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Thunderstorm potential and activity for Wednesday 19th into Thursday 20th June 2013

Coast

By Coast
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

Simply stunning and sunny out there, get to work now please!

 

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Sprites Seasoned

Sprites

Posted
  • Location: South East UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms/squalls/hoar-frost/mist
  • Location: South East UK
Posted (edited)

 

If you can blow up the area over the UK, you will see very little

hahahahaha.

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted (edited)

Latest obs:

 

Posted Image

 

Tonight into the early hours:

 

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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
Posted

Latest obs:

 

Posted Image

 

Tonight into the early hours:

 

Posted Image

Groundhog Day?Posted Image 

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

Borderline hot in London at the moment - thermometer was reading 27C earlier, not sure how accurate that is!

 

Am heading down to Dymchurch tonight, hoping to catch some distant flashes and fingers crossed something a bit closer. Expectations not high though to be honest - would be good news for everyone inland as the minute I arrive there some cells will no doubt fire close to where I live :D

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

hoping to catch some distant flashes and fingers 

 

Posted Image Go carefully H !!!! 

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stainesbloke Maestro

stainesbloke

Posted
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in summer, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
Posted

Borderline hot in London at the moment - thermometer was reading 27C earlier, not sure how accurate that is!Am heading down to Dymchurch tonight, hoping to catch some distant flashes and fingers crossed something a bit closer. Expectations not high though to be honest - would be good news for everyone inland as the minute I arrive there some cells will no doubt fire close to where I live :D

It's 25.4 here close to Heathrow so you could well be recording higher. Today definitely feels like it may thunder later...is Kent the favoured spot at the moment?
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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

HAHAHA!!!! Very good....hopefully it'll be the sky and and my remote release trigger, rather than any other apparatus I care to discuss :D

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

It's 25.4 here close to Heathrow so you could well be recording higher. Today definitely feels like it may thunder later...is Kent the favoured spot at the moment?

 

More highly favoured by virtue of the fact it is the closest to France/Benelux...beyond that its a toss of the coin jobby.

 

With far higher temperatures today and a trough expected to approach from the south during the night, there is a small chance of something homegrown initiating.

 

But I have to say, you're speaking to someone who is feeling exceedingly pessimistic (or realistic depending on how you view it).

 

To summarise, don't expect anything. If you get something, it'll be a bonus!!

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Neilsouth Experienced

Neilsouth

Posted
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Storms and Snow
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
Posted

Looking good, storms have fired to our south/south east over france!

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stainesbloke Maestro

stainesbloke

Posted
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in summer, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
Posted

Saw that trough on the fax charts, fingers crossed!!! Wish I'd slept more last night as tonight could be worth staying up for. Noticed on the satellite runs a thin ribbon of cloud moving down from the NW....is that the cooler uppers arriving?

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Arnie Pie Accomplished

Arnie Pie

Posted
  • Location: Birmingham, Harborne 160 asl
  • Weather Preferences: Columus Bigus Convectivus
  • Location: Birmingham, Harborne 160 asl
Posted

First bit of convection seen for days going up to my North.......all in clear blue skiesPosted Image

 

Homegrowns all the way

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

Looking good, storms have fired to our south/south east over france!

 

Hmm...those firing near Paris will almost certainly swerve NE as the day progresses. It would be nice if something fired further North and NorthWest as they IMO would have a better track.

 

If you run the satellite back from this morning, the MCS which fired pretty dead centre of N France managed to swing East and miss us entirely. Even though the Low has now moved further east and we are under a more pronounced SE-NW motion, I would expect any larger storms/MCS to swing NE as before. I hope to be wrong through.

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

The cloud came over and the temp dropped by over three degrees. :( I wouldn't mind if something initiated but i failed to reach my target for the warmest day of the year lol

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Keraunic Seasoned

Keraunic

Posted
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder Storms. All extreme weather.
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
Posted

Some storms firing up in France. I hope they head to us instead of East. Come to mummy. :)

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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
Posted

It's breached the 27C barrier, on my highly inaccurate thermometer!Posted Image

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Eskimo Accomplished

Eskimo

Posted
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
Posted

It's breached the 27C barrier, on my highly inaccurate thermometer!Posted Image

Just hit 27.0C here on my highly inaccurate thermometer as well funnily enough, do two negatives make a positive? 

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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
Posted

Just hit 27.0C here on my highly inaccurate thermometer as well funnily enough, do two negatives make a positive? 

Let's hope...

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Author
Posted

do two negatives make a positive? 

 

We really need a lot of both please!

 

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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
Posted

Just hit 27.0C here on my highly inaccurate thermometer as well funnily enough, do two negatives make a positive? 

And that's the magic 28 gone, too!

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted (edited)

This is the BBC regional forecast for Kent and Sussex.....

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/me1

 

Mmmmm.....Hmmmmmm...............

 

Have there been any NMM/NAE model updates this afternoon? 

Edited by Harry
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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

Had a peak across on wetterzentrale and the majority of the models are in favour of introducing heavy precip across southern and SE England through the night and into tomorrow morning. 

 

BBC and MetO still keen for this also.

 

Estofex to be fair has Kent and E Sussex under a 15% zone, through whether that was to cover this mornings coastal storms is anyone's guess.

 

Am pleased quite a few areas of France are going bang at the moment rather than C and E France.

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