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Thunderstorm potential and activity for Wednesday 19th into Thursday 20th June 2013


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Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

    Please use this thread to post your thoughts, models, charts and pictures specifically for convective chances and actual activity relating to Wednesday 19th June 2013 only. :good:

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

    Thoughts? I haven't hand one of those for a while now...Posted Image 

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    Posted
  • Location: Stanley, County Durham.
  • Weather Preferences: Anything Extreme!
  • Location: Stanley, County Durham.

    My bet on the northern extent at the moment would be around the Wash area and a bit westward. 

    I think Lincs, Leics, Notts, Derbs could be in with a decent chance with S Yorks having a slight chance but obviously a lot can change.

    I'm hoping to get an early finish and maybe go chasing on the afternoon/evening.

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    Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire

    My bet on the northern extent at the moment would be around the Wash area and a bit westward. 

    I think Lincs, Leics, Notts, Derbs could be in with a decent chance with S Yorks having a slight chance but obviously a lot can change.

    I'm hoping to get an early finish and maybe go chasing on the afternoon/evening.

     

    If you are planning on chasing then you could head south if the northern extent ends up not reaching us, as at the moment some models have it reaching us and others don't. Hopefully a better idea by Wednesday morning.

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    Those of you in the east and south east could really be in for something special on Wednesday;

    post-12721-0-84532600-1371483194_thumb.j

    If I wasn't on a training course at work it would definetly be worth the £100 petrol to drive over there. Damned that I have to be on this course.

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    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

    Interesting GFS 12z for southern England as a whole on Wednesday;

    post-12721-0-44325500-1371485867_thumb.jpost-12721-0-18830100-1371485876_thumb.j

    post-12721-0-33650200-1371485883_thumb.jpost-12721-0-20658800-1371485892_thumb.j

    Will be interesting to see the high res charts when they are updated.

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    Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)

    Interesting GFS 12z for southern England as a whole on Wednesday;

    Posted Imageimage.jpgPosted Imageimage.jpg

    Posted Imageimage.jpgPosted Imageimage.jpg

    Will be interesting to see the high res charts when they are updated.

     

    Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image

     

    Some fairly notable low level shear on that T-skew chart above!!! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

    Belgium might not be a bad location to chase!

     

    If nothing else they have good beer and chocolate!! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

    In a general sense, GFS's overview is encouraging to kick off with for early doors tomorrow:

     

    Posted Image

     

    Limited to France in the early afternoon, I hope it does spawn some home-grown or imported stuff later in the day:

     

    Posted Image

     

    Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni

    Some interesting developments on the NAE for the SE:

    The activity is due to kick off around Wednesday morning with a band of showers moving up from France:

    Posted ImagePosted Image

     

    Once the showers hit land, they look to gain intensity with a squall line developing from London to Norwich:

    Posted Image

    Before moving away into the North Sea:

    Posted Image

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    Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)

    Lets hope that those charts prevail Panayiotis!!!

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)

    I'm holding out for a hero!

     

    post-6667-0-77030700-1371573498_thumb.pn

     

    post-6667-0-70640400-1371573494_thumb.pn

     

    post-6667-0-44447500-1371573489_thumb.pn

     

    post-6667-0-94746500-1371573487_thumb.pn

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

    I'm holding out for a hero!

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Beyond Thunderdome? Oops! Wrong thread.Posted Image 

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    Posted
  • Location: west suffolk 12 metres asl
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms/squalls/hoar-frost/misty sunrises/
  • Location: west suffolk 12 metres asl

    So if you live in eastern Kent, get down to the seafront , take your telescope and enjoy the distant flashes over France lol.

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    Posted
  • Location: Prague, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Prague, Czech Republic and Staines, UK

    So if you live in eastern Kent, get down to the seafront , take your telescope and enjoy the distant flashes over France lol.

    Lol, maybe we could use Hubble?
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    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni

    Probably the start of something now developing over France (arrows only for reference to direction of movement of the cell)

    post-17320-0-52122800-1371602740_thumb.p

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    Posted
  • Location: Lichfield
  • Location: Lichfield

    Probably the start of something now developing over France (arrows only for reference to direction of movement of the cell)

    probably not till dawn though! take it youve finished all your exams now?
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    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni

    probably not till dawn though! take it youve finished all your exams now?

    Yes I have thankfully! Now my focus is onto the weather over the summer!....

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    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni

    "My take on today's potential (High,Moderate,Slight risk (pf thunderstorms) using the available data that I have access to Posted Image "

     

    post-17320-0-58650300-1371603159_thumb.p

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    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni

    Sferic spotted in S.Wales, is it a false one or is lightning travelling from France to the UK?

    Also the cell over France is now producing sferics.

    http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=lightning;sess=

    http://www.meteox.co.uk/h.aspx?r=&jaar=-3&soort=loop1uur&lightning=1

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    Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire

    Storms now on french coast. Will they make it across

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    Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire

    Anyone else watching the storm on the link above.. Looks like a nasty one

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