Thunderstorm potential and activity for Wednesday 19th into Thursday 20th June 2013

[Bluebreezer54]

I can't get on it !

Me neither. Keeps saying it's not available to the public ?

[nitro_deluxe]

Seems about the same to me!! :lol:!!!

I'll give you twelve mill!!!

[imriecm]

If only it was moving slightly more to the NW.

[Paul Sherman]

Err Nope, I am actually hoping the UK Gets back to having storms like the 80's and 90's when these were commonplace from June to September.

[Andy Bown]

Just leaving the french coast Paul  http://www.sat24.com/en/gb?ir=true

Its seems to have sped up a bit or expanded northwards ?? One of the two.

There is probably an ever growing Cirrus anvil spreading N/NW from the storm centre.

[nitro_deluxe]

That's got our name on it....SE looking good! Will need a few other Ts to tag along for added effect

70% chance IMO.

[Tom Jarvis]

yep it looks like it is heading straight for me.whish we had the radar in the usa that shows us which direction the centre of the storm is heading

Edited June 19, 2013 by Tom Jarvis

[Harry]

Good Luck Guys, Watching this unfold from the States, surely one of these systems is going to crash into good old blighty!

 

You would think so wouldnt you - but as per last night, lines of active storms literally tickled the Kent and EA coastline...but nothing landfall!!!! 

[Costa Del Fal]

GFS 12z CAPE values for tomorrow afternoon

 

Yep looking ever more promising for the midlands now. Would be quite ironic if we get something and the south doesn't this week

[Tom Jarvis]

Yep looking ever more promising for the midlands now. Would be quite ironic if we get something and the south doesn't this week

same as the last few weeks and last year you got the really good storms 

[weatherobsuk]

Airport Live should be fun at 8pm if the MCS keeps up this pace into and across the Channel

[nitro_deluxe]

Expect a few more warnings issued later methinks. Could be looking a lot worse, and considering - may well be a corker of a show for some overnight into tomorrow.

Wind picking up too, quite muggy, may the show begin

[Buzzit]

Just leaving the french coast Paul  http://www.sat24.com/en/gb?ir=true

Its seems to have sped up a bit or expanded northwards ?? One of the two.

Not going to happen - just like I posted a Fish nope yesterday afternoon.

 

1PM BST

 

 

4PM BST

 

[Tom Jarvis]

just waiting for that cell to appear on netweather radar

[weatherobsuk]

All of the london airports going for storms on the latest METAR output

 

long-TAF: EGLL 191059Z 1912/2018 05006KT 9999 SCT026 PROB30 TEMPO 1915/1920 6000 -SHRA BECMG 1920/1923 8000 PROB30 TEMPO 2000/2011 4500 TSRA SHRA HZ BKN014 BECMG 2010/2013 19010KT 9999

[Arnie Pie]

Yep looking ever more promising for the midlands now. Would be quite ironic if we get something and the south doesn't this week

Im not going to mention  El Brummo...The Return

[Costa Del Fal]

Im not going to mention  El Brummo...The Return

"It's time to face THE MUSICCCCC" haha.

[paul m]

Im not going to mention  El Brummo...The Return

You have Bloody jinxed it now

Going very dark on this cam http://www.vision-environnement.com/web/saint-jouin-bruneval-la-plage/

[essex coast matt]

http://www.meteociel.fr/observations-meteo/foudre.php good site showing lightning over france at mo

[Buzzit]

All of the london airports going for storms on the latest METAR output

 

long-TAF: EGLL 191059Z 1912/2018 05006KT 9999 SCT026 PROB30 TEMPO 1915/1920 6000 -SHRA BECMG 1920/1923 8000 PROB30 TEMPO 2000/2011 4500 TSRA SHRA HZ BKN014 BECMG 2010/2013 19010KT 9999

Strange that as is a low Probablity even though using a TEMPO. I wouldnt say they were "all going for storms" from that ticker

[Tom Jarvis]

looks like the storm is turning right with the way the lightning s being shown. hope i'm wrong

[Supacell]

http://www.meteociel.fr/observations-meteo/foudre.php good site showing lightning over france at mo

 

You can see the direction of the storms from this and to be honest it shows the main MCS system missing the SE of England whereas the western one should hit everywhere from about Brighton east.... assuming it survives.

[weatherobsuk]

That's just Heathrow alone, but a 30% possibility at 8pm is still a conservative estimate and shows the forecasters are at least considering the outside chance that surface forcing could advect something from the west with more favourable odds to the East on the Luton/Stansted outputs.

[Buzzit]

That's just Heathrow alone, but a 30% possibility at 8pm is still a conservative estimate and shows the forecasters are at least considering the outside chance that surface forcing could advect something from the west with more favourable odds to the East on the Luton/Stansted outputs.

Sorry I want a decent storm absolutely but I also think your post before was a little too misleading for any new people who may have expected it as a certainty.. Thanks for the clarification fingers and everything crossed

[Adi F]

All of the london airports going for storms on the latest METAR output

 

long-TAF: EGLL 191059Z 1912/2018 05006KT 9999 SCT026 PROB30 TEMPO 1915/1920 6000 -SHRA BECMG 1920/1923 8000 PROB30 TEMPO 2000/2011 4500 TSRA SHRA HZ BKN014 BECMG 2010/2013 19010KT 9999

 

They are only giving a probability of 30% at the stations they have issued TEMPO's at.