Scotland Regional Discussion - January 14th 2013>

[Highland Snow]

Latest Norwegian MO forecast is even better, brings frontal precipitation right across Scotland by afternoon/evening and ups the snow risk substantially for the east:

http://www.yr.no/kar....kyer&proj=3575

Edinburgh snow risk increases to around 5-7cm, Glasgow 12-15cm again, 5-7cm for the Borders, 4-6cm for Perth, and upwards of 15cm possible for East Ayrshire, all by Friday midnight.

Things particularly bad (good?) for the far west with over 2 inches falling over the course of Friday morning, coming in around rush hour and intensifying. M74 would likely be the worst affected road based on current projections.

That's good LS. I have promised Big Innes that I will have it white for his return from China on Friday evening and he is a man I would not like to let down!

[LomondSnowstorm]

That's good LS. I have promised Big Innes that I will have it white for his return from China on Friday evening and he is a man I would not like to let down!

I wouldn't worry about there, Knockhill seems to still be stuck in the last ice age with all the snow they get

[Isolated Frost]

That's good LS. I have promised Big Innes that I will have it white for his return from China on Friday evening and he is a man I would not like to let down!

Let's all be mature about this.

Sorry for taking over your thread, but this is just madness for Scotland (and NE England )

Edited January 16, 2013 by Isolated Frost

[scottishandy]

Got to beat IF to something, check how close our N block is getting to the artic heights on this. Once they join the big blob of PV to the NE only has one destination (with no Atlantic modification this time). Only question is whether the las low from Canada makes it through the gap before that door closes.

And the answer is NO.

And just for fun follow the two isobars passing through the BI on the bottom map and see where they came from.

Edited January 16, 2013 by scottishandy

[Scottish-Irish Skier]

Sorry for taking over your thread, but this is just madness for Scotland (and NE England )

Nae bother. Maybe we can extend the Scottish thread down to Hadrian's wall.

[Highland Snow]

Let's all be mature about this.

Sorry for taking over your thread, but this is just madness for Scotland (and NE England )

Welcome as ever Isolated Frost. We are very comfortable with madness up here!

Now, what were you saying about Big Innes when he ain't here to defend himself.

Nae bother. Maybe we can extend the Scottish thread down to Hadrian's wall.

It belongs to us anyway. The English nicked it from us!

[moffatross]

I really like the way this is shaping up for Moffat again.

"By the end of Friday .... Southern Uplands in Scotland can expect in excess of 20cm, and possibly 30cm."

http://uk.weather.com/partners-januaryoutlook/011613forecast

[NUT]

*DROOL* *DROOL* *DROOL* These charts seem winter weather porn big style!

[Allyw12]

Let's all be mature about this.

Sorry for taking over your thread, but this is just madness for Scotland (and NE England )

In what terms of madness would this chart bring?

Is it showing the easterly flow & bring snow showers in from the North Sea? If I'm totally wrong please say

Edited January 16, 2013 by Allyw12

[Highland Snow]

Post a pic iif you still have them to whet the appetite and give us creative vision

As promised Edo et al. Pictures of "The Igloo" courtesy of my lovely niece Rebecca Joy.

[Soaring Hawk]

Typical that I move east for more snow (and work too...) and East Ayrshire (Aka where I lived for most of my life) is to be hardest hit under current projections!!! I would say the M77 will be just as badly affected as well.

Hmm, typical indeed. I bet the back of my house and garden will get buried with this - I wonder how many inches I'd have got if I was at home? If I start hitching a lift now d'you think I'll be back by tomorrow night?

For the snow starved Westies, enjoy!

[Penicuikblizzard]

The snow showers were supposed to pile in from the North Sea the weekend just passed but never happened, it did for tayside and Aberdeenshire the winds were south of east and looks to be a SE flow yet again not holding much hope south of the forth! ??

[Highland Snow]

In what terms of madness would this chart bring?

