South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 08/12/13

[Summer of 76]

Hi AS,

 

Great to see you back and hopefully you will bring the snow with you

[Jax]

Just been out and got a good number of cuts of holly (now in the house) asked permission from the workers at the care home near me last week, well pleased and will even try and see if I can grow some off these too.

[abruzzi spur]

Thanks for the welcomes guys, my batteries are not yet fully recharged but at least they're not spluttering any more!

 

AS

[Snowangel-MK]

Thanks for the welcomes guys, my batteries are not yet fully recharged but at least they're not spluttering any more!  AS

Are they Duracells ? Nice to see you back :-) Singing alternative verses now ......Have yourself a merry little Christmas, Make the Yule-tide gay, From now on our snowWill be miles away

[Coast]

 my batteries are not yet fully recharged but at least they're not spluttering any more!  

 

Try the mains....

 

[JennyJane1]

Have yourself a merry little Christmas,Make the Yule-tide gay,From now on our snowWill be miles away

that's very naughty.You'll jinx it.

[Jax]

that's very naughty.You'll jinx it.

snow, shmow

[Coast]

GFS rain charts (animated) are a tad concerning, tomorrow into Thursday:

 

 

Then Friday:

 

[NO LONGER POSTING]

So the same band of rain that bought last nights rain is now moving north again to drop more rain tonight... Damn

[Reefseeker]

I'm dreaming of a wet Christmas

Just like the ones we often get

Where the tree tops glisten

And children listen

To sounds of people getting wet

 

I'm dreaming of a wet Christmas

With every Christmas card I write

May your days be soggy (and night)

And may all your waterproofs be tight

 

Hello all!

 

AS

 

Hurray, Mr Spur is back with a cheery Christmas ditty  That reminds me, must get to Millets, last year's waterproofs must have 'shrunk' when they got wet...

 

Talking of rain, the stream that runs through campus was a full river torrent yesterday and today; let's see what it's like by Friday if the rainfall totals end up anything like on Coast's maps. Surprisingly cool day after yesterday's distinctly mild muck. 

 

Have a good evening everyone and welcome back AS - hope it's comforting to come back and find everyone chatting away and nothing changed.

[Steve C]

Yep, steady rain here again. Not worried, as it'll help fill aquifers and stop concerns about drought, if we have dry spells in Spring / Summer.

[john pike]

hi all

 

got soaked again on the way home

 

heres the models at 144

 

gfs

 

 

ecm

 

 

ukmo

 

 

ukmo and ecm similar

 

gfs totally different

 

heres ecm for boxing day

 

 

no thankyou

[Summer of 76]

Yes john a wide variation there and having visited the model thread I think we will need to set up a special home for some people, my goodness it's just the weather and we can't make it snow.  if it's going to rain it's going to rain and it's done that more times over Xmas in my lifetime. I think back to last year when around here our best snowfall was towards the end of January.

 

In view of possible windy weather I have written my address on the 200 lights on the tree outside so when they get blown off people know where to return them to. now if it's going to be bad should i do the same to the tree

[john pike]

hi chris

 

as you say its only weather

 

to be honest it feels like a normal winter at the moment

 

white christmas is like hens teeth anyway

 

the wind is the more concern at present but we need the jet south of us or weaken greatly

 

to see anything snowy

 

am i pulling my hair out at present?

 

nope

 

plenty of winter left and if we want to be awkward we can say winter does not start until the 21st anyway

[Jax]

For anyone intersted dressage is on from red button on bbc from Olympia (in years gone past I would be there)

[john pike]

update for now

 

tonight

 

heavy rain until early morning

 

leaving drizzly rain overnight clearing by rush hour

 

foggy misty murk likely locally

 

temps warm

 

then dropping when rain clears

 

no frost expected

 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow

 

 

lightish winds am

 

getting stronger as the day progresses

 

a south westerly direction

 

stays dry up to late pm

 

 

temps

 

around 10 degrees

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow night

 

a strong south west to westerly wind

 

gusts overnight around 50 maybe 60 mph moreso the east of the region

 

rainfall

 

very heavy and prolonged rain

 

more noticeable when the wind increases

 

flood issues possible

 

temps

 

8-9 degrees

 

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

thursday

 

a much weaker westerly flow

 

rain

 

 

 

still wet the far south east of the region at rush hour but soon clearing

 

then mainly dry although the very far south of the region may see some showers move in from the south

