London & South East Regional Discussion 21st January 2013, 12z onwards

[10 Days Away]

And the worst chart of the winter award goes to...

Feet are cold atm. Could do with a week of being toastie!

Edited January 22, 2013 by TN26

[Fatboypirate]

Emmmm just strong winds and rain in Eastbourne!

[Snowball85]

Hi is this band of snow meant to hit south london at all many thanks

[Sussex Jules]

Looks like most of the south east will get 6-10" tonight IMHO if the dew points drop to allow snow which they probably will

The precip is much more intense than on Sunday and that still delivered 3-4" to the region

knew it was worth not putting you on ignore

[Jimmyh]

just interested if anything happening in orpington or nearby yet

[Southender]

Prediction - Kent / Essex 1-2"

West Sussex - 4"

Surrey - 8"

Central London - 4"

NW/N London - 5"

Berkshire - 7"

Are you related to Rampkin?

[kate1]

Yay! Just started snowing v.v. lightly in Tunbridge Wells! Only the odd flake but definitely snow not rain or sleet... Temp has really dropped here too.

[SnowBungle]

Hi guys (and girls).

Is this snow I'm looking at on radar due to come to north Kent? I have a driving lesson to deliver 6-8 pm and don't fancy getting caught in it! Thanks!

[therecoil]

hoping this heavy snow does'nt turn back to rain , looking really white again out there

Edited January 22, 2013 by therecoil

[Downpour]

Ever heard the saying - ' a fool and his money are easily parted'.

PS the rain on here is snow.

London looks likely to get totally clobbered! AGAIN.

[95 Degrees]

Starting to lay on roofs, this isn't happening, i'm dreaming, 1.5C and dropping.

[WhiteFox]

Prediction - Kent / Essex 1-2"

West Sussex - 4"

Surrey - 8"

Central London - 4"

NW/N London - 5"

Berkshire - 7"

Unless dewpoints drop sharply here in Berkshire and the air temperature also falls below freezing, I'd be surprised if we got more than a covering from this. The laying snow has been melting steadily all day and we now have drizzle falling. Not great conditions for big wet flakes to produce 7 inches!

[Isolated Frost]

Good luck from oop north!

[EML Network]

We still have snow left here from the past few days, very patchy though has to be said, but all the patches that were left are kinda joining up with each other now and slowly but ever so surely the ground is beginning to turn white again, I can only imagine what conditions are going to be like tomorrow morning if this all freezes over, temperature plunging toward zero again now...so we'll have partially melted snow, slush sitting on top...frozen...the remenance of the weekends snow sitting on top of that, with wet snow on top of that...and then fresh proper snow on top of that !!

the result = A MESS !!

[Nick F]

TAF for London heathrow:

EGLL 221401Z 2214/2318 08010KT 7000 SCT005 BKN010 TEMPO 2214/2218 9999 SCT010 BECMG 2218/2220 SCT012 BKN040 PROB30 TEMPO 2218/2318 4000 -SN -SG BKN008

Temporary

from 22 at 18 UTC to 23 at 18 UTC Visibility 4000 m Broken clouds at a height of 800 ft light snow and light snow grains

TAF for Biggin Hill, south London:

EGKB 221401Z 2215/2222 08009KT 6000 FEW010 TEMPO 2215/2217 4000 -SHRA BR BKN004 PROB40 TEMPO 2217/2221 4000 -SHSN BR BKN004

Temporary

from 22 at 17 UTC to 22 at 21 UTC Visibility 4000 m Broken clouds at a height of 400 ft light snow showers and mist

Edited January 22, 2013 by Nick F

[Planet Stow]

As it gets dark it seems temp may also start to drop.

Dropped by 0.1 in the last 20mins

[CWT2012]

knew it was worth not putting you on ignore

I refer you to chinomaniac's last post

[Sussex Jules]

Prediction - Kent / Essex 1-2"

West Sussex - 4"

Surrey - 8"

Central London - 4"

NW/N London - 5"

Berkshire - 7"

Oh please my sides are splitting

[Sungirl]

Unless dewpoints drop sharply here in Berkshire and the air temperature also falls below freezing, I'd be surprised if we got more than a covering from this. The laying snow has been melting steadily all day and we now have drizzle falling. Not great conditions for big wet flakes to produce 7 inches!

DP has dropped from 0.9 to 0.3c in the last 40 mins.... I am remaining hopeful

[manutdmatt1986]

The GFS precipitation charts are generally useless. A few cm's for southern parts of region, MAYBE a covering at most elsewhere though I'd be surprised if I see anything.

[West Sussex Kate]

yep my temp has fallen from 3c to 1.8c in under an hour.

[Suburban Streamer]

Ever heard the saying - ' a fool and his money are easily parted'.

PS the rain on here is snow.

wasting your time chiono.....I've been posting charts clearly showing the uncertainty all day and saying just watch the radar but it all falls on deaf ears.

Glad to see some of our region getting snow

[chionomaniac]

I refer you to chinomaniac's last post

I think it is wise to stress that these are very marginal conditions - it could stay as snow or turn back to a sleety mix. Nightfall should help.

[EJA]

3cm here is woodingdean Brighton, snowing heavily roads blocked

[CWT2012]

Unless dewpoints drop sharply here in Berkshire and the air temperature also falls below freezing, I'd be surprised if we got more than a covering from this. The laying snow has been melting steadily all day and we now have drizzle falling. Not great conditions for big wet flakes to produce 7 inches!

As night sets in and it gets colder then the dew points will drop? I think my prediction will be pretty close tbh

Massive snowfall for areas between J7-12 of M25 and J3-9 of the M3 10-15m either side of those boundaries IMHO