Is it showing the easterly flow & bring snow showers in from the North Sea? If I'm totally wrong please say

Totally correct Allyw and it would be strait-jacket, face masked, heavily sedated, Hannibal Lecter type insanity!

[lorenzo]

GEM then ECM.

CHARTMAGEDDON !

Think it is time to locate a Universal Ramp, the Biblical Ramp hasn't quite got this covered..

This is a small longwave adjustment / punch through of MJO, away from a Greenie High.

Sudden Stratospheric Warmings

[Highland Snow]

GEM then ECM.

CHARTMAGEDDON !

Think it is time to locate a Universal Ramp, the Biblical Ramp hasn't quite got this covered..

This is a small longwave adjustment / punch through of MJO, away from a Greenie High.

Sudden Stratospheric Warmings

You haven't tried the Fundamentalist Biblical Ramp. This will be the biggest weather event since Noah's Flood.

[onemanmows]

GEM then ECM.

CHARTMAGEDDON !

Think it is time to locate a Universal Ramp, the Biblical Ramp hasn't quite got this covered..

This is a small longwave adjustment / punch through of MJO, away from a Greenie High.

Sudden Stratospheric Warmings

The good news is there's still space for a pan dimensional ramp after that, then I think we might be stuck.

[LomondSnowstorm]

The snow showers were supposed to pile in from the North Sea the weekend just passed but never happened, it did for tayside and Aberdeenshire the winds were south of east and looks to be a SE flow yet again not holding much hope south of the forth! ??

Southeasterlies aren't always a let down:

Funny, looks almost identical to the ECM 12Z...

[sn0wman]

Southeasterlies aren't always a let down:

Funny, looks almost identical to the ECM 12Z...

Any thoughts on the eastern extent of snow for Friday, LS?

[LomondSnowstorm]

Any thoughts on the eastern extent of snow for Friday, LS?

It will get east of Glasgow, probably, how far is really hard to say, from the front at least, afterwards the convection risk increases considerably, provided the uppers hold up ok.

[Polar Gael]

The good news is there's still space for a pan dimensional ramp after that, then I think we might be stuck.

Currently looking for the world's biggest ramp.

[edo]

Photos have been re-requested from Bro. Will post when available.

Nice one sitting with cramp in 1 arm as baby asleep on it whilst surfing charts 1 handed on the phone ..... Not easy and things gonna get harder as put her down earlier in middle of living room and came back to find her 3 metres away playing with the phone cable...... And so it begins

Still if all these charts in next few days verify will always remember her first winter..and last baby was born in 2010... Mayb pattern emerging

[LomondSnowstorm]

I found IF's hour by hour meteograms:

http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/Scotland/Edinburgh/hour_by_hour_detailed.html

7pm, Friday, Edinburgh - snow falling, temperature falling from 1C to 0C, wind turning southeasterly, dewpoint -6C.

Longer term temperatures rise on the ECM run due to the near constant snowfall off the North Sea to around 2-3C at the coast, but with dewpoints still sub zero largely there's only one frame of sleet for Edinburgh in the whole run. In Perth temperatures barely reach 2C and by the end of next week maxima are widely -3C.

http://www.yr.no/place/United_Kingdom/Scotland/Perth/long.html

A week on Saturday would be fun - -7C with snow! Anyway, just one run and all but that's the potential...

[Polar Gael]

These latest charts for the next several days are properly snowfestmentaltasticsnowmageddon!

Shades of Nov/Dec 2010: "Heavens, release the flakes at will. Continue until entire country fully whumphed. Over and out."

[aggy]

What's the story for Ayr anyone with better knowledge then myself

[mistyqueen]

Evening Peeps! Guess what.....we had snow this morning! Just a wee dusting, but at least it was snow! As for Friday...depending on which weather forecast O look at, netweather tells me there's a 90% chance of snow in my area, Metcheck tells me there won't be any snow! So, experts, what's the chance of snow for Skye on Friday? I'm supposed tae be goin' tae Snecky that day, but we'll have to see what the weather will get up to!