Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

London & South East Regional Discussion - January 16th 2013>

Snowangel-MK

By Snowangel-MK
in Regional

 Share

Recommended Posts

terryall Contributor

terryall

Posted
  • Location: Whitstable, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and plenty of it.
  • Location: Whitstable, Kent
Posted

Taking my wife to Suffolk for birthday treat Fri to Mon already paid for accommodation. Might get there ok Fri but not sure about getting back. Great timing........

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Radiating Dendrite Experienced

Radiating Dendrite

Posted
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: January 1987 / July 2006
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
Posted

Slightly concerned that the precipitation may not even reach us.

It is a fine line I think.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

Slightly concerned that the precipitation may not even reach us.

When, Friday???

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Radiating Dendrite Experienced

Radiating Dendrite

Posted
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: January 1987 / July 2006
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
Posted (edited)

Yep.

Ok it was using the GFS precip charts on Extra, but it did not make it to us and just fizzled out to the west.

The snow graphic on the model is quite misleading.

Edited by Radiating Dendrite
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Tilly Enthusiast

Tilly

Posted
  • Location: Doddington, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Tornadoes, Snow and Hot Sun
  • Location: Doddington, Kent
Posted

Great photo Tilly, send it into BBC South East Today!

Thank you :)

I sent them some Snow Flake pics last Feb that I took but they didnt show them. Maybe worth another try though

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Dexter29 Newbie

Dexter29

Posted
  • Location: Epping, Essex
  • Location: Epping, Essex
Posted

Slightly concerned that the precipitation may not even reach us.

It is a fine line I think.

My worries too.

The 00z GFS doesn't even show the ppn reaching all of our area (I think) not sure if I'm viewing them correctly.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
SMU Maestro

SMU

Posted
Posted (edited)

Yes the GFS PPN line is around 150 miles west of the UKMO & ECM.... before it pivots away-

Would stay bitter over the SE- especially under any areas with snow- but not ideal-

we want the UKMO where it stalls over the SE then pivots away SE leaving us to enjoy the surface cold @ -10.

S

Edited by Steve Murr
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Guest archiesmummy

Guest archiesmummy

Posted
Posted

Are you referring to Sunday because at the moment, it is due to fall overnight...

I think anything that falls in this region* will be snow on Friday and Saturday.

* Please note that this may not be applicable to the following areas:

Essex, London, Surrey, West Sussex, Hampshire, Kent, other areas in the south east! :-p

That's a lot of us to not expect snow then?

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted (edited)

GP's magic words are for all to see now!!!!

http://forum.netweat...00#entry2507917

Good agreement between ECM and GFS ensemble means at day 10 pattern. Remaining cold throughout that period with high risk of snowfall.

yahoo.gif

Edited by Coast
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Radiating Dendrite Experienced

Radiating Dendrite

Posted
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: January 1987 / July 2006
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
Posted

Yes the GFS PPN line is around 150 miles west of the UKMO & ECM.... before it pivots away-

Would stay bitter over the SE- especially under any areas with snow- but not ideal-

we want the UKMO where it stalls over the SE then pivots away SE leaving us to enjoy the surface cold @ -10.

S

Maybe we will reach a middle ground then Steve?

Still, this would not be ideal.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
snowbob Seasoned

snowbob

Posted
  • Location: Addington
  • Weather Preferences: Love a bit of snow
  • Location: Addington
Posted

My worries too.

The 00z GFS doesn't even show the ppn reaching all of our area (I think) not sure if I'm viewing them correctly.

said that this morning to

But was told I was mad

Lol

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Radiating Dendrite Experienced

Radiating Dendrite

Posted
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: January 1987 / July 2006
  • Location: Purley, Surrey - 246 Ft ASL
Posted

That's a lot of us to not expect snow then?

If the precipitation reaches us, it will be snow.

This is not even marginal when you look at temps, dew points and upper temps.

The main issue, is will the precipitation get this far east.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Dexter29 Newbie

Dexter29

Posted
  • Location: Epping, Essex
  • Location: Epping, Essex
Posted

said that this morning to

But was told I was mad

Lol

We are not mad snowbob ;-)

Even Steve M has just posted that the GFS keeps the snow to the west of us Friday.

Don't get excited until T6 I say

Link to comment
Share on other sites
VillagePlank Seasoned

VillagePlank

Posted
  • Location: Rochester, Kent
  • Location: Rochester, Kent
Posted (edited)

T=-1.1m Td=-2.3

Yes, I am a little bit concerned, like others here, that the front simply won't make it E/SE England. Given a vigorous front and significant differences between our current cold air, and the warm moist air on the other side of the front, it kind of makes sense that there's the potential for it to occlude quickly; possibly, even, our cold air winning and batting it back from whence it came before it gets to us.

