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Wales Cymru Regional Discussion - January 15th 2013, 12z onwards

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CRACKPOT Apprentice

CRACKPOT

Posted
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Ice, Frost, Thunderstorms, Gales
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
Posted

wash your mouth out, no one in work or at home would

Talk to me for 6 months if that happened John

I would get daggers and 'told you it wouldn't snow' jibes from a few people - and they would not be in jest.

Coming closer.......

JK

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willitbsunny Newbie

willitbsunny

Posted
  • Location: Pencoed, South Wales
  • Location: Pencoed, South Wales
Posted

Looking at RainToday radar I get the same (horrible !!) feeling - looking at the radar it seems to be just off the Gower Coast - if this hits land in the next hour as likely then we will, with temps of +5 degrees only have rain. Should it turn to snow at 3am as stated elsewhere then I fear with 4+ hours of rain there is no way that snow will settle her. Hope I'm wrong big time but gut is telling me something is not correct. If the low dewpoints are on their way they are cutting it VERY fine to get here without missing the start of the party.

Looking at RainToday radar I get the same (horrible !!) feeling - looking at the radar it seems to be just off the Gower Coast - if this hits land in the next hour as likely then we will, with temps of +5 degrees only have rain. Should it turn to snow at 3am as stated elsewhere then I fear with 4+ hours of rain there is no way that snow will settle her. Hope I'm wrong big time but gut is telling me something is not correct. If the low dewpoints are on their way they are cutting it VERY fine to get here without missing the start of the party.

Thinking the same......:/

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bradymk Rising Star

bradymk

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder & Lightning, Thundersnow, Storms, Heatwave
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
Posted

Brady said temps will start to fall around 1am

Yeah trust me on this guys, you will see a notable drop in both temp and dp roughly around this time.
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CRACKPOT Apprentice

CRACKPOT

Posted
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Ice, Frost, Thunderstorms, Gales
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
Posted

Looking at RainToday radar I get the same (horrible !!) feeling - looking at the radar it seems to be just off the Gower Coast - if this hits land in the next hour as likely then we will, with temps of +5 degrees only have rain. Should it turn to snow at 3am as stated elsewhere then I fear with 4+ hours of rain there is no way that snow will settle her. Hope I'm wrong big time but gut is telling me something is not correct. If the low dewpoints are on their way they are cutting it VERY fine to get here without missing the start of the party.

Thats what my underlying 'niggle' is - temperatures - got to drop - but it will be a fine thing - hope then that it would not get an unexpected rise and cause forecasts to be completely caught out.

JK

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The Weather Dragon Contributor

The Weather Dragon

Posted
  • Location: Pembrokeshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Pembrokeshire
Posted

Looking at RainToday radar I get the same (horrible !!) feeling - looking at the radar it seems to be just off the Gower Coast - if this hits land in the next hour as likely then we will, with temps of +5 degrees only have rain. Should it turn to snow at 3am as stated elsewhere then I fear with 4+ hours of rain there is no way that snow will settle her. Hope I'm wrong big time but gut is telling me something is not correct. If the low dewpoints are on their way they are cutting it VERY fine to get here without missing the start of the party.

Heavy snow will settle on wet surfaces - have seen this many times with rain to snow events

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Baldy Snowman Contributor

Baldy Snowman

Posted
  • Location: δίκαιο πεδίο- 400 feet ASL
  • Weather Preferences: red hot lead hail
  • Location: δίκαιο πεδίο- 400 feet ASL
Posted

torn between going to bed for 'work', and staying up watching the fun.

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Marcus_surfer Rising Star

Marcus_surfer

Posted
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Storms & Snow.
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
Posted

Yeah trust me on this guys, you will see a notable drop in both temp and dp roughly around this time.

if we don't then it will be a horrible mess of sleet and wet snow, with massive downgrades for s and west, highland areas still do well though

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David 'Minty' Hill Newbie

David 'Minty' Hill

Posted
  • Location: Afan Valley South 4 Miles Port Talbot
  • Location: Afan Valley South 4 Miles Port Talbot
Posted

torn between going to bed for 'work', and staying up watching the fun.

