South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 08/12/13

[john pike]

http://www.sundayszaman.com/news-333613-heavy-snowfall-brings-road-closures-across-turkey.html

[Hanny]

Evening all  According to the Danish Weather Service, London is -2c at present so a frost setting in but as others have said, the fog has cleared. I presume we have now imported some drier air from the Continent. http://www.dmi.dk/vejr/ Great map for moving round Europe and looking at temps - London currently colder than most of northern and eastern Europe.

DMI is quite good, we have used their site to great effect for Heli flights out to the rigs.It's quite mild here in Esbjerg, wind has a bit of a bite, but warmer than Crawley, wife reported that there was quite a good frost this morning and by the looks of it will be again tonight.Hope the fog clears for my flight back to London City Airport on Friday evening.

[john pike]

fax update

 

tomorrow

 

a breezy south west flow north of the thames

 

less breezy to the south

 

chance of some drizzly bits north of the area

 

dry elsewhere

 

looks like a cloudy with the odd glimpse of the sun today

 

temps around 7 north of the river where cloudy

 

around 9-10 south

 

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tomorrow night

 

a slightly breezier south west flow

 

temps still chilly but we should avoid a frost

 

fog around but not widespread

 

temps around 2-4 degrees and maybe higher if cloudcover persists

 

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friday

 

a west to south west flow but not strong

 

rainfall dry am showers pm and some heavy

 

temps around 10 degrees

 

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friday night

 

a south west to north west flow

 

rainfall moving through slowly overnight and some heavy

 

temps not too cold around 4-6 degrees

 

fog may be an issue on sat morning again

 

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saturday

 

a gusty south west wind

 

temps

 

around 10 again

 

rainfall after early morning rain clears it looks dry and sunny spells

[Hanny]

This time last year offshore on an oil rig:

[Steve C]

Can you give us the best time to go out tomorrow evening - assuming it's still there cometing - I'd love to see it and remember the one in the mid '90s which was really lit up with a beautiful tail just at sunset. I'd like to see another.

 

In evening time, it'll be as soon as dark enough to see it, so probably after 5:30. The problem being that it'll 'set' - drop below the horizon - later in the evening, until the early hours - it isn't circumpolar from where we are, as it's currently at approx. 30 degrees north (circumpolar means always in sight, as stars appear to rotate around the Pole Star, e.g. The Plough, whose stars are mostly more than 50 degrees north and stars need to be that far north) 

 

Another problem with evening viewing is the Moon, which is bright and still waxing and washes out the sky to a degree. I'm going to be up early in the morning - 5:30 - to see if I can spot it again, fog / cloud allowing. the Moon will have set by then.

 

Actually looking at this link (I've literally just found...) I'd almost forget it. I wish I'd tried to spot it a couple of weeks ago. This is faint and fading. Magnitude 8 is well below naked eye visibility.

 

http://in-the-sky.org/cometephem.php?obj=ck13r010

 

I can't believe this was only discovered 3 months ago, by a bloke with a pretty small telescope!

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/C/2013_R1

Edited December 11, 2013 by Steve C

[Jax]

Brrrrrr, just been out for the first time since evening to the bin and it is feeling a lot colder out there now.

 

No frost but very damp (no fog yet either)

Edited December 11, 2013 by Jax

[john pike]

sunday

 

looks like a strong south west wind

 

after overnight rain clears during the morning it should be dry and sunny

 

temps around 10-12 degrees

 

will feel raw in the strong wind though

 

monday to follow

[suffolkboy_]

Currently -2C here with thick fog and a hard frost. Came a cropper at the pub when I put my pint down only for it to slide off the table 

[Jax]

Currently -2C here with thick fog and a hard frost. Came a cropper at the pub when I put my pint down only for it to slide off the table 

fess up, how many have you had really?

[john pike]

monday

 

 

a breezy south west wind

 

temps

 

 

how do i put this

 

heavy rain most of the day and cold around 8 degrees

 

yuk

[Jax]

monday

 

 

a breezy south west wind

 

temps

 

 

how do i put this

 

heavy rain most of the day and cold around 8 degrees

 

yuk

*gets the swimming bottoms out*

[john pike]

ukmo at 144

 

 

strong wind

 

heavy rain

 

cold

 

stay in bed day

[john pike]

 

 

sort of goes with what i said earlier

 

lets hope them isobars are not as tight as shown

 

its all fi at present though

Edited December 11, 2013 by john pike

[Steve C]

Anyone else worried about the Christmas period? I think the deep cold over North America could fuel a very powerful jet stream and with the likelihood of it tracking south, might make for some vicious depressions affecting us, over what is traditionally quite a stormy period.

 

With St Jude's and the storm surge, I've had my fill of windstorms for the season, so hope my worries aren't justified.

Edited December 11, 2013 by Steve C

[Sussex Jules]

Agree with you totally Steve, wind is the one type of extreme weather I don't like. I think it's the unpredictability of it.

[Steve C]

Just seen your post John. Goes with my fears tbh. Glad it's FI, but I'm concerned.

[john pike]

hi steve

 

i am not sure whether to worry or not

 

the signs are there though at present

 

lets hope fi is what it is at present

[Steve C]

Agree with you totally Steve, wind is the one type of extreme weather I don't like. I think it's the unpredictability of it.

I do find it exciting, but it's the (inevitable) destruction element I don't like. When I was a kid I loved it all - I didn't properly think...

[john pike]

Fancy moving to the mids Mr.Pike thread needs a bit of resuss lol

 

hi triple

 

if these charts show these psynoptics in a few days i reckon the midlands thread will wake up very soon

 

if not just ramp like i do

[Sussex Jules]

I do find it exciting, but it's the (inevitable) destruction element I don't like. When I was a kid I loved it all - I didn't properly think...

Or should that read think of property! I can remember the 'excitement' clearing up after '87 but then it wasn't me that had to sort out the repairs and deal with the insurance companies.No matter whether we worry or not the weather will do what it pleases after all it's Mother Nature and as she's female there is no amount of persuading that will work on her.As an aside thick frost outside and a light mist slowly creeping down the road from the fields.

[john pike]

 

 

these ensembles are all over the place

 

rainfall up agrees from the 15th

 

earlier runs show the strong winds 22nd

 

so as we know lows are hard to predict at 2 days away

 

so do not concern yourself with this yet

 

got a lot of fax runs before that would come into range

[john pike]

oh and i hate wind too

[Steve C]

I've just looked outside. Definitely frost, but no fog here yet - I was half hoping it was going to be a bit foggy, so I'd have an excuse to lie in bed longer and not get up to try and spot the faint comet!

[Crepuscular Ray]

Contrary to my earlier predictions, it's still clear as a bell here in W. London.

[john pike]

control run

 

 

shows the low further north

 

but still not too great

 

will pop up the pressure graphs soon

 

if as before expect a huge spread