But given that, we are only looking at raw computer output; the television forecasts have had real expert people looking at it - at the range of 48hr and when talking about precipitation, I think we have to, at this stage, give the nod to the professionals.

Edited by Boar Wrinklestorm
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Tilly Enthusiast

Tilly

Posted
  • Location: Doddington, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Tornadoes, Snow and Hot Sun
  • Location: Doddington, Kent
Posted

I remember your photo from last year too of those lovely individual flakes..... So nice to see when the air is so cold....

:)

Its probably really quite Sad but when I brought my new Garden Table I got Black specifically in case it was frosty and snowed again as Black shows up the Flakes better. The Fence that they were on last year was taken down so I had to get something to replace it LOL

Link to comment
Share on other sites
therecoil Apprentice

therecoil

Posted
  • Location: Ditchling East Sussex , on the South Downs 12 miles North of Brighton
  • Weather Preferences: Snow , Sun and lightning
  • Location: Ditchling East Sussex , on the South Downs 12 miles North of Brighton
Posted

Been saying on all local TV weather forecasts this morning for Sussex Kent area to have heavy snow Friday /Saturday , hope they are right!!!!!!! ; ) : )

Link to comment
Share on other sites
nanu Enthusiast

nanu

Posted
  • Location: SE,London (Catford)
  • Location: SE,London (Catford)
Posted

If the precipitation reaches us, it will be snow.

This is not even marginal when you look at temps, dew points and upper temps.

The main issue, is will the precipitation get this far east.

also you want it to reach us and stall then retreat.... But whats also worrying to me that if it pushes through then say hello to the mild atlantic??? Or version 3.. it doesnt reach us and we stay in the cold and look out to the east/north for next attack
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Dexter29 Newbie

Dexter29

Posted
  • Location: Epping, Essex
  • Location: Epping, Essex
Posted

T=-1.1m Td=-2.3

Yes, I am a little bit concerned, like others here, that the front simply won't make it E/SE England. Given a vigorous front and significant differences between our current cold air, and the warm moist air on the other side of the front, it kind of makes sense that there's the potential for it to occlude quickly; possibly, even, our cold air winning and batting it back from whence it came before it gets to us.

But given that, we are only looking at raw computer output; the television forecasts have had real expert people looking at it - at the range of 48hr and when talking about precipitation, I think we have to, at this stage, give the nod to the professionals.

I would normally agree at a shorter timeframe. But I have seen national tv forecasts get it so wrong within a 48hr period before.

The fact that the TV forecast are still expressing uncertainty along with the GFS keeping the snow to the west of us, is a worry for me!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
NO LONGER POSTING Veteran

NO LONGER POSTING

Posted
Posted (edited)

also you want it to reach us and stall then retreat.... But whats also worrying to me that if it pushes through then say hello to the mild atlantic??? Or version 3.. it doesnt reach us and we stay in the cold and look out to the east/north for next attack

We wouldn't say hello to the Atlantic temps... Because the cold will undercut the low... (at least that's what the models are suggesting) and out high pressure will just sit there

Edited by Surrey
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted (edited)

Yep, 06z GFS coming out and shaping up to be another corker!

prectypeuktopo.png

prectypeuktopo.png

OMG!!!! Bring it on!!

prectypeuktopo.png

Edited by Coast
Link to comment
Share on other sites
HammerJack Community Regular

HammerJack

Posted
  • Location: Work Haverhill Suffolk. Live in Thurrock
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Cold.
  • Location: Work Haverhill Suffolk. Live in Thurrock
Posted

Get in there 06Z. Snow all the way....help.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
 Share
Go to topic listing

  • Latest Weather News

    April 2024 - Was it that cold overall? A look at the statistics

    General perception from many is that April was a cold month, but statistics would suggest otherwise, with the average temperature for the whole month coming in just above the 30 year average for the UK as a whole. A warm first half to to the month averaged out the cold second half. View the full blog here

    Nick F
    Nick F | 
    Latest weather updates from Netweather 1

    Bank Holiday Offers Sunshine and Showers Before High Pressure Arrives Next Week

    The Bank Holiday weekend offers a mix of sunshine and showers across the UK, not the complete washout some forecasting models were suggesting earlier this week. Next week, high pressure arrives on the scene, but only for a relatively brief stay. Read the full update here

    Netweather forecasts
    Netweather forecasts | 
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    Bank Holiday weekend weather - a mixed picture

    It's a mixed picture for the upcoming Bank Holiday weekend. at times, sunshine and warmth with little wind. However, thicker cloud in the north will bring rain and showers. Also rain by Sunday for Cornwall. Read the full update here

    Netweather forecasts
    Netweather forecasts | 
    Latest weather updates from Netweather
×
×
  • Create New...