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Thunderstorm potential and activity for Wednesday 19th into Thursday 20th June 2013

Coast

By Coast
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
    • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
    Posted

    Please use this thread to post your thoughts, models, charts and pictures specifically for convective chances and actual activity relating to Wednesday 19th June 2013 only. :good:

     

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    Methuselah Maestro

    Methuselah

    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
    • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
    Posted

    Thoughts? I haven't hand one of those for a while now...Posted Image 

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    multi cellular thunderstorm Enthusiast

    multi cellular thunderstorm

    Posted
  • Location: Stanley, County Durham.
  • Weather Preferences: Anything Extreme!
    • Location: Stanley, County Durham.
    Posted

    My bet on the northern extent at the moment would be around the Wash area and a bit westward. 

    I think Lincs, Leics, Notts, Derbs could be in with a decent chance with S Yorks having a slight chance but obviously a lot can change.

    I'm hoping to get an early finish and maybe go chasing on the afternoon/evening.

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    Supacell Accomplished

    Supacell

    Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
    • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
    Posted

    My bet on the northern extent at the moment would be around the Wash area and a bit westward. 

    I think Lincs, Leics, Notts, Derbs could be in with a decent chance with S Yorks having a slight chance but obviously a lot can change.

    I'm hoping to get an early finish and maybe go chasing on the afternoon/evening.

     

    If you are planning on chasing then you could head south if the northern extent ends up not reaching us, as at the moment some models have it reaching us and others don't. Hopefully a better idea by Wednesday morning.

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    AWD Veteran

    AWD

    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
    • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
    Posted

    Those of you in the east and south east could really be in for something special on Wednesday;

    post-12721-0-84532600-1371483194_thumb.j

    If I wasn't on a training course at work it would definetly be worth the £100 petrol to drive over there. Damned that I have to be on this course.

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    AWD Veteran

    AWD

    Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
    • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
    Posted

    Interesting GFS 12z for southern England as a whole on Wednesday;

    post-12721-0-44325500-1371485867_thumb.jpost-12721-0-18830100-1371485876_thumb.j

    post-12721-0-33650200-1371485883_thumb.jpost-12721-0-20658800-1371485892_thumb.j

    Will be interesting to see the high res charts when they are updated.

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    Harry Accomplished

    Harry

    Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
    • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
    Posted

    Interesting GFS 12z for southern England as a whole on Wednesday;

    Posted Imageimage.jpgPosted Imageimage.jpg

    Posted Imageimage.jpgPosted Imageimage.jpg

    Will be interesting to see the high res charts when they are updated.

     

    Posted Image Posted Image Posted Image

     

    Some fairly notable low level shear on that T-skew chart above!!! 

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    Coast Veteran

    Coast

    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
    • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
    • Author
    Posted

    Belgium might not be a bad location to chase!

     

    If nothing else they have good beer and chocolate!! 

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    Coast Veteran

    Coast

    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
    • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
    • Author
    Posted

    In a general sense, GFS's overview is encouraging to kick off with for early doors tomorrow:

     

    Posted Image

     

    Limited to France in the early afternoon, I hope it does spawn some home-grown or imported stuff later in the day:

     

    Posted Image

     

    Posted Image

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    Panayiotis Seasoned

    Panayiotis

    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
    • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
    Posted

    Some interesting developments on the NAE for the SE:

    The activity is due to kick off around Wednesday morning with a band of showers moving up from France:

    Posted ImagePosted Image

     

    Once the showers hit land, they look to gain intensity with a squall line developing from London to Norwich:

    Posted Image

    Before moving away into the North Sea:

    Posted Image

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    Harry Accomplished

    Harry

    Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
    • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
    Posted

    Lets hope that those charts prevail Panayiotis!!!

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    Coast Veteran

    Coast

    Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
    • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
    • Author
    Posted

    I'm holding out for a hero!

     

    post-6667-0-77030700-1371573498_thumb.pn

     

    post-6667-0-70640400-1371573494_thumb.pn

     

    post-6667-0-44447500-1371573489_thumb.pn

     

    post-6667-0-94746500-1371573487_thumb.pn

     

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    Methuselah Maestro

    Methuselah

    Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
    • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
    Posted

    I'm holding out for a hero!

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Beyond Thunderdome? Oops! Wrong thread.Posted Image 

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    Sprites Rising Star

    Sprites

    Posted
  • Location: South East UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms/squalls/hoar-frost/mist
    • Location: South East UK
    Posted

    So if you live in eastern Kent, get down to the seafront , take your telescope and enjoy the distant flashes over France lol.

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    stainesbloke Maestro

    stainesbloke

    Posted
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in summer, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
    • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
    Posted

    So if you live in eastern Kent, get down to the seafront , take your telescope and enjoy the distant flashes over France lol.

    Lol, maybe we could use Hubble?
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    Panayiotis Seasoned

    Panayiotis

    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
    • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
    Posted

    Probably the start of something now developing over France (arrows only for reference to direction of movement of the cell)

    post-17320-0-52122800-1371602740_thumb.p

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    Staffordshire Aficionado

    Staffordshire

    Posted
  • Location: Lichfield
    • Location: Lichfield
    Posted

    Probably the start of something now developing over France (arrows only for reference to direction of movement of the cell)

    probably not till dawn though! take it youve finished all your exams now?
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    Panayiotis Seasoned

    Panayiotis

    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
    • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
    Posted

    probably not till dawn though! take it youve finished all your exams now?

    Yes I have thankfully! Now my focus is onto the weather over the summer!....

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    Panayiotis Seasoned

    Panayiotis

    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
    • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
    Posted

    "My take on today's potential (High,Moderate,Slight risk (pf thunderstorms) using the available data that I have access to Posted Image "

     

    post-17320-0-58650300-1371603159_thumb.p

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    Panayiotis Seasoned

    Panayiotis

    Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
    • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
    Posted

    Sferic spotted in S.Wales, is it a false one or is lightning travelling from France to the UK?

    Also the cell over France is now producing sferics.

    http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=lightning;sess=

    http://www.meteox.co.uk/h.aspx?r=&jaar=-3&soort=loop1uur&lightning=1

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    paul m Aficionado

    paul m

    Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
    • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
    Posted

    Storms now on french coast. Will they make it across

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    paul m Aficionado

    paul m

    Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
    • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
    Posted

    Anyone else watching the storm on the link above.. Looks like a nasty one

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