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Thunderstorm potential and activity for Wednesday 19th into Thursday 20th June 2013

Coast

By Coast
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

Please use this thread to post your thoughts, models, charts and pictures specifically for convective chances and actual activity relating to Wednesday 19th June 2013 only. :good:

 

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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
Posted

Thoughts? I haven't hand one of those for a while now...Posted Image 

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multi cellular thunderstorm Enthusiast

multi cellular thunderstorm

Posted
  • Location: Stanley, County Durham.
  • Weather Preferences: Anything Extreme!
  • Location: Stanley, County Durham.
Posted

My bet on the northern extent at the moment would be around the Wash area and a bit westward. 

I think Lincs, Leics, Notts, Derbs could be in with a decent chance with S Yorks having a slight chance but obviously a lot can change.

I'm hoping to get an early finish and maybe go chasing on the afternoon/evening.

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
Posted

My bet on the northern extent at the moment would be around the Wash area and a bit westward. 

I think Lincs, Leics, Notts, Derbs could be in with a decent chance with S Yorks having a slight chance but obviously a lot can change.

I'm hoping to get an early finish and maybe go chasing on the afternoon/evening.

 

If you are planning on chasing then you could head south if the northern extent ends up not reaching us, as at the moment some models have it reaching us and others don't. Hopefully a better idea by Wednesday morning.

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AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted (edited)

Those of you in the east and south east could really be in for something special on Wednesday;

post-12721-0-84532600-1371483194_thumb.j

If I wasn't on a training course at work it would definetly be worth the £100 petrol to drive over there. Damned that I have to be on this course.

Edited by AWD
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AWD Veteran

AWD

Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
Posted

Interesting GFS 12z for southern England as a whole on Wednesday;

post-12721-0-44325500-1371485867_thumb.jpost-12721-0-18830100-1371485876_thumb.j

post-12721-0-33650200-1371485883_thumb.jpost-12721-0-20658800-1371485892_thumb.j

Will be interesting to see the high res charts when they are updated.

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted (edited)

Interesting GFS 12z for southern England as a whole on Wednesday;

Posted Imageimage.jpgPosted Imageimage.jpg

Posted Imageimage.jpgPosted Imageimage.jpg

Will be interesting to see the high res charts when they are updated.

 

Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image

 

Some fairly notable low level shear on that T-skew chart above!!! 

Edited by Harry
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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

Belgium might not be a bad location to chase!

 

If nothing else they have good beer and chocolate!! 

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

In a general sense, GFS's overview is encouraging to kick off with for early doors tomorrow:

 

Posted Image

 

Limited to France in the early afternoon, I hope it does spawn some home-grown or imported stuff later in the day:

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

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Panayiotis Seasoned

Panayiotis

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
Posted

Some interesting developments on the NAE for the SE:

The activity is due to kick off around Wednesday morning with a band of showers moving up from France:

Posted ImagePosted Image

 

Once the showers hit land, they look to gain intensity with a squall line developing from London to Norwich:

Posted Image

Before moving away into the North Sea:

Posted Image

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

Lets hope that those charts prevail Panayiotis!!!

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

I'm holding out for a hero!

 

post-6667-0-77030700-1371573498_thumb.pn

 

post-6667-0-70640400-1371573494_thumb.pn

 

post-6667-0-44447500-1371573489_thumb.pn

 

post-6667-0-94746500-1371573487_thumb.pn

 

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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
Posted

I'm holding out for a hero!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Beyond Thunderdome? Oops! Wrong thread.Posted Image 

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Sprites Seasoned

Sprites

Posted
  • Location: South East UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms/squalls/hoar-frost/mist
  • Location: South East UK
Posted

So if you live in eastern Kent, get down to the seafront , take your telescope and enjoy the distant flashes over France lol.

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stainesbloke Maestro

stainesbloke

Posted
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in summer, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
Posted

So if you live in eastern Kent, get down to the seafront , take your telescope and enjoy the distant flashes over France lol.

Lol, maybe we could use Hubble?
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Panayiotis Seasoned

Panayiotis

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
Posted

Probably the start of something now developing over France (arrows only for reference to direction of movement of the cell)

post-17320-0-52122800-1371602740_thumb.p

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Staffordshire Aficionado

Staffordshire

Posted
  • Location: Lichfield
  • Location: Lichfield
Posted

Probably the start of something now developing over France (arrows only for reference to direction of movement of the cell)

probably not till dawn though! take it youve finished all your exams now?
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Panayiotis Seasoned

Panayiotis

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
Posted (edited)

probably not till dawn though! take it youve finished all your exams now?

Yes I have thankfully! Now my focus is onto the weather over the summer!....

Edited by Panayiotis
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Panayiotis Seasoned

Panayiotis

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
Posted

"My take on today's potential (High,Moderate,Slight risk (pf thunderstorms) using the available data that I have access to Posted Image "

 

post-17320-0-58650300-1371603159_thumb.p

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Panayiotis Seasoned

Panayiotis

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
Posted (edited)

Sferic spotted in S.Wales, is it a false one or is lightning travelling from France to the UK?

Also the cell over France is now producing sferics.

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=lightning;sess=

http://www.meteox.co.uk/h.aspx?r=&jaar=-3&soort=loop1uur&lightning=1

Edited by Panayiotis
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paul m Aficionado

paul m

Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
Posted

Storms now on french coast. Will they make it across

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paul m Aficionado

paul m

Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
Posted (edited)

NICE BRIGHT FLASHES http://www.vision-environnement.com/web/saint-jouin-bruneval-la-plage/ .

Edited by paul m
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paul m Aficionado

paul m

Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
Posted

Anyone else watching the storm on the link above.. Looks like a nasty one

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