South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - December 19th 2012>

[Snowangel-MK]

Hi Mark

Are you at billing aquadrome ?

I don't think anyone is....as far as I know they have been evacuated again !

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-northamptonshire-20441866

[tinybill]

this off the south west thread live updates

http://news.sky.com/story/1029012/floods-and-christmas-travel-chaos-live-updates

[Snowangel-MK]

12°C at 20:00hrs in December.....it shouldn't even be this warm during the day at this time of year

15mm of rain here so far today, not near as bad as the SW but pretty miserable

[dubmuffin]

Been pretty wet here today, but managed to get out for a last food shop this afternoon, seems like everyone else did theirs in the morning judging by the fact that I got straight to the front of a checkout. It is now nearly 14c here which is nearly warm enough not to light the stove which would be a shame. Also, the unheated utitilty room could do with being 5c or so cooler as half the food doesn't fit in the fridge, and the keg of beer might get too warm

[80sWeather]

Bored of all this rain and mild............

[Methuselah]

Love that music 80sWeather...

[Mesoscale]

13C here in Watford, abismal. Go home Atlantic, you are drunk!

It should be illegal for the temperatured to rise above 10c in winter.

[Eskimo]

Never seen a waving front so far south, usually you see them further north effecting northern England and Scotland.

[john pike]

fax charts what have been updated at present

south east rain am clearing by lunchtime

breezy westerly wind

warm

south west same as above by more rain on way early evening

sunday night

south east

staying dry until early morning then more heavy rain

again not cold

south-south westerly flow

south west

showers on and off until early hours

a low over the south west in the early hours could give some very heavy rain

monday

south east

heavy rain in most of the south east

clearing most by around lunchtine

hanging on late afternoon in anglia area

light south westerly flow

there is a slim possibility of heavy rain very south of the uk

update tomorrow

south west

after a brief dry spell in the morning

more heavy rain incoming after lunchtime

weak south westerly flow

monday night

south east

more heavy rain overnight

breezy westerly flow

feeling chilly

south west

more heavy rain on the way

feeling chilly

tuesday

south east

more heavy rain am

easing off late afternoon

chilly south westerly wind

8 degrees max

south west

sorry guys this had a small low over the south west again

expect more slow moving heavy rain

[NO LONGER POSTING]

I reckon there has to be about 40-60 mm of more rain to come by Midday Tuesday

[Keraunic]

K, I've just walked home in very mild rain too and I really liked it. I also quite liked the thought of lower power bills. Sorry coldies, I like snow, but will head to the Alps / northern / eastern Europe / Canada to see it. Otherwise, unless it's a long lasting reasonable cover, it's a total p.i.t.a., imho.

Also, if anyone here is facing flooding over Christmas, I really wish you well. Hopefully after tonight, the risk will drop.

Mmmm! I love walking in the rain. I walked from Ippy station to nieces house and it was that fine rain that soaks you through. Lovely and fresh and invigorating. Mind you, me hair got wet because my hood wouldn't stay up on my big head so I gave up in the end.

Yes, everyone who is in areas with the potential for flooding..I hope you are all ok. Don't forget, bad as it is, possesions can be replaced....you cannot.

[john pike]

wednesday

chilly westerly flow

showers on and off throughout the day

feeling cold

thursday

this looks a cold day

we are under 528 dam air and a cold north easterly wind

weather front close to the south east

could we see a surprise here

more runs needed though

[gottolovethisweather]

Never seen a waving front so far south, usually you see them further north effecting northern England and Scotland.

A few folk won't be waving at it either, they'll be sticking their fingers up to it and saying good riddance.

Mmmm! I love walking in the rain. I walked from Ippy station to nieces house and it was that fine rain that soaks you through. Lovely and fresh and invigorating. Mind you, me hair got wet because my hood wouldn't stay up on my big head so I gave up in the end.

Yes, everyone who is in areas with the potential for flooding..I hope you are all ok. Don't forget, bad as it is, possesions can be replaced....you cannot.

Walking will be the best and safest form of transport in the next few days too.

Edited December 22, 2012 by gottolovethisweather

[gottolovethisweather]

wednesday

chilly westerly flow

showers on and off throughout the day

feeling cold

thursday

this looks a cold day

we are under 528 dam air and a cold north easterly wind

weather front close to the south east

could we see a surprise here

more runs needed though

I reckon Thursday's chart will eventually become Wednesday's child chart and Boxing Day will bring the colder air sinking south. For how long i don't know but I feel that will be the changeover day.

Edited December 22, 2012 by gottolovethisweather

[gottolovethisweather]

thursday

this looks a cold day

we are under 528 dam air and a cold north easterly wind

weather front close to the south east

could we see a surprise here

more runs needed though

GFS 12z likes the idea of colder 850s from Boxing Day onwards, whilst by colder, I mean nearer to the norm. I'll agree to not agree with Steve C this time around, bring me something cooler and fresher anyday over this rain, but like him, perhaps we wouldn't want this excessive country-wide rainfall falling as snow. However, like others have suggested, January could be leaning towards a special kind of synoptics rarely seen in the UK, so my eyes will be firmly fixed on the stratosphere thread over the festive period too.

[john pike]

lets look at the 120 charts

gfs

ecm

ukmo

fax chart

spot the difference

[Eskimo]

lets look at the 120 charts

gfs

ecm

ukmo

fax chart

spot the difference

I see they have gone with the ECM?

[john pike]

hi perfect

ukmo and fax do match

ecm is closer but is showing a westerly flow

gfs pub run well has everything much further north

lets hope fax is right here

[john pike]

hi gtltw

i reckon as we head to near year atalntic will run out off puff

watch north east then east 1st-2nd week in january

first of all lets get rid of this horrid rain

whos for a summer drought

[Eskimo]

hi perfect

ukmo and fax do match

ecm is closer but is showing a westerly flow

gfs pub run well has everything much further north

lets hope fax is right here

Sorry I meant the UKMO, got the models mixed up. I thought you headed the model with 'ecm' but the model names were below each image. (if you get what I mean)

Edited December 23, 2012 by PerfectStorm

[john pike]

Sorry I meant the UKMO, got the models mixed up. I thought you headed the model with 'ecm' but the model names were below each image. (if you get what I mean)

sorry mate see what you mean

there is quite a difference on these at 120 ukmo and fax excluded

think flooding is the issue at present

the cold will come

[john pike]

messy and wet

i am going to call fi the 27th at present

gfs main run loses it on the 2nd

not a lot to say about these at present

[masked_firefly]

I have my bedroom window open as I'm 'warm' in bed!, it's almost the end of December for crying out loud (although the last time I had the window open in December at night time it was alot colder I was 8 months pregnant lol!).

[mark24374]

I don't think anyone is....as far as I know they have been evacuated again !

http://www.bbc.co.uk...nshire-20441866

Still here sitting it out so keeping fingers crossed.

[Snowangel-MK]

Still here sitting it out so keeping fingers crossed.

Good luck Mark

It's been dry here since midnight and the temperature has dropped a couple of degrees (10.4 °C still ridiculously mild) it was the gusty SW'erly wind that woke me up this morning rather than rain hammering down...makes a change

Happy Sunday, have a good one all....and stay safe