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Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 21st June 2013 onwards

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
Posted (edited)

Heavy returns between Leyburn, North Yorkshire and the Lake District but it could be anaprop as looks suspect. Having said that, running the radar over time shows it develops and is moving so unlikely to be the case.

 

30c now at Heathrow... hottest day of the year so far then.

Edited by Supacell
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paul m Aficionado

paul m

Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
Posted

Temp and dp currently 28/15 here with cumulus building all around. It feels hot outside and I would imagine I may be in a well positioned place for this afternoon/evening. Possibly may need to travel slightly east, maybe locate myself near the M1/A610 for a good north to south or west to east route.

 

Currently hanging fire to see what looks to develop.

Good luck to you today

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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted (edited)

Bit chilly out today isnt it?

 

Posted Image

 

Loving the look of this.. ( Maybe not for my back yard.. ) but still.. Nice.

Posted Image

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

 

 

Streams are almost spot on with convergence.

PPN showing something later and with that kinda cape something could really pop up.

 

Estofex show a good risk in the same areas so im sure someone will be happy!

 

Very much a central / eastern event ( if any )

 

OMG, surely it can't happen in my patch. I often make the assumption that one should follow the heat when looking for storms on days like these. Given that I'm currently at 30.3c (non-officially one of the hottest locations right now), I may be in with a decent shout. All this going against my instinct from a couple of days back when I thought things looked utter pants. You naughty boy Lynxus, you've got my hopes up. Posted Image 

Edited by gottolovethisweather
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Snowangel-MK Accomplished

Snowangel-MK

Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Weather Preferences: anything extreme or intense !
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
Posted

29.9 deg c in the shade here and actually starting to feel like one of those summer days that could go bang later .... oh I do hope so Posted Image

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Looks like we may have a line of heavy showers breaking out over northern England at the moment. Some attempts of tower building here going on but nothing drastic.

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TheToastPeople Enthusiast

TheToastPeople

Posted
  • Location: Bedford Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Fire tornado
  • Location: Bedford Bedfordshire
Posted

29.9c here if my weather station is accurite lol, Small convective stuff starting to show but not holding much hope for my storm starved town. Might take a drive up north if anything does pop up in that direction. Fingers crossed everyone!

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
Posted (edited)

Good luck to you today

 

Thank you and yourself too. I suspect Leeds may also be in with a chance as you are along the same convergence zone I will be under. There are already some heavy showers breaking out across North Yorkshire and that area should move southwards. 

 

Edit: Intensifying rapidly too with some very heavy localised downpours. I expect sferics in that line very soon

Edited by Supacell
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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

Started to haze over here now, typical, I've just turned over to toast my back and the sun is less torchworthy.Anyway, 29.5c here according to the netatmo, which has also chucked in thunderstorm alert for this eve. Cape certainly looks juicy, and now a bit of a breeze has picked up from the river.....

 

You will still burn through haze / clouds! careful....

 

Still early and some good CU building in places now. I suspect if nothing happens by 18:00 then nothing will as its a little on the marginal side..

If we do get good ignition then with the Cape & Lifted that is about then we may end up with a good storm or two..

 

Not sure what the CIN is like today ( havent looked ) but it doesnt 'feel' very capped compared to normal storm days.

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
Posted (edited)

As expected in my previous post, first sferics along the line in North Yorkshire close to the M6 Posted Image .

Edited by Supacell
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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

k...

 

Still a big fan of "if it happens. it will go well" today..

 

CI looks nice still..

Posted Image

 

Not really much to note here:

Posted Image

Posted Image

 

Just for the hell of it.. Nice heat!

Posted Image

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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted

As expected in my previous post, first sferics along the line in North Yorkshire close to the M6 Posted Image .

 

Indeed, someone's going to get lucky.

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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted

Close,but no cigar!

 

Posted Imagehiradarzoomv42.png

 

Just as Bon Jovi would say, KEEP THE FAITH. Posted Image

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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted (edited)

Indeed, someone's going to get lucky.

Well it's never me, that's for sure!

They're always focussed on the east just lately.

Edited by CreweCold
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NL Aficionado

NL

Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
Posted

I was going to go to Thirsk today..wish I had now..Posted Image

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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted

Well it's never me, that's for sure!

 

You should never say never. Posted Image

 

Thanks for all the informative postings guys n gals, may we all join in the fun eventually.

 

Holy poo, 31.0c as I type this. Posted Image 

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

First lightning recorded on the radar and by my detectors. I suspect everything will slide to the east of me if any make this far though. But something of interest in this horrible heat.

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weatherobsuk Veteran

weatherobsuk

Posted
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
Posted

Not forgetting with instances like these initially forcing can occur from storms already in-progress especially downwind within outflow areas, so still a while yet to go before things get a little more clarity.

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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted (edited)

Not forgetting with instances like these initially forcing can occur from storms already in-progress especially downwind within outflow areas, so still a while yet to go before things get a little more clarity.

 

As in daughter cells, SJ? Posted Image 

 

I remember in years past, watching a whole procession of storms kicking off to my East from mid-afternoon onwards and they were still producing lightning as it got dark. Oh, for those days to return. Posted Image 

Edited by gottolovethisweather
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Wet'n'Dry Enthusiast

Wet'n'Dry

Posted
  • Location: Basildon
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Basildon
Posted

Does anyone have an early warning storm detector? I mean a dog!!

 

My poor old pooch would know hours in advance of a storm, nowadays I have to resort to radar watching!

 

Temp here 28°c and 51% humidity and my weather station is suggesting rain!

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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted

You should never say never. Posted Image

Thanks for all the informative postings guys n gals, may we all join in the fun eventually.

Holy poo, 31.0c as I type this. Posted Image

Well seeing as winds here are blowing from the Liverpool Bay area, I'll safely say 'never' for today :p
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Jax Veteran

Jax

Posted
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cool not cold, warm not hot. No strong Wind.
  • Location: N.Bedfordshire, E.Northamptonshire
Posted

Does anyone have an early warning storm detector? I mean a dog!!

 

My poor old pooch would know hours in advance of a storm, nowadays I have to resort to radar watching!

 

Temp here 28°c and 51% humidity and my weather station is suggesting rain!

LOL, used to have one of thoses too.

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Polar Maritime Maestro

Polar Maritime

Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
Posted (edited)

My Boarder is fast off, had enough of the sun..

 

 

post-12319-0-68114400-1373724861_thumb.j

Edited by Polar Maritime
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