I got that exact problem myself, if I stay awake and something goes wrong im screwed but I want to see the start so I can judge if I should "attempt" the journey

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bradymk Rising Star

bradymk

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder & Lightning, Thundersnow, Storms, Heatwave
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
Posted

Heavy snow will settle on wet surfaces - have seen this many times with rain to snow events

easy, its a myth that snow doesn't stick on wet surfaces. Low DP's = drier snow, so even though it may take slightly longer, wet ground wont affect it too much, its ground temperature which will also drop when temp drops.
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benb Explorer

benb

Posted
  • Location: Tenby, Pembrokeshire, Wales 30m a.s.l.
  • Location: Tenby, Pembrokeshire, Wales 30m a.s.l.
Posted (edited)

torn between going to bed for 'work', and staying up watching the fun.

A snooze on the couch with one eye on the radar may be a half-way house here.

Bit of sleet over North Devon now, too...

Edited by benb
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gareth moo Explorer

gareth moo

Posted
  • Location: Machen, Caerphilly, 80m asl.
  • Location: Machen, Caerphilly, 80m asl.
Posted

This thing is going to crawl all over us for hours. Look how little progress on radar the feature from earlier today has made in the cold air.

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David 'Minty' Hill Newbie

David 'Minty' Hill

Posted
  • Location: Afan Valley South 4 Miles Port Talbot
  • Location: Afan Valley South 4 Miles Port Talbot
Posted

Front seems to be moving fairly rapidly to thought it was supposed to be slowing right down not seen evidance of this yet traveling about 20 miles every 5 mins

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CRACKPOT Apprentice

CRACKPOT

Posted
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Ice, Frost, Thunderstorms, Gales
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
Posted

Just had a tweet off Liam Dutton and the precipitation is still going to be as intense as predicted and the areas for the most snow still on target.... bang tidy!

JK

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WelshSnowFan Rookie

WelshSnowFan

Posted
  • Location: Deepest, darkest, TROPICAL Swansea
  • Location: Deepest, darkest, TROPICAL Swansea
Posted

easy, its a myth that snow doesn't stick on wet surfaces. Low DP's = drier snow, so even though it may take slightly longer, wet ground wont affect it too much, its ground temperature which will also drop when temp drops.

All- I respect and value your input - but weather history (some very tortured) confirms to me that for Swansea at 75m above seal level EVERYTHING has to be perfect for snow to settle. This observation dissappears as soon as you go inland any distance ie Pontardawe upwards

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snowy36 Aficionado

snowy36

Posted
  • Location: Ynysybwl 200msl
  • Location: Ynysybwl 200msl
Posted

torn between going to bed for 'work', and staying up watching the fun.

Im staying up, im suppose to be up by six but i think( confident) im having a snow day, if not then i'll be buggered in work.

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Baldy Snowman Contributor

Baldy Snowman

Posted
  • Location: δίκαιο πεδίο- 400 feet ASL
  • Weather Preferences: red hot lead hail
  • Location: δίκαιο πεδίο- 400 feet ASL
Posted

SNOWING NOW HEAVY IN DORSET , DO THAT SAY SOMETHING TO YOU .

yep

no snow forecast on the 18z for there yet. they were supposed to get it roughly same time as us. cold air is there already.

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snowy36 Aficionado

snowy36

Posted
  • Location: Ynysybwl 200msl
  • Location: Ynysybwl 200msl
Posted

Front seems to be moving fairly rapidly to thought it was supposed to be slowing right down not seen evidance of this yet traveling about 20 miles every 5 mins

I think it will slow down when it gets near the front over england.

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benb Explorer

benb

Posted
  • Location: Tenby, Pembrokeshire, Wales 30m a.s.l.
  • Location: Tenby, Pembrokeshire, Wales 30m a.s.l.
Posted

Snowing in Plymouth, apparently. good.gif

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CRACKPOT Apprentice

CRACKPOT

Posted
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Ice, Frost, Thunderstorms, Gales
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
Posted

Snowing in Plymouth, apparently. good.gif

Raining in Truro!

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