atlantic and building

eastern block looks strong

very cold north easterly wind

slim chance of some wintry showers

528 dam air getting closer

friday

block has built in atlantic

strong block to our east

a very cold flow from the noerth east

watch that low to our east-north east

fax charts still on their own with gfs

tomorrow will show saturday the important one

Edited November 25, 2012 by john pike

[john pike]

also 528 dam air touching great yarmouth on friday

[abruzzi spur]

Evening John. As ever, huge thanks for all your posts.

AS

also 528 dam air touching great yarmouth on friday

I hope it washes its hands!

Edited November 25, 2012 by abruzzi spur

[john pike]

Evening John. As ever, huge thanks for all your posts.

AS

I hope it washes its hands!

[JennyJane1]

also 528 dam air touching great yarmouth on friday

YEAH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!