South West/Central Southern England Regional Discussion 21/01/13 6z Onwards

[cerneman]

Serious Question,,,,,,,,The temps here remaining around freezing and service road still snow covered and icy, Snow not really thawed too much, Same happend 2010, Is this because of being in Valley? Seems microclimate

[Beast of Plympton]

Well there are some odd old things being forecast for our adjoining regions tomorrow and I would be surprised to see anything finally falling out of the sky, from cold rain to full-on snow - or maybe nothing at all?

I find that a little more exciting though I think, like being a kid looking out of the window in the morning. You saw the weatherman sticking things on to the map, and that bloke on This Morning jumping around on the Thames but never really knew what was going to happen!!

Missus just got back from Plymouth and said there were flakes coming down. Although very light.

Edited January 21, 2013 by Beast of Dartmoor

[major bartlett]

Is this the closest we have got in south devon to the infamous channel lows of yesteryear ?

[Beast of Plympton]

Serious Question,,,,,,,,The temps here remaining around freezing and service road still snow covered and icy, Snow not really thawed too much, Same happend 2010, Is this because of being in Valley? Seems microclimate

IMO which may not be helpful, I think a valley will hang on to cold because there is more shade.

[Bumpkin]

Ah just saw this picture, if only for tomorrow aye, and would be good to have Rob back on our screens!! Perhaps i'm being snow greedy by now

P.S This isn't tomorrows forecast chart!!

You hadn't spotted my avatar then! Miss Rob

[Catacol]

Taunton Deane tomorrow - pretty certain from all this it will rain and then wet snow later in the day wont settle. Amounts reduced now to 2 - 5cm anyway. Another non event.

[AWD]

Where's all the southern lasses then! We need a photo like our northern counterparts have;

:)

[Frosty_wsm]

Where's all the southern lasses then! We need a photo like our northern counterparts have;

:)

Now I do like the look of that and nope I ain't referring to the snow either

[Beast of Plympton]

Now I do like the look of that and nope I ain't referring to the snow either

Sorry, was it snowing in that picture?? Didn't notice.

[dancing daisy]

Where has all my snow gone? At work at the mo and everyone is panicing

[quantock girl]

Mmmm, not really the same is it!!!

[Coast]

Where's all the southern lasses then! We need a photo like our northern counterparts have;

[Paul T]

Latest NAE showing similar areas hit, but is evolving the front in a slightly different way. Very rare to see that much change within T30...

[AWD]

Latest NAE does something different again. Rain into SW England;

Turning to snow as it reaches Bristol/Bath/M4 area northwards;

Carrying on NE into the Cotswolds as snow, light drizzle behind the front in Somerset/Bristol area;

Definetly a nowcast event IMO.

Edited January 21, 2013 by AWD

[Blizzardof82]

Oh dear not quite as good at present.

[Wilxy]

And current situation isn't helping temps a tad high along with dew points.

[Blizzardof82]

And current situation isn't helping temps a tad high along with dew points.

I am in work, what are your readings at present?

[DanDorsetUK]

Oh well always febuary to lookforward to now, We hope!

[Wilxy]

1.5°C

DP -1°C

actally a bit better temp topped at 1.9 so hopefully it can stall further south or more of it be snow.

[Thermohaline Conveyor]

Latest NAE does something different again. Rain into SW England;

Turning to snow as it reaches Bristol/Bath/M4 area northwards;

Carrying on NE into the Cotswolds as snow, light drizzle behind the front in Somerset/Bristol area;

Definetly a nowcast event IMO.

One of the most complex to forecast in a long time

[Frosty_wsm]

Will be interesting if the meto go with the raw nae or whether they modify it.

[Beast of Plympton]

Temp is 0.3c and dew point -1.2c

[Nights King]

Oh dear lord will it be snow or rain?! or indeed just dry?

[AWD]

One of the most complex to forecast in a long time

Totally agree. Taking what the models show for tomorrow with a pinch of salt currently.

Too much variance for confident forecasts.

Will be interesting if the meto go with the raw nae or whether they modify it.

Yup. Just tweeted Ian that exact question.

[BristolBlizzard]

After watching the BBC National forecast, I'm kinda glad that there's so much uncertainty because it didn't look great (IMBY). However Somerset looked like it was in the firing line, so I expect some on here would bank that forecast.

But I'm sure something completely unexpected will happen in a scenario like this.