South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion 16/3/13 16z ------>

[A.J]

Ah well, it was fun whilst it lasted, but rules is rules and it did generate more than one report.

So, is there any chance of a last minute change for this snow? The enormous amounts in the Channel Isles were forecast to be further North, right up until the last minute when it all stayed further South. Any chance of the same thing happening again? Will the cold undercut further South?

Always a chance, especially to the north and east of the region, a very outside sniff in BANES, slightly more chance in Wilts/Gloucs, more likely in Oxon/Berks....still, we live in hope....a small shift southwards would bring those regions into play

[Panayiotis]

Time for a radar post!

The heavier PPN is creeping in to Cornwall and Devon now, on what looks to be a north west movement.

Looking at the 700hPa vorticity charts, a large area of strong to vortmax PVA will be covering a large part of the south west between 6pm and midnight, so rainfall will really ramp up then, i would have thought the radar returns will look rather bright?!

Perfect for my short walk to the pub later this evening.

If only it was snow!

[Evening thunder]

Oh dear, it appears some in the MOD thread don't have a sense of humor!

I enjoyed it very much though, made me lol!

Edited March 21, 2013 by Stormmad26

[Tattooed Fox]

ABSOLUTELY Brilliant - what a cracker, glad I did not miss this on, you should have picked April 1st for April fools day. They better beware! I have never laughed so much at the forum. Some dont have a sense of humour do they. Your such a bad boy one up to the SW thread.

[Karl83]

ABSOLUTELY Brilliant - what a cracker, glad I did not miss this on, you should have picked April 1st for April fools day. They better beware! I have never laughed so much at the forum. Some dont have a sense of humour do they. Your such a bad boy one up to the SW thread.

I couldn't wait that long. lol

edit: And yes, 1 up to us, or could I say, 1 nil?

Edited March 21, 2013 by Karl83

[Tattooed Fox]

I see your point, act in haste repent at leisure, what a way to repent though. LMFAO hope to hear from you again?

[Karl83]

I see your point, act in haste repent at leisure, what a way to repent though. LMFAO hope to hear from you again?

That depends on whether we (The South West) get some weather thats better than the north. If we dont then you can expect to hear from me again.

[Nights King]

BREAKING NEWS

(awaits modifications)

That looks a little interesting for bristol banes and parts os somerset if that was correct??

Or have you paint shopped that also?

[Andy Bown]

Another +1 from me for that warning chart Karl83 !!

I think the 2nd more active front coming in now will kick the 1st one into a quicker advancement NE.

[chris55]

NAE decent for some of us a bit further south tonight as posted by AWD. UKMO also looking good Friday night into Sat,

ppn

uppers, note the 0c Isotherm heading south,

[Bill davis]

Does anyone know if we have any hope of seeing snow in our region??

[AWD]

Does anyone know if we have any hope of seeing snow in our region??

There is hope if you live north of the M4 broadly in our region on Saturday morning.

Edited March 21, 2013 by AWD

[Nights King]

There is hope if you live north of the M4 broadly in our region on Saturday morning.

I live in hope that my elevation can throw a spanner in works for once this year and give me a covering

Saying that it really would not require much of a shift to bring a fair few of us into the action.. baby steps...

[AWD]

I live in hope that my elevation can throw a spanner in works for once this year and give me a covering

Saying that it really would not require much of a shift to bring a fair few of us into the action.. baby steps...

We will find out at 21:30 and 03:30 if it is a one off or the start of a southward push.

[Chris K]

There is hope if you live north of the M4 broadly in our region on Saturday morning.

Wow I'm literally on the edge. I'm expecting heavy rain though. Let's be honest its still been a very interesting period of model watching...

[Nights King]

We will find out at 21:30 and 03:30 if it is a one off or the start of a southward push.

Set my alarm I shall see you at 21.30 another 20 - 50 miles and bingo for many..

Back home and it is bitter in wind with that rain 3.1c

Edited March 21, 2013 by mullender83

[AWD]

Set my alarm I shall see you at 21.30 another 20 - 50 miles and bingo for many..

Back home and it is bitter in wind with that rain 3.1c

And 03:30?

[Beast of Plympton]

I have just got home and would like to take my hat off to Karl83 and Karlos 1983.... I read some of the posts in response to the joke and am in disbelief that some people fell for it!!

Classic, well done chaps!!

[Nights King]

And 03:30?

If it moves it back northwards then no but if its a southward shift again I might be tempted to just wake up and take a peak

[Mapantz]

Did anyone see the news? They were talking to Paul Hudson who was showing the Met Office accumulations maps, there was a massive empty hole in the snow area, around where i put the circle. It showed hardly any precip at all, i'd feel for those living there if it happened.

Edited March 21, 2013 by Mapantz

[AWD]

The cold downward Spiral. Using Bristol as an example, although the broad trend is the same anywhere across the region, detail aside. The Upper air temperature as per the ECM,

Tomorrow afternoon, +3;

Saturday afternoon, -1;

Sunday afternoon, -4 bordering -5;

Monday afternoon, -8;

Tuesday afternoon, -10;

Wednesday afternoon, -10;

Thursday afternoon, -9;

You get the gist, Spring is still but a distant dream for now.

[jessandjon]

I have a fast flowing river running down my street!!!

[-uksnow-]

Did anyone see the news? They were talking to Paul Hudson who was showing the Met Office accumulations maps, there was a massive empty hole in the snow area, around where i put the circle. It showed hardly any precip at all, i'd feel for those living there if it happened.

Topography is to blame for that - my Geography isnt perfect but pretty sure its the Pennines doing there thing, with good support for much less ppn or a ppn 'shadow' over Manchester

[Nights King]

The cold downward Spiral. Using Bristol as an example, although the broad trend is the same anywhere across the region, detail aside. The Upper air temperature as per the ECM,

Tomorrow afternoon, +3;

Saturday afternoon, -1;

Sunday afternoon, -4 bordering -5;

Monday afternoon, -8;

Tuesday afternoon, -10;

Wednesday afternoon, -10;

Thursday afternoon, -9;

You get the gist, Spring is still but a distant dream for now.

But where is our snow!? "Get the cold and the snow will come" Joke of the winter...

[AWD]

But where is our snow!? "Get the cold and the snow will come" Joke of the winter...

I've found the cold, you go find the snow. Don't leave it all to me. :p