June 2013 CET Forecasts (2012-13 CET Competition)

[noggin]

Do we know the anomaly for June, yet? The Met Office still haven't updated since the 27th. I'm on tenterhooks!

[SomeLikeItHot]

Hopefully they will update today with the final corrected figure. (usually, but not always this is around 11:45am)

 

The uncorrected figure has been published however as 14.0, which would be a -0.2 anomaly.

Edited July 2, 2013 by SomeLikeItHot

[BornFromTheVoid]

Comfirmed at 13.6C (-0.6C below the 61-90 average)

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2013

 

A huge 0.4C downward correction.

 

 

Congrats to DAVID SNOW and geoffw who guessed it right!

Edited July 2, 2013 by BornFromTheVoid

[SomeLikeItHot]

That's massive, I can't believe I was too high in the end!

[BornFromTheVoid]

Coldest first half of the year since 1986.

Joint coldest March-June (with 1891) since 1888

Joint 25th coldest March-June on the entire CET record

Edited July 2, 2013 by BornFromTheVoid

[Don]

Comfirmed at 13.6C (-0.6C below the 61-90 average)

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_mean_2013

 

A huge 0.4C downward correction.

 

 

Congrats to DAVID SNOW and geoffw who guessed it right!

Oh well a bit too high in the end! Nevermind, good to get another month below the 61-90 average. Very likely to be the last for now though.

[Summer Sun]

Across East Anglia it was the coolest June since 1995 according to the met office they've really suffered with the easterly wind this year down there

[SomeLikeItHot]

I'm not in an exposed location at all but even so the fine spell at the start of june was mostly cloudy with a cool breeze. I think about 3 or so days got signifigant amounts of sunshine, otherwise the cloud didn't break until early evening most days. (just so it could get cold overnight!).

[DAVID SNOW]

Dont forget about the 0.4 downward correction come months end.

 

 

[reef]

It was also the 11th month in the last 14 that was below the 1981-2010 average. In this case it was 0.9C below.

 

In fact every month this year so far has been 0.9C or more below the most recent average.

 

Jan: 3.5C (-0.9C)

Feb: 3.2C (-1.2C)

Mar: 2.7C (-3.9C)

Apr: 7.5C (-1.0C)

May: 10.4C (-1.3C)

Jun: 13.6C (-0.9C)

 

Quite an impressive run!

[summer blizzard]

Great, only 0.1C out.

[Weather-history]

It was also the 11th month in the last 14 that was below the 1981-2010 average. In this case it was 0.9C below. In fact every month this year so far has been 0.9C or more below the most recent average. Jan: 3.5C (-0.9C)Feb: 3.2C (-1.2C)Mar: 2.7C (-3.9C)Apr: 7.5C (-1.0C)May: 10.4C (-1.3C)Jun: 13.6C (-0.9C) Quite an impressive run!

If you look at it from January 2012, then the only above average months against 1981-2010 averages in that period are January 2012, March 2012, August 2012 and December 2012That's 4 out of the last 18.

[March Blizzard]

Only half of the remaining months of 2013 need to come in below average to beat 2010, which had 8 below average months (if I recall correctly).

[NeilN]

I thought June would have been at least AVERAGE as opposed to BELOW AVERAGE.

 

Has the weekend 22/23rd of June dragged it down plus the cool nights?

[The PIT]

Demand a recount. 14C from climate UK Sunny Sheffield came in at 14.1C so we need a recount.

[J10]

Now that the figure has been confirmed this months results are in.

 

Well Done to DAVID SNOW and geoffw for getting it spot on.

 

In the seasonal comp, monhtly winners DAVID SNOW and geoffw are 1-2 with summer blizzard in 3rd.

 

OVerall the 1-2-3 is March Blizzard, 22nov10blast and seabreeze86

 

This time the figures have been published in the usual format.

 

XLS June 2013 CET.xls

 

PDF June 2013 CET.pdf

Edited July 2, 2013 by Jackone

[summer blizzard]

Really made a mistake going against my usual method in May, i'd have been winning by quite some way.

 

Pleased though, just hope we get a cool second half to July.

[March Blizzard]

I'll enjoy my crown...for a month at least!

[Optimus Prime]

That's quite some downward correction. The reason must be the Metoffice's global cooling agenda.

[stewfox]

That's quite some downward correction. The reason must be the Metoffice's global cooling agenda.

Yes is that a 0.4c or 0.5c downward adjustment ? Has there been a larger one ?

[SomeLikeItHot]

Yes is that a 0.4c or 0.5c downward adjustment ? Has there been a larger one ?

I can't find a longer record than this year. unless we sorted through these threads but this year it is the biggest by a fair margin. .

 

 

Jan   Feb March   April   May June

-0.25   -0.09 -0.17 -0.02 -0.26   -0.43

[Roger J Smith]

Downward corrections are increasing in phase with the slumping U.S. dollar. I blame Wal-mart for all this.

[Relativistic]

I seem to recall the August 2011 downward correction being something like 0.4C.