South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - December 19th 2012>

[Reefseeker]

Well, we're off to Cyprus in the morning to try and get our snow from this place - just 30 mins drive from our house. Fingers crossed it doesn't melt before we get there:

http://www.skicyprus.com/webcam/

[Keraunic]

Hi all. Done the family rounds today. Hope you all had a nice Boxing Day and all wore your lovely Christmas present sweaters.

It's chucking it down here in Ippy but earlier it was lovely looking out over the bleak and windy fields from the top of my sisters house this afternoon. Love it like this.

[Flaked Queen]

If we all buy these and place them against a garage wall I'm sure in six weeks time we will be sitting here so glad that we did when they have sold out, if it doesn't snow we can all practice water skiing down the local river which now covers a mile wide

http://www.amazon.co...g=hotukdeals-21

ty for the link have just brought some kids will be very happy just wait for some snow now

[Floatylight]

After posting about my new weather station I have just noticed the wind speed has not been recording for a while, have been out and moved the cups around and it appears to jam after a few seconds . It's too far up for anything today and i can only think something inside has worked loose, I notice Maplins have spare ones although out of stock at the moment which may have to be the way if it's a sealed unit.

Anyway raining again here.

Hi chris,yes he got it from maplins.I hope you get it sorted x

[Floatylight]

I bet you find the instructions are in Engrish....

Coast i read this...........then clicked ok hahaha

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Mates getting phone calls saying their houses are going to get flooded from the EA With more rain on the way I think I might build a 10ft high wall around my house..

[shotski]

Well it's all happy in the Shotski household, Mrs Shotski has got her Kindel Fire, the boys have got

their toys and I've got my thermal socks & pants so all's good

Anyway the models are starting to look interesting for a POTENTIAL cold spell going into the new year.

ECM 12z shows the azures high ridging up and sitting to the west of the uk, not a cold set up for us

by any means but a good starting point.

Compare the recent output to what we saw early Jan 1987

Add into this a possible strat warming event at the start of the month and a possible PV split we could easily

see a blocking high sitting over scandinavia and a cold/very cold Easterly flow.

The 500mb chart shows a high sitting to the west of the uk early part of Jan.

[Summer of 76]

Well it's all happy in the Shotski household, Mrs Shotski has got her Kindel Fire, the boys have got

their toys and I've got my thermal socks & pants so all's good

Anyway the models are starting to look interesting for a POTENTIAL cold spell going into the new year.

ECM 12z shows the azures high ridging up and sitting to the west of the uk, not a cold set up for us

by any means but a good starting point.

Compare the recent output to what we saw early Jan 1987

Add into this a possible strat warming event at the start of the month and a possible PV split we could easily

see a blocking high sitting over scandinavia and a cold/very cold Easterly flow.

The 500mb chart shows a high sitting to the west of the uk early part of Jan.

Hi Shotski,

Fingers crossed for a cold spell and as you have your present there's no way it can go PANTS from here, sorry I will put a sock in it.

[Mrsf16]

Still raining here (scurries back off to the kitchen)

[Coast]

Coast i read this...........then clicked ok hahaha

Gets 'em every time!

:lol:

[john pike]

some showers to moderate rain overnight

mid morning some very heavy rain moving in and very slow moving

be aware of more flooding

very light north east flow

would put a warning out if i was putting a forecast here for the south east

thursday night

starts dry but move heavy rain early morning

moderate south westerly flow

friday

morning heavy rain clearing

afternoon blustery showers

very windy up to gale force 50-60mph south westerly winds

friday night starts dry but still very windy

strong south westerly wind

showers moving in early morning

saturday morning starts dry

still windy on a south westerly flow but not gale force

more showers on the way late afternoon

feeling cold

sunday

very gusty westerly winds

note 528 dam air over us

looks dry but will start feeling cold again

monday

strong westerly winds

more heavy rain throughout the day

528 dam air buggers off pretty quick

all in all watch out for more flooding

[john pike]

ecm 12z

heres comes our easterly

gfs 18z similar but everything further east (whats new)

ensembles soon

[john pike]

do not bother going past the 2nd

15 degree spread

expect some changes tomorrow

forecast goes chilly

warmer

chilly

warmer

and wet

i did say chilly warmer not

[Steve C]

Morning All!

I saw a fairly full moon and stars on the drive in, so the heavy rain isn't quite here yet.

Any other mugs at work today?

This mug is in work early, but will leave at 2 to 2:30, so can keep the option of a few more seasonal celebratory beers open, this afternoon.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Rain further north? Or is it going to spin with the low south ?

[Steve C]

It must be about to hit you Surrey?

[chionomaniac]

Thunder heard here

[NO LONGER POSTING]

yeh nothing amazing just very heavy rain

[NO LONGER POSTING]

I got my eye on the stuff over north wales and what that spits out and where it will track could be a lot of rain if it sinks south wards

[Steve C]

I got my eye on the stuff over north wales and what that spits out and where it will track could be a lot of rain if it sinks south wards

I personally reckon it'll just head due mostly east, with any southward movement limited to north of the Thames. Only a guess though.

[NO LONGER POSTING]

I personally reckon it'll just head due mostly east, with any southward movement limited to north of the Thames. Only a guess though.

look at the back end sinking south though and XC weather has some interesting wind directions lol

[weatherobsuk]

Rain over Wales is in association with a convergence as picked up excellently on the NMM model overlay via NWRadar. Clear skies to the north here in the Peak District but some tasty looking convective developments looking to the south. BBC has been reporting from the wetlands center in London all morning with the front now overhead.

[Steve C]

I wonder if it'll follow the track indicated by the NMM model?

[abruzzi spur]

Down in Brighton watching the lightning out to sea, very dramatic!

Hope all had a great Christmas

AS

[Coast]

Huge cracks of thunder in Eastbourne now some very heavy rain too!!!!

http://www.isleofwig..._storm_data.htm

Edited December 27, 2012 by Coast