 

temps

 

could be quite chilly today

 

around 6-8 degrees

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

thursday night

 

a breezy but not too strong west to north west wind

 

rainfall

 

more heavy slow moving rain

 

note the trough on the fax chart

 

temps

 

 

cool

 

around 4-6 degrees

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

friday

 

a south west wind and looks to be getting gusty again in the afternoon

 

rainfall

 

 

 

rain clearing by lunchtime

 

but more heavy gusty rain likely late pm

 

temps

 

around 8 degrees

 

but feeling cold in the wind

 

update the rest later

[NorthNorfolkWeather]

update for now

 

tonight

 

heavy rain until early morning

 

leaving drizzly rain overnight clearing by rush hour

 

foggy misty murk likely locally

 

temps warm

 

then dropping when rain clears

 

no frost expected

 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow

 

 

lightish winds am

 

getting stronger as the day progresses

 

a south westerly direction

 

stays dry up to late pm

 

 

temps

 

around 10 degrees

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow night

 

a strong south west to westerly wind

 

gusts overnight around 50 maybe 60 mph moreso the east of the region

 

rainfall

 

very heavy and prolonged rain

 

more noticeable when the wind increases

 

flood issues possible

 

temps

 

8-9 degrees

 

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

thursday

 

a much weaker westerly flow

 

rain

 

 

 

still wet the far south east of the region at rush hour but soon clearing

 

then mainly dry although the very far south of the region may see some showers move in from the south

 

temps

 

could be quite chilly today

 

around 6-8 degrees

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

thursday night

 

a breezy but not too strong west to north west wind

 

rainfall

 

more heavy slow moving rain

 

note the trough on the fax chart

 

temps

 

 

cool

 

around 4-6 degrees

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

friday

 

a south west wind and looks to be getting gusty again in the afternoon

 

rainfall

 

 

 

rain clearing by lunchtime

 

but more heavy gusty rain likely late pm

 

temps

 

around 8 degrees

 

but feeling cold in the wind

 

update the rest later

Thanks John,

 

Clear, concise and unbiased as usual

[snowbob]

Cheers jp

So wind and rain then

Sounds like a normal run up to xmas to be honest.

Yeah the last couple of years we had some luck but the mood in the mad thread is ridiculous.

Everyone saying the charts are boring and need to change.

Forgive me if I'm wrong but the charts are supposed to predict the weather right!

So is it not the weather we are having at the moment. which is just normal winter weather IMO that needs to change.

Lol maybe it's me but if it was about to get cold the charts would reflect that.

My punt for what it's worth is snow end of jan early feb.

If nothing then I may start to worry.

But not on the 17th December.

[john pike]

hi bob

 

i think fi is past 144 on the models

 

so anything can happen

 

but i agree patience may be needed for now

 

what i am waiting for is a low pressure system to go through the uk and

 

end up dropping south east of us

 

that would help change this pattern we are in

 

anyway plenty to be going on with at present and hope that ecm chart for the 26th is wrong

[shotski]

Hi All,

 

Bit sad but just been looking on Youtube at some of my old kids programs.

 

Bagpus, Wilow in the wisp, Trumpton, Button moon, The Sullivans & the Banana bunch Mmmmmmmmmm

the weather must be bad at the moment 

[Bluebreezer54]

Good to see you back AS. .

[anything-but]

Hi All,

 

Bit sad but just been looking on Youtube at some of my old kids programs.

 

Bagpus, Wilow in the wisp, Trumpton, Button moon, The Sullivans & the Banana bunch Mmmmmmmmmm

the weather must be bad at the moment 

 

Not forgetting fingerbobs,mary,mungo and midge,why don`t you......

 

 

 

 

Edited December 17, 2013 by anything-but

[john pike]

heres where ecm show the strongest winds for our area

 

late tomorrow

 

 

 

now also friday late pm to saturday

 

 

 

 

so plenty to watch for now

[anything-but]

Ian F in the scary thread.... 

PS: watch for potential bolstering of snow signal in S for some on Thursday based on v latest output.... more to follow. Coldies: keep the faith ;-)

 

[john pike]

hi ab

 

spotted it earlier on the fax chart

 

not reported as i expect it to only effect v high ground

 

although will wait for tomorrows fax to see what that shows

 

anythings possible when 528 dam air is over us with very cold 500 uppers