North West England Regional Discussion 09/02/13 20z ------>

[A.J]

Ok, please carry on here

old thread here --------------> http://forum.netweat...z/page__st__800

[MrSunshine]

I'll start shall I? (In Big Brother voice) "Day 9 in the North West Regional thread and still no one has a Scooby of what's in store for tomorrow!".

[iand61]

It might snow, it might rain.

It might be cold, it might not.

I think that the only thing for certain about the next 24 hours are that it will come light and then at a later stage it will go dark againt

The rest is looking like guess work.

[dodge]

Don't think we'll need to worry about scenes like this on Monday morning;

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-21395895

Edited February 9, 2013 by dodgeredee

[chiffer]

.,,delete

ha

Edited February 9, 2013 by chiffer

[Weather-history]

ECM 12z precipitation looks better for the region, it shows heavier precipitation for south of region.

[MrSunshine]

ECM 12z precipitation looks better for the region, it shows heavier precipitation for south of region.

Sounds like an UPGRADE to me, fully expect 18z GFS to follow suit.

[Ian Brown]

ECM 12z precipitation looks better for the region, it shows heavier precipitation for south of region.

What is the PPN though Kev ? We just know at the moment it is too warm out there.

[chiffer]

Surely if it moves further north it will drag in the cold air alot better for us.

Edited February 9, 2013 by chiffer

[Weather-history]

What is the PPN though Kev ? We just know at the moment it is too warm out there.

It is rain but during the early hours it goes for snow.

Incidentally it hints of snow at least to begin with from that Wednesday system

[R.P. McMurphy]

What is the PPN though Kev ? We just know at the moment it is too warm out there.

It's far to warm out there.

Then again Ian this was always going to be a rain --> ? Event

[jam2010]

So is it supose to turn to snow overnight tonight or overnight Sunday into Monday? I'm a bit confused with all this coming and going

[SparkleS]

Just been outside and appears to be getting like a cold mist, just felt something light on my head, it actually feels like snow out there but cant be surely, my temps still at 4

[jam2010]

Just been outside and appears to be getting like a cold mist, just felt something light on my head, it actually feels like snow out there but cant be surely, my temps still at 4

Depends on the dew points I supose, few weeks ago it was 3 degrees here and snowing cause of the dew points but when it hit 0 it was rain.

[MrSunshine]

Depends on the dew points I supose, few weeks ago it was 3 degrees here and snowing cause of the dew points but when it hit 0 it was rain.

Dew points are currently about 3c, snow chance of snow tonight unless we experience a miracle.

[chiffer]

Not long now until (hopefully) we get some more answers!

[Liam J]

Well the ECM doesn't really inspire much confidence with most of the ppn falling as rain, chart on the left is the air pressure + ppn and the other one highlights where snow is most likely to fall.

[cheshire snow]

Dew points are currently about 3c, snow chance of snow tonight unless we experience a miracle.

Dew points are currently about 3c, snow chance of snow tonight unless we experience a miracle.

DP are not set to go negative until 1800 sunday,by 2100 the region has DP of -3c and 850s of -5c

so any PPN still around will start turning to sleet/snow

Taken from the GFS 12z

C.S

[Cheshire Freeze]

You'd think their UKV model would have a handle on this by now

[R.P. McMurphy]

You'd think their UKV model would have a handle on this by now

I think the problem is that LP system yet to develop.

[cheshire snow]

NAE 18z

looks good for the region from tomorrow evening,still some snow for south cheshire Monday lunch

C.S

[Mucka]

NAE 18z

looks good for the region from tomorrow evening,still some snow for south cheshire Monday lunch

C.S

EH?

It's only out to 6h and it's rain. Do you mean ppn rate?

[Spurry]

Lets face it folks, this event is gonna be a mostly rain event except if you're on higher ground, we should look forward to the midweek breakdown , that may deliver, if not then let's welcome spring , because to be honest i need some sun and warmth now

[Liam J]

NAE does look good for the whole region on the accumulated ppn charts with 18mm near here by Monday morning. The other charts haven't finished coming out yet.

How much of it will be snow though!

Edited February 9, 2013 by Liam J

[Spurry]

NAE does look good for the whole region on the accumulated ppn charts with 18mm near here by Monday morning. The other charts haven't finished coming out yet.

How much of it will be snow though!

18mm of rain is not good in my eyes