The Midlands Regional Discussion 2nd March 2013>

[Aamar Farouq]

All depends if you like snow or not, Im getting the feeling you don't!!.

that is a negative feeling.....I was born while there were drifts outside.

[Dancerwithwings]

Just for a laugh, I popped in my old Penkridge post code into the NW extra 16 day forecasts to get some idea of ppn totals between friday & saturday.......after viewing them I'm now reaching for the prozac.....50+mm and mainly snow looking at the parameters!....Why the bloody hell did I move 'darn sarf' a few months ago?!

Forget tissues I think you need a car sponge to wipe them tears away .

[Dancerwithwings]

that is a negative feeling.....I was born while there were drifts outside.

My feelings are positive as kid in the winter of 81/82 it was the drifts that started me off in "l love snow",

but everybodys to their own, sorry to hear it.

Edited March 20, 2013 by dancer with wings

[Cheshire Freeze]

that is a negative feeling.....I was born while there were drifts outside.

Could have been worse, you could have been born in a drift.

[weatherguy]

Dear God I hope I don't miss out on this event by some 20 miles.

-Daventry

Edited March 20, 2013 by weatherguy

[Aamar Farouq]

Could have been worse, you could have been born in a drift.

Dec 1979 - The panic was lesser in comparison to today.

[Staffordshire]

NAE ppn acum chart has updated now, and evident SW shift, this means the snow line will be further south and west, good news but not as much ppn

[conor123]

Hmm confusing, the NAE further south west yet the GFS further east at 30hrs which will be a negative.

[Gustywind]

Nae still not perfect, think areas east and north of stoke looking good now for all snow event, brum 50% probability, reduce by 10% for every 10 miles south of brum, so 0% if 50 miles south of brum.

Apologies looking at 12z, very confusing as top left of chart has 18 hrs. Updated 18z carries threat further sw.

Edited March 20, 2013 by Gustywind

[Staffordshire]

Hmm confusing, the NAE further south west yet the GFS further east at 30hrs which will be a negative.

such a head ache, i wouldnt really say much east? just a tad further north?

[shaky]

Hmm confusing, the NAE further south west yet the GFS further east at 30hrs which will be a negative.

Further east or further north?

[conor123]

such a head ache, i wouldnt really say much east? just a tad further north?

Yup mild uppers across all of us by Friday Morning now grrrrr so annoying

[Staffordshire]

Just seen gfs ppn type charts on mod thread and it shows a snowfest for all mids?

I dont understand as the 0c isotherm is north of us, what other factors are influencing this?

[Eskimo]

Just 2 days to go until we either see lots of rain or lots of snow. At the moment the rain to snow transition looks to be around the M4 or just North of it. This means that areas from Central London southward look to on the dividing point or slightly more North.

Things will swing around a lot I suspect but this is how it looks AT THE MOMENT. Just noting that the arrows mean which direction the systems are moving.

Edited March 20, 2013 by PerfectStorm

[The Wolf]

Could be game over then whilst the north gets pounded.

[conor123]

By the looks of things tommorow night/fridays front will swing to far north and turn to rain whilst Friday nights/Saturdays stalls further south giving them a snow fest and we then end up in the dry zone so snowfests north AND south of here whilst were all green :lol:

[Ian Brown]

By the looks of things tommorow night/fridays front will swing to far north and turn to rain whilst Friday nights/Saturdays stalls further south giving them a snow fest and we then end up in the dry zone so snowfests north AND south of here whilst were all green

I can't see that at all ?

[Staffordshire]

I can't see that at all ?

yes i agree, it will have to go through us friday anyway to get to the N so it wont be dry, and atm sats front is being modeled NE of us

[conor123]

Thats what their saying in the model thread about the next front stalling across from Bristol to London, NAE is a snowfest so hopefully it has some reliability as its been pretty decent this year.

[Costa Del Fal]

By the looks of things tommorow night/fridays front will swing to far north and turn to rain whilst Friday nights/Saturdays stalls further south giving them a snow fest and we then end up in the dry zone so snowfests north AND south of here whilst were all green

And the pessimism continues in this thread. Taking model runs very literally there.

C'mon guys, less pessimism and less IMBYism.

Edited March 20, 2013 by Blizzards

[Ian Brown]

Thats what their saying in the model thread about the next front stalling across from Bristol to London, NAE is a snowfest so hopefully it has some reliability as its been pretty decent this year.

It's Southern talk Conor, and I've seen nothing in the models to suggest that there will be 2 separate systems, It is likely to be one big mess by Saturday lunchtime.

[Costa Del Fal]

Just for a laugh, I popped in my old Penkridge post code into the NW extra 16 day forecasts to get some idea of ppn totals between friday & saturday.......after viewing them I'm now reaching for the prozac.....50+mm and mainly snow looking at the parameters!....Why the bloody hell did I move 'darn sarf' a few months ago?!

Because the discussion in the SW thread is better.

Edited March 20, 2013 by Blizzards

[Ian Brown]

I'm expecting something like November 96 at the moment based on all the data. Obviously time for changes.

[Cheshire Freeze]

I'm expecting something like November 96 at the moment based on all the data. Obviously time for changes.

Was that any good for these parts Ian?

[Ian Brown]

Was that any good for these parts Ian?

Certainly was for the North Mids and Southern parts of Northern England.

The frontal system engaged cold air in place and gave 10 hours and 7 inches of level snow here.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/ra/1996/Rrea00119961119.gif