Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 21st June 2013 onwards

[Cloud 10]

Quite a range of temperatures across the UK at the moment,with 24-26c across large parts of

England and Wales but only 12c across parts of Northern Scotland!

 

 

 

 

[dave48]

Impressive temps and dew points already today.

 

26/18 at Stansted

25/18 at Luton

 

15+ dew points widely across area of potential and temps climbing well so CAPE should be there for anything that can get going.

 

Could be some fantastic photos today if anything does get going.

 

Best of luck to anyone hoping for a storm.

[Gordon Webb]

Latest News 24 forecast has the focus for any storms across Yorkshire and Lincolnshire possibly Derby and Nottingham drifting into east Anglia later on with a chance on the sussex coast as well they think so most other places staying dry which is shown by Bobby on the previous page with the ECM storm forecast / prediction

 

very small chance of a storm at the Ashes test match

Edited July 13, 2013 by Gordon Webb

[johnholmes]

Latest News 24 forecast has the focus for any storms across Yorkshire and Lincolnshire possibly Derby and Nottingham drifting into east Anglia later on with a chance on the sussex coast as well they think so most other places staying dry very small chance of a storm at the Ashes test match

did you read my suggestions for trying to avoid the fear of storms? Edited July 13, 2013 by johnholmes

[SnowJoke]

Got my fingers crossed here in MK, at 12pm the temp is 27.4'c with a Dp of 18'c, seems to be a slight wind convergence too only light but swinging from a NE back to W and so forth.

[Lynxus]

Bit chilly out today isnt it?

 

 

Loving the look of this.. ( Maybe not for my back yard.. ) but still.. Nice.

 

 

 

Streams are almost spot on with convergence.

PPN showing something later and with that kinda cape something could really pop up.

 

Estofex show a good risk in the same areas so im sure someone will be happy!

 

Very much a central / eastern event ( if any )

[Gordon Webb]

did you read my suggestions for trying to avoid the fear of storms?

 

Yes I did and very useful it is but I am spending the day at home hopefully watch England crush the Aussies and as the forecast isn't for them to be that widespread so I hope to stay dry and according to the Latest News 24 forecast my odds I think are 60%-40% in my favour so here's hoping

[Gordon Webb]

Bit chilly out today isnt it?

 

 

Loving the look of this.. ( Maybe not for my back yard.. ) but still.. Nice.

 

 

 

Streams are almost spot on with convergence.

PPN showing something later and with that kinda cape something could really pop up.

 

Estofex show a good risk in the same areas so im sure someone will be happy!

 

Very much a central / eastern event ( if any )

 

 

 

Doesn't seem as bad/good as it was yesterday

Edited July 13, 2013 by Gordon Webb

[paul m]

Bit chilly out today isnt it?

 

 

Loving the look of this.. ( Maybe not for my back yard.. ) but still.. Nice.

 

 

 

Streams are almost spot on with convergence.

PPN showing something later and with that kinda cape something could really pop up.

 

Estofex show a good risk in the same areas so im sure someone will be happy!

 

Very much a central / eastern event ( if any )

first picture looks like Klaus the fish from American Dad

[Wet'n'Dry]

Afternoon all, I might have suspected this thread would be busy today!

 

I just logged on to see what's happening as locally baby cumulus is popping up to my west and north. Does anyone to my north/west see more development?

 

By the way temp and humidity here are 29.4°c/50%

[jam2010]

Well it's 25 here but there are some heavy looking clouds and now covering the sun with the odd drop of rain.

[Allseasons-Si]

PPN starting to develope over Harrogate at the moment,not sure which way it's heading yet though.

[nanu]

Got quite a bit of cloud build over my area and london..  infact the sun has been behind cloud more then out now.

[cheese]

A shower has popped up between Harrogat and York.

[chrisb1357]

29.7c here in the shade and cloud building

 

Chris

[jmatt]

Cloud building readily here on a slight NWly breeze

[Eskimo]

The Harrogate shower soon died of death. 

[Methuselah]

The Harrogate shower soon died of death. 

Death is the usual cause of dying? 

[cheese]

The Harrogate shower soon died of death. 

Lol indeed - plenty of time however. The atmosphere is so volatile - so much rising cumulus.

Edited July 13, 2013 by cheese

[poseidon]

Plenty of cumulus popping up here but no sign of any significant height.

Edited July 13, 2013 by poseidon

[Supacell]

Temp and dp currently 28/15 here with cumulus building all around. It feels hot outside and I would imagine I may be in a well positioned place for this afternoon/evening. Possibly may need to travel slightly east, maybe locate myself near the M1/A610 for a good north to south or west to east route.

 

Currently hanging fire to see what looks to develop.

[Team Jo]

Started to haze over here now, typical, I've just turned over to toast my back and the sun is less torchworthy.

Anyway, 29.5c here according to the netatmo, which has also chucked in thunderstorm alert for this eve. Cape certainly looks juicy, and now a bit of a breeze has picked up from the river.....

[DAVID SNOW]

Plenty of cumulus popping up here but no sign of any significant height.

Yep,cap  holding firm,better chances later for us,hopefully

[Eskimo]

Rapid cumulus buildup across the Midlands currently, this will sink south into Peterborough and leicester where I think most of the initiation will be focused. 

[Polar Maritime]

A few Cumulus bubbling up to my